classical probability model 中文意思是什麼

classical probability model 解釋
經典概度模型
  • classical : adj. 1. （文藝等）古典的，傳統的，權威的；古典文學的；古典語文的；古希臘[古羅馬]的；古典主義的，經典的。2. 人文科學的，文科的。3. ＝classic 1. adv. -ly
  • probability : n 1 或有；或然性。2 【哲學】蓋然性〈在 certainly 和 doubt 或 posibility 之間〉。3 【數學】幾率，...
  • model : n 1 模型，雛型；原型；設計圖；模範；（畫家、雕刻家的）模特兒；樣板。2 典型，模範。3 （女服裝店僱...
  1. In chapter 1, we briefly reviewed the risk theory and its development. and the significance about this paper was expressed. in chapter 2, we introduced classical risk model. in which, making this risk process into a strong markovian process is the preparation of deriving the main results. chapter 3 is the main body of the paper, we derived the results about general ruin probability in a kind of continuous time risk model with deficit - time geometry distribution of claim inter - occurrence time. the martingale approach is a good procedure to get the expression of ruin probability about a class of continuous time risk models with deficit - time geometry distribution of claim inter - occurrence time. we also take advantage of change of measure idea from it

    第二章介紹了經典風險模型，其中用逐段決定馬爾可夫過程理論及補充變量技巧，使一類風險模型的盈餘過程成為齊次強馬爾可夫過程。第三章作為本文的主體部分，在索賠到達間隔服從虧時幾何分佈的連續時間風險模型中，索賠額分佈為一般分佈，它的破產概率可以利用pdmp中的廣義生成運算元得出鞅，通過調節系數的選擇以及在相應測度下的測度變換，使得破產概率的一般解可以表示出來。
  2. This paper consists of three chapters. the first one is the preparatory knowledge underlying this paper, including the basic concepts of the piece - wise deterministic markov processes ( pdmp ), the renewal equation, the key renewal theorem and some results about the classical risk model, which come from [ 2 ], [ 8 ] and [ 9 ]. the second one introduces the results about the general ruin probability in a kind of continuous - time risk model with the deficit - time geometric distribution of inter - occurrence times, in which claim sizes are discretly distributed. these come from [ 6 ]. the main body of this paper is the third one where we derive lundberg bounds, cramer - lundberg approximations to the ruin probability and finite - horizon lundberg inequalities

    本文共三章，第一章是奠定本論文基礎的相關知識，包括逐段決定馬爾可夫過程的一些基本概念、更新方程與關鍵更新定理的內容以及經典風險模型的介紹，主要取自[ 2 ] 、 [ 8 ]和[ 9 ] 。第二章介紹了該風險模型在索賠額分佈為一般分佈下的破產概率的一般表達式及相關定理，內容來自[ 6 ] 。第三章是本文的主體，求得了該模型的破產概率的lundberg界， cram r - lundberg逼近以及有限時間破產概率的lundberg不等式。
  3. The engendering source of traffic volumes and their general influential factors have been presented, and the situation of nowadays highway transportation has been discussed. according to the introduction of traffic distribution theory and classical assignment method, analysis of traffic flow path selection among cities and that of special influential factors for traffic flow on toll highways, initial analysis to the forming mechanism of traffic volume on road sections has been made, and a probability model for path selection has been set up with the maximum - utility theory and disaggregating model. detailed analysis to impedances on road sections and their functions ( especially to three main composing factors of the impedances as cost of time, transport and toll and to the functional relations with traffic loads ) was made, at the same time, the relative cost calculating model was set up on the basis of the state - of - art achievements in both international and national researches

    主要研究內容包括：交通量的產生根源及一般影響因素分析和當前公路運輸地位討論；從交通分配理論及經典配流方法著手，通過分析城市間交通流路徑選擇行為和收費公路路段交通量特殊影響因素，初步提出路段交通量的形成機理，並採用效用極大原理和非集結模型理論（ disaggregationmodel ） ，建立用戶出行路徑選擇概率模型；對路段阻抗及路阻函數（尤其對行程時間費用、車輛營運費用和道路收費這三個構成路段阻抗的主要因素及其與交通負荷間的函數關系）進行較為詳盡的分析，並以現階段國內外較為先進的研究成果為依據建立相應的成本測算模型，其中，特別提出了兩種確定客貨車輛時間價值的分析方法；離散分析法和時間-費率轉換法，後者是在目前基礎調查、統計數據資料不夠齊全的現實下提出的一種確定道路系統內務車型時間價值的較為實用的新方法；對我國公路收費政策的背景和理論、實踐依據及費率的各種影響因素進行重點分析；從數學的角度證明合理費率的存在性，並以最優化理論為基礎，建立在普通收費公路和擁擠路段交通調控型收費公路兩種模式下合理費率的計算模型等。
  4. A local theorem for ruin probability in the classical risk model perturbed by diffusion

    帶隨機干擾經典風險模型破產概率的局部定理
  5. In this paper, we use the idea of the classical risk model and consider a continuous - time risk model with inter - occurrence times following the deficit - time geometric distribution. by an application of the key renewal theorem in the case of the lattice distribution we derive lundberg bounds, cramer - lundberg approximations to the ruin probability and finite - horizon lundberg inequalities

    本文利用經典風險模型的思想，對索賠到達時間間隔服從虧時幾何分佈的連續時間風險模型做了進一步的研究，應用關鍵更新定理（格點分佈的情形） ，得到了破產概率的lundberg界， cram r - lundberg逼近以及有限時間破產概率的lundberg不等式。
  6. We deeply discuss the importance of choosing sample sapce in two sides : one is the calculation of classical model of probability, the other is the independency of events, and the concept of probability should be fully used in the calculation of probability

    摘要從古典概型中事件概率的計算和事件的相互獨立性兩個方面，通過舉例較深入地分析了樣本空間選取的重要性，並指出在概率計算中要充分利用概率概念。
  7. According to the problem that the recovery rate is traditional treated as a constant or an independent stochastic variable by the classical credit risk pricing and management model, and problem that the negative correlation between the default probability and recovery rate is always neglected, this dissertation gets the exponential and logarithm regression models of default probablilty and recovery rate based on some empirical researches, and improves on several broadly applied credit risk models, such as structural hazard rate model, affine structure model, convertible bond pricing model and credit metrics model, and introduce the negative correlation between

    針對傳統的信用風險定價模型及信用風險管理模型將違約回收率看成是一個外生的常數或是一個獨立的隨機變量，而忽略回收率和違約概率之間的負相關性這一問題，本文應用相關實證研究得到了違約概率和回收率的指數和對數回歸模型，並對應用非常廣泛的結構化風險率模型、仿射結構模型、可轉換債券定價模型和creditmetrics模型進行了改進和拓展，在新模型中應用指數和對數函數引入了這兩個變量之間的負相關性。
分享友人
分享到 Line

分享到臉書