經驗預測法 的英文怎麼說

中文拼音 [jīngyànyùcèfǎ]
經驗預測法 英文
empirical prediction method
  • 經 : 經動詞[紡織] （把紡好的紗或線梳整成經紗或經線） warp
  • 驗 : 動詞1. （察看; 查考） examine; check; test 2. （產生預期的效果） prove effective; produce the expected result
  • 預 : Ⅰ副詞（預先; 事先） in advance; beforehand Ⅱ動詞（參與） take part in
  • 測 : 動詞1. （測量） survey; fathom; measure 2. （測度; 推測） conjecture; infer
  • 法 : Ⅰ名詞1 （由國家制定或認可的行為規則的總稱） law 2 （方法; 方式） way; method; mode; means 3 （標...
  • 經驗 : 1 （由實踐得來的知識或技能） experience 2 （經歷） go through; experience; 經驗教訓 lessons from ...
  • 預測 : calculate; forecast; prognosis; divine; forecasting; foreshadowing; predetermination
  1. Based on the terszige and biot theory, initially analyze the economical of this experiment, directly save investment 22 % after compute. after that, computing the settlement of highway foundation, comparing the computing and survey value, the predict formula of vacuum - heaped load combining precompression for designing, this formula show that the distortion law of consolidation progress. at the same time, based on the position and room experiment, analyzes the intension transformation in soft soil and criteria of stabilization control

    在太沙基和比奧固結理論的基礎上，先分析了此次試驗的經濟性，經核算直接節約投資22 ，經濟效益十分明顯；隨后對真空堆載聯合預壓法加固軟土路基的沉降量進行了估算，並與實測值作對比分析，得出了真空堆載聯合預壓下的沉降量估算公式，能反映「真空」加固過程的變化規律；同時根據現場和室內試驗，分析了軟土強度的變化，以及給出並驗證了工后沉降控制標準。
  2. As the market economy system is founding and china is to be accepted by wto. all parts of the coastal coal transportation system, especially the coastal harbors, face very drastically competition. the aim of this paper is to summarize the experiences of the construction of coal harbors, forecast the harbor throughout and shipping quantity based the main effect of the sea coal market by the investigation of the equipment of coal harbors, give the coal harbor evaluating index and methods, and analyze the foreground and countermeasure of the harbors based the system innovation by the developing forecast of coal market and the capacity analyze of coal harbors

    隨著社會主義市場經濟體制的逐步建立以及我國加入世界貿易組織的步伐日益加快，煤炭海運系統的各個環節尤其是沿海煤炭運輸港口也面臨著十分激烈的市場競爭，本項研究的目的是總結歸納十幾年來我國煤炭港口建設的歷史經驗，通過對我國煤炭海運港口基礎設施狀況進行深入調查，在研究煤炭海運市場主要影響因素的基礎上，預測我國中長期煤炭海運量和港口吞吐量，進而提出煤炭海運港口評價指標和方法；通過對煤炭市場的發展預測以及煤炭海運港口的能力分析，結合港口體制的改革，分析研究煤炭海運港口的發展前景和對策。
  3. The empty weight to total weight ratio of subsonic maneuverable missile was given experimentally

    利用經驗的預測方法對亞聲速飛航導彈的空重比進行預測。
  4. Therefore, a model of three sectors, respectively referring to domestic sector, manufacturing export sector and primary product export sector, has been established here to measure the technology spillover effects of export on domestic sector. finally, based on a broader framework, this dissertation went on to investigate the relationship between openness and china ' s economic growth, while the result shows that though there exists a notable dispute about how to measure the degree of china ' s openness, the index of trade dependence still maintains the better one to reflect china ' s economic openness. in the meanwhile, impulse response function ( irf ) method and forecasting errors variance decomposition ( fevd ) method, both of which are based on the vector auto - regression ( var ) system, are used here to investigate the dynamic relationship between openness and china ' s economic growth

    與傳統理論不同，新增長理論和新貿易理論都強調技術進步的作用，因此本文構建了一個三部門的技術外溢效應模型（國內部門、工業製成品出口部門以及初級產品出口部門） ，考察了工業製成品出口和初級產品出口對國內非出口部門不同的技術外溢效應；第四，從更加廣闊的視野就貿易開放度與中國經濟增長問題進行研究，有關貿易開放度如何度量一直是存在較大爭議的問題，本文首先對該類研究文獻進行了較為詳盡的述評，然後運用生產函數方法對所選取的5個貿易開放度度量指標進行了檢驗，結果發現盡管一些已有研究認為外貿依存度無法真實度量一國經濟開放水平，但是本文研究結果表明外貿依存度仍是度量我國貿易開放度的較好指標，進一步採用基於var系統的脈沖響應函數法以及預測誤差方法分解法對貿易開放促進經濟增長的作用進行了動態刻畫。
  5. Abstract : present two improvements on the classic method for its weak, and construct a new model of this forecasting

    文摘:針對傳統的集體經驗判斷預測法的缺點，提出了兩點改進措施，建立了一個集體經驗判斷預測法的新模型。
  6. From the contradistinctive forecast in this paper we can see that the method of the dynamic forecast is better than the general method. the method is right, feasible and effective by the proof

    從文中對比預報，我們可以看到本文提出的這種動態系統預報方法優于傳統的預報方法。本文中所研究的氣溫演變過程的非線性預測方法是正確的、經回顧性驗證是可行的，而且是行之有效的。
  7. At the part of empirical study, this paper chooses 124 a - stock listed companies from stock exchange of shanghai and shenzhen as research samples, makes use of the step method to filter the 13 possible variables ( including 3 debt - paying ability indexes, 3 operating ability indexes, 4 profitability indexes and 3 cash flow indexes ) in analysis and finally sets up discrimimant models by fisher discrimimant rules with the samples " financial data. then this paper validates the stability of these models using the self - validation and cross - validation before analyzing the prediction ability of these models with outside - validation

    實證研究部分主要以我國深、滬兩市124家上市公司為研究樣本，採用上市公司1998年至2001年的實際財務數據，運用逐步判別分析方法對擬進入模型的13個變量（包括3個償債能力指標、 3個經營能力指標、 4個獲利能力指標及3個現金流量指標）進行篩選，並根據fisher判別準則建立判別模型，在運用自身驗證法與互動式驗證法對模型的穩定性加以驗證后，運用外部數據驗證法對模型的預測能力進行了分析。
  8. Finally, the prediction method of network traffic is proposed. simulations show that farima ( p, d, q ) is effective for long - range dependent network traffic prediction

    最後，根據已經得到的farima （ p ， d ， q ）模型，提出了預測未來業務流流量的方法，並通過實際業務量進行了驗證。
  9. However, according to ann ' s theory, making use of visual basic development tool, friendly - interface single output three layers " artificial neural network generator base on improved bp algorithm has been developed by the author, and after constructing the model, the value of d _ ( cmax ), finally the gross bed - load transport rate of non - uniform sediment with a wide distribution in flume experiment of stead sediment transportation have been forecasted

    筆者採用的途徑則是根據人工神經網路理論，利用vb開發出界面友好、基於改進bp演算法的多輸入單輸出三層神經網路生成器軟體，並採用該生成器建模，對平衡輸沙狀態下的水槽輸沙試驗的d _ （ cmax ）和總輸沙率進行預測計算。
  10. It presents relative indices designing of harbor development strategy, econometric models, data process, parameter estimate and model testing. it proves the grey system model adequate to harbor throughout and container forecast the framework is adopted to the research on lian yun gang harbor developmental strategy

    探討了港口發展戰略研究相關指標設計，對計量經濟模型的建立、數理處理、參數估計、模型檢驗等進行了方法論探討，探索了灰色系統模型在港口吞吐量及集裝箱預測中的可行性，明確提出該模型可用於港口吞吐量和集裝箱吞吐量預測分析。
  11. In order to utilize the frquency resource adequately and increase the capacity of mobile communication system, the wireless electric wave propagation of existing mobile system always adopts the microcell structure. forecasting the path loss characteristic of electric wave accurately can provide the necessary condition for the layout and design of wireless network, at the same time it is a precondition for the research on the microcell mobile system. the methods of forecasting of wireless electric wave propagation can divide into two parts : one is pluse and respond, that is establish the empirical model based on experimental and statistical data ; the other is ray tracing method, that is establish the deterministic model based on theoretical analyse. the paper discuss the characteristic of wireless signal electric wave transmition in symmetrical atmosphere of earth, and introduce the common path loss transmition model in land mobile communication system, also point out the localization of these models based on experiential methods

    而精確預測無線電波傳播路徑損耗特性，則為合理的微蜂窩無線網路規劃、設計提供了必要條件，同時也是研究微蜂窩移動通信系統性能的前提。無線電波傳播預測的方法分為兩類：一是用沖激響應法，即根據實驗、統計所得數據建立經驗性傳播預測模型；另一種是用射線跟蹤方法，即依據理論分析來建立確定性的傳播預測模型。本文首先討論了在地球表面均勻大氣中的無線電波傳播的基本特性，介紹了陸地移動通信系統中常用的幾種電波傳播路徑損耗經驗性預測模型，並指出了這些經驗性傳播模型對于微蜂窩小區無線電波傳播特性研究的局限性。
  12. The main research contents of the physical design include : presenting the domestic and international status of space weather and expanding on the need and the importance about the space weather forecast ; sorting the disastrous space weather and discussing their effects and adapted prediction methods ; analyzing the solar disturbing resources of space weather and the precursor or concomitant phenomena of solar eruption based on the newest observational results ; probing into the radiation principle of solar short - wave ray and presenting the computing methods about solar continuum and line spectrum radiation ; extrapolating physical methods of reconstructing the temperature and the emission measure of coronal plasma ; argumenting the effective observing spectrum for space weather empirical forecast and space weather numerical forecast

    物理設計的主要研究內容包括：分析目前國內國際空間天氣預報的發展現狀及開展空間天氣預報的必要性和重要性；分類討論了災害性空間天氣的種類、影響及目前國際上的預報方法：分析了空間天氣太陽擾動源及擾動源爆發的先兆現象或者伴生現象；討論了太陽短波輻射線譜和連續譜輻射強度的計算方法：推導了利用望遠鏡多波段的觀測結果反演日冕等離子體溫度、發射量等參數的物理方法：論證了開展空間天氣經驗預報和發展數值預報有效的成像譜段。
  13. 2. the inversion techniques of occultation data are described and discussed in details. taken gps / met observations as examples, the atmospheric parameters profiles are retrieved accurately

    5 、利用人工神經網路方法同化電離層掩星觀測數據，建立經驗電離層模式，並應用之做短期的電離層預報。
  14. The contacting measurement method with a double probe is put forward after the detailed analysis of the state - of - the - art measuring methods of the thickness of wall. firstly, the theory - profile generatrix is built, and then the movement curve of the track of joint center is constructed, which aims at making the joint center move along the movement curve and keep the fixed sensor touching the wall. the measuring sensor examines the line in its normal direction of the interior wall all the time, the data from the sensor is the thickness value of the wall

    論文通過分析國內外變曲率回轉體壁厚測量的現狀，提出了雙測頭接觸式測量方案:通過構造理論輪廓母線，建立鉸鏈中心的運動曲線，使鉸鏈中心始終沿運動曲線運動，以保證固定觸頭與傳感器測頭的連線始終在內壁法線方向上，從而傳感器測頭所得的數值即為壁厚值，該方案經模擬測試實驗取得了預期效果。
  15. The attenuation indexes of vertical direction components and level radial components of blast earthquake wave in the condition of far range are all larger than the one in the condition of close range. based on upwards analysises, relevant control ways and safety defending technology of blast vibration are given from the aspects of blast equipments, blast parameters, landform physiognomy, blast methods. and taking the practical data from blast scene as the sample, the blast shockproofness are forecasted by the feedforward nerve network model based on the prior knowledge of blast shockproofness, the regress analysis method and experience formula method, which supply the technology gist for

    並且，以爆破現場的實測數據為樣本，採用基於爆破震動強度先驗知識的前饋網路神經模型、回歸分析法及經驗公式法分別對爆破震動強度進行了預測研究，為爆破施工參數的確定提供了技術依據，確保整個爆破工程順利安全進行，並對這三種方法的預測結果進行了對比分析;對比分析表明，三種預測方法計算出來的結果精度相差甚大，從檢驗樣本值與預測結果值之間的相對誤差可以看出，人工神經網路法預測的結果較其他方法更接近於實際值，回歸分析預測法的精度又要高於經驗公式預測法。
  16. Take the computer as the tool, the use technology economic evaluation method realization highly effective, the accurate decision - making, brings the good economic efficiency for the enterprise. the many kinds of assessment method synthesis application enhance the policy - making efficiency, and cause the decision - making to be more reasonable

    本文主要工作是對計算機輔助決策常用的預測模型簡單移動平均法，加權移動平均法，指數平滑預測法，二次指數平滑預測法，以及在技術經濟評價方法中有關靜態評價法和動態評價法進行了介紹，總結出一些經驗。
  17. The predication technical methods consist of experience - analogy, geochemical techniques ( e. g. geo - gas method and partial extraction of mobile forms ), geophysical techniques ( e. g. radioactivity survey, ground electromagnetism, earthquake technique, hole geophysical survey ), remote sensing, gis, and comprehensive information prognosis methods

    預測技術方法有經驗類比法，地球化學方法（如地氣法、活動態偏提取技術） ，地球物理方法（如放射性測量、地面電磁法、地震法和井中物探） ，以及遙感技術、 gis技術和綜合信息礦產預測方法等。
  18. Among others, the probability analysis approach has difficulty in deciding objective probability, and thus it is necessary to obtain subjective probability through expert empirical prediction, modify it by the bayesian formula and get a posteriori probability, and substitute it for objective probability in risk measurement and risk premium calculation

    其中，概率分析方法在應用中就存在客觀概率不易確定的難點問題，因此需用專家經驗預測法得到主觀概率后，利用貝葉斯公式加以修正並獲得后驗概率，再用后驗概率代替客觀概率進行風險的度量及風險收益的計算。
  19. Integrated with domestic and foreign economical theory that people have obtained common consensus, mainly based on data in yearbook of china transportation & communications, making use of exploratory data analysis method and factor analysis method etc., the dissertation aims to find out the law and tendency of communications and transportation ' s development, make economic forecasting, test reliability and feasibility of all sorts of economical theory and recommend for all or different governments and enterprises

    本論文主要從交通統計年鑒數據出發，結合國內外已取得共識的經濟理淪，運用探索性數據分析和因子分析等方法，藉以找出交通運輸業發展的規律性及其發展趨勢，用以作經濟預測，檢驗各種經濟理論的可靠性和可行性，並為各級政府和企業的經濟決策提供數量化建議。
  20. A new imagination to the method of discriminating forecasting by combination experience

    對集體經驗判斷預測法的新構想
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