exponent smoothing 中文意思是什麼
exponent smoothing
解釋
指數平滑法-
Due to the existing volatility, stochastic and dynamic properties of cash flow, this paper employs exponential smoothing method and moving average method to eliminate the effects of the stochastic factors, use the seasonal exponent to eliminate the seasonal volatility of the cash flow, the exponent curve and polynomial fitting curve to estimate the overall cash flow and also provides the calculating methods and identifying principle of the overall cash flow
由於現金流量的波動性、隨機性、動態性等特性的存在，依靠單一方法無法科學、準確的預測現金流量。論文提出利用指數平滑和移動平滑的方法來剔除隨機因素影響，利用季節指數來消除現金流量的季節波動，之後再利用指數曲線或者多項式擬合曲線來預測整體現金流量的方法，並給出了整體現金流量的計算方法和確定原理。 -
Considering the limits of all predicting models, we select some kinds of methods form predecessor ' s study such as grey - movement forecasting modes of uniformly factal, exponent smoothing prediction verhulst model forecasting, verhulst inverse - function forecasting, trend prediction, growing model prediction and so on to build a model base. it is a software of landslide prediction which based on gis and developed by vb6. 0
考慮到各種預測預報理論模型的局限性，本文從前人的理論模型中選出了等維灰數遞補動態預測模型、指數平滑預報模型、 verhulst及verhulst反函數預報模型、趨勢移動平均法預報模型、 「成長」曲線預報模型等幾種模型建成預測預報模型庫，以mapinfo為平臺，利用vb6 . 0語言開發研製了基於gis的滑坡預測預報軟體系統。 -
On the thesis, the author forcast the later five and ten years " importation of china by means of linear programming and third exponent smoothing. the outcome shows china still increase her lpg importation in the future to satisfy her demanding to lpg, all these provide prosperous future for lpg transportation
本文採用一元線型回歸和三次指數平滑兩種定量方法，對中國液化石油氣今後五年及十年的進口量進行預測，結果顯示中國未來仍將以較高速度增加進口量以滿足中國未來對液化石油氣的需求，為發展液化石油氣海上運輸提供了良好的市場前景。
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