預測法 的英文怎麼說
中文拼音 [yùcèfǎ]
預測法
英文
forecasting method-
The forecast is quantitative analysis in the paper. the amounts of cargo flow are forecast by generation models of transportation demand and the directions distributing of cargo transportation are forecast by distribution models. the forecast methods which have already been used for amounts of cargo transportation are trend inference method, smooth method of index and grey system method ; the forecast methods which have been used for cargo transportation distributions are fratar method and furness method
預測od流主要運用了定量分析預測法。 od生成預測用到的預測方法有趨勢外推法、指數平滑法和灰色系統法等; od分佈預測用到的預測方法有佛萊特( fratar )法和弗尼斯( furness )法。One is the evt - based var model ( including gev model and gpd model ), the other is the quantile regression var model. secondly, i evaluate predictive performance of a selection of var models for chinese stock market data. these var models include riskmetrics method, historical simulation, monte carlo method, and the three recent models based on quantile regression and extreme value theory
本文首先重點探討了極值分佈var模型(包括廣義極值分佈和廣義帕雷托分佈兩個模型)和分位數回歸var模型;然後在此基礎上將六個var模型(包括上述三種模型、歷史模擬法、 riskmetrics方法以及蒙特卡洛法)實證應用於估計上證指數、上證180 、深證成指、深證綜指95 var和99 var ;同時採用區間預測法、損失函數法和符號檢驗法對這些var模型進行了選擇評估。After generalizing the characteristic of modern equipment, the mission of equipment management and general situation of chinese equipment management, basied on two forms of equipment management - - - - - - practicality & value, the author combined quantitative & qualitative methods with example to analyze and discuss questions, especially the reasonable update & depreciation, accordingly achieving the optimization of the technical efficiency & economic benefit 0 one of emphases of the thesis is methods application of equipment reasonable update, that is starting with economic benefit to looking for reasonable using fixed number of year. the thesis used inferior - converted numeric method and rate equation which based on the theory square and combined with harbor loading machines & tugboat ' s actual facts, calculated the economic life of the same machine in order to make sure harbor machines " reasonable using fixed number of year. at the same time, the author made use of midpoint value regress method and stochastic trapeziform forecast method to calculate and analyze and gain the reasonable conclusion o the other emphases is questions of harbor equipment
本文概括介紹了現代設備的特點、設備管理的任務以及我國設備管理發展的概況后,作者從設備經濟管理的兩種形態? ?實物形態和價值形態出發,採取定量與定性相結合,以定量為主,結合實例進行分析與論述,對港口設備的合理更新與折舊問題進行了著重研究,從而實現設備的技術效能和經濟效益的最優化。本文研究的重點之一是設備合理更新的方法應用,即從經濟效益出發,來尋求設備的合理使用年限。本文結合港口裝卸機械和港作拖輪的實際,運用以正方形理論為基礎的低劣化數值法和費用方程兩種方法,計算了同一種機械設備的經濟壽命,從而確定港機合理的使用年限,同時,運用了中點值回歸法和隨機梯形預測法進行計算和分析,得到了合理的結論。Abstract : present two improvements on the classic method for its weak, and construct a new model of this forecasting
文摘:針對傳統的集體經驗判斷預測法的缺點,提出了兩點改進措施,建立了一個集體經驗判斷預測法的新模型。This article utilizes the questionnaire survey and the scene investigation method, conducts the investigation and study to the yangtze river delta area silk expense in the foundation, the utilization supplies and the demand balanced analysis theory, the time series law, the tendency pre - measurement, the season analyzes the pre - measurement, the elastic analysis theory, as well as method and so on return analytic method carries on the comprehensive analysis to the cocoon silk profession, promulgates the influence cocoon silk profession development in order to the restriction factor, and seeks corresponding solution silk market long - term equilibrium and weakens the price undulation frequent countermeasure
本文運用問卷調查和現場調查方法,對長江三角洲地區的絲綢消費進行調查研究的基礎上,運用供給和需求均衡分析理論、時間序列法,趨勢預測法,季節分析預測法,彈性分析理論,以及回歸分析法等方法對繭絲綢行業進行全面的剖析,以求揭示影響繭絲綢行業發展的制約因素,並尋求相應解決絲綢市場長期均衡和減弱價格波動頻繁的對策。The forecasts method including the forecast method of simple moving average, the forecast method of weighting moving average, the forecast method of single exponential smoothing, the forecast method of double exponential smoothing, the forecast method of multiplication model and the forecast method of monadic linear regression
預測方法包括簡單移動平均法、加權移動平均法、一次指數平滑法、二次指數平滑法、乘法模型預測法和一元線性回歸方程預測法。In, it is discussed how to estimate the profit expection and risk of portfolio by time series, and that the portfolio investment model can be made by the variance of portfolio selection random profit
在1中,我們首先介紹了如何利用時間序列預測法估計證券的預期收益率和風險,然後以投資組合隨機收益率的方差作為投資的風險度量,建立起投資組合模型。The multi - aptitude body uncertain composed methods are used to deal with the historical data and forecast ways in which the minimum variance hedge ratio is calculated synthetically , in order to foster calculational reliability of the minimum variance hedge ratio in hedging of stock index futures the mathematical hedging model which is consists of
本文利用多智能體系統不確定性結論合成方法( mabm ) ,將股票指數期貨套期保值最小風險保值比率計算的歷史數據分析法和預測法進行了綜合處理,進而提高股指期貨最小風險保值比率的可靠性。基於資本資產的定價模型建立由To methods of financial management, impc should use quantity prediction, should build system of overall budget, especially budget analysis and feedback system, should establish financial management control system
公司應多採用定量預測法。要形成全面預算體系,同時預算的編制要精,延伸時間要長,並建立預算差異分析制度和報告制度。The author has made research into performance theory especially on the ocb theory. ocb is discretionary behavior that has n ' t been confirmed definitely and directly in the organizational salary system, however it benefits the organization operations as a whole. meanwhile the author has investigated the salesmen " job content, working conditions on the spot, found the existing problems and reasons, analyzed the improved directions. by the way of expert estimation, the author draw the conclusion that ocb is more important than the sales quantity when house sales " performance are evaluated
同時對房地產業售樓員的工作內容、工作環境等進行實地分析研究,查找出售樓員績效評估現存的問題及原因所在,認真分析其改進的方向;採用專家預測法,得出組織公民行為在售樓員績效評估中的重要性遠遠大於銷售量的評估,併科學地提取了組織公民行為與銷售量的評估指標並確定其權重;採用360度績效評估方法,將組織公民行為有效地應用於售樓員的績效評估當中。Grey forecasting model provides a method to forecast a system in which there are both known information and uncertain factors
摘要灰色預測法是一種對既含有已知信息又含有不確定因素的系統進行預測的方法。This paper narrates the meaning of research in the applied field of prediction for the ultimate bearing capacity of the integrate pile, introduces several typical predication methods for the ultimate bearing capacity of pile, and gives the way for making model. one of them is the partial least - squares regression method which is put forward by me with the help of mathematics knowledge. the method can offer full range analysis for the ultimate bearing capacity of pile
本論文主要內容敘述了預測法在完整樁極限承載力中應用研究的意義,引入幾種典型的預測法對樁極限承載力進行預測,闡明了模型的建立方法及過程,其中偏最小二乘回歸預測法是本人藉助數理知識提出的一種新的預測法,用此法可以對樁極限承載力進行全過程分析,本論文最後用marc軟體進行模擬模擬預測,進一步實現了預測的實用性。A study on forecasting for time series based on wavelet analysis
基於小波分解與重構的時間序列預測法Then its optimization basis is given through optimal function and its mathematical properties are discussed in the end
通過構造最優化函數進一步探討了廣義加權算術平均組合預測法的最優化理論依據及其數學性質。Based on the three prediction models, the combined forecast is conducted using the separate solutions of moving average, exponential smoothing and gray prediction to investigate whether the combined forecast model matches the sales volume prediction of truck wooden boxes
最後採用組合預測之三種預測模型,將移動平均法、指數平滑法、灰預測法所求得之解作組合預測,以探討組合預測模型是否適合木製框式車身的銷售數量預測。There are many methods to gas load forecasting, including : regression analytical method, time serial method, elasticity coefficient forecasting, index analytical method, grey method, fuzzy logic forecasting, artificial neural network forecasting model, experts system forecasting model, optimizing combination forecasting model, etc.
用於燃氣負荷預測的方法很多,包括:回歸分析法、時間序列法、彈性系數預測法、指針分析法、灰色預測法、模糊邏輯預測法、人工神經網路預測法、專家系統預測法、優化組合預測法等。Monte carlo simulations were conducted to study the new approaches of qtl mapping, the results indicated that general least squares ( gls ) method, which was widely applied in mixed linear model, could unbiasedly estimate all genetic main effects, including additive effects, dominance effects and epistatic effects of additive by additive, additive by dominance, dominance by additive, dominance by dominance. the interaction effects between genetic main effects and environments could also be predicted unbiasedly by linear unbiased prediction ( lup ). the heterosis prediction based on qtl effects was also unbiased
對新提出的qtl分析方法進行了montecarlo模擬研究,結果表明,廣泛應用於混合線性模型的廣義最小二乘法( gls )能夠無偏估計加性效應,顯性效應以及加加、加顯、顯加、顯顯上位性效應等各項遺傳主效應;運用線性無偏預測法( lup )能夠無偏預測上述各項遺傳主效應與環境的互作效應;基於qtl效應的雜種優勢預測也是無偏的。Based on the statistic materials of ports and shipping lines and the advice of specialists, this article analyzed the development course and status of passenger ocean transport on china - korea course, generalized the current problems. taking the port of weihai, qingdao and renchuan for example, using time series method, the author forecasted the volume of passenger on china - korea course in the next 10 years, analyzed the supply capacity and structure of passenger transport fleet, studied the constitute of the fleet, and made balance program for the passenger transport capacity on china - korea course, put forward tariff policy and competition mode of shipping companies
本文在調查收集港航各方面的統計資料,聽取有關專家的意見的基礎上,分析了中韓航線海上客運的發展歷程和現狀,總結了現在存在的問題;運用時間序列預測法,選取威海、青島和仁川為例,對山東半島至韓國間的客滾運輸航線的客、貨運輸進行了今後10年該航線的客流量預測;分析了客運船隊運力供給及其結構,研究了當前船隊構成存在的問題,作出了中韓航線客運運力的平衡規劃;提出航運公司的運價策略,運輸競爭模式。According to the strategy of the communications and aim of social economy, forecast the demand of communications talents in 2010 through many forecast methods. for example : straight - line trend methods, self - adaptation filter methods, linear return methods and etc. based on above all, put forward some advises on the development of talents
根據交通事業發展戰略及社會經濟發展的目標,運用直線趨勢預測法、自適應過濾法、一元線性回歸法等多種預測方法對2010年交通專門人才需求進行了預測。On the basis of forecast model of traffic volume discussing, the mathematic model for the basic parts of road overpass was built up through the research on main mathematical model which suit for overpass in four - stage forecast method. according to the properties and the requirements of the user, by working on the service level, the standard of service level has been defined. the adaptability index of traffic for road overpass was put forward and an adaptability index of traffic system was established
本文系統研究了道路立體交叉的類型,從不同角度對立交類型進行了劃分,在詳細論述立交交通量預測模型的基礎上,針對四階段預測法中適合立交特點的主要數學模型做了深入研究,建立了道路立交各基本組成部分通行能力的數學模型,並按照立交的性質及人們對立交的要求,對立交服務水平進了研究,確立了道路立交的服務水平標準,提出了道路立交交通適應性指標,建立了道路立交適應性指標體系,並由多人層次分析法確定了各指標的相對權重。分享友人