macro risks 中文意思是什麼

In this article, firstly the background of the textile trade conflicts within sino - us or sino - euro are introduced, thus learn that how to discern and dodge the foreign trade risks, how to choose the appropriate investment projects have already become one of the most important questions for exporting companies on foreign trade affairs well - known as high investment and high risk. so the main text makes a risk analysis qualitatively and quantitatively on a textile - exporting trading company from three angles of statistic 、 game theory and portfolio theory, which is the main content that we studied. firstly, the statistic article adopts data of the transaction closing price of the textile clothing index in shenzhen stock exchange at the end of each quarter as well as several other kinds of data reflecting the macro - economic changes, performs an empirical analysis of these data according to the theory of co - integration test 、 granger cause test and impulse response function of time series in economitric, and learn that the impact to ti is more obvious by the economic index reflecting local commodity price level and economic prosperity degree home and abroad, as well as the impact degree and the time lag degree, and knows the macro - economic risks faced by textile business enterprises ; after that by the game theory angle we analyze exactly the managing risks faced by one textile export corporation named beauty. from the game expansion chart the system arrangement between censor ways by exportation goal countries and exporting strategies by the exporting enterprises has been analyzed. involving the benefit assignment between them both the limited rounds and infinite rounds negotiations of cooperation games have been studied, and then country responsibility and the enterprise managing risks on foreign trade affairs and so on have been analyzed exactly ; in order to realize the investment multiplication in the certain degree to disperse the risk, the

本文首先介紹了中美、中歐紡織品貿易爭端的來龍去脈，由此可知在涉外貿易這種以高投入、高風險著稱的行業里，如何甄別和規避外貿風險、如何選擇合適的投資項目已經成為外貿企業的首要問題。因此，正文分別從統計學、博弈論和投資組合三種角度對涉外紡織品貿易公司風險進行了定性和定量的分析，這也是本文的主要研究內容。首先，統計學篇選取了深圳證券交易所行業分類指數?紡織服裝指數（ ti ）每一季度末的交易收盤價和若干種反映宏觀經濟變化的指標，利用計量經濟學中時間序列的協整檢驗、 granger因果檢驗和脈沖反應函數等理論做實證分析，從而得知反映國內物價水平和國內外經濟景氣程度的經濟指標對紡織板塊上市值的沖擊比較明顯，且可知沖擊程度和時滯度，進而分析出涉外紡織企業所面臨的宏觀經濟風險;接著，從博弈論的角度具體分析一家紡織品出口公司（ beauty ）的外貿活動所面臨的各種經營風險，該篇從博弈擴展圖入手，分析了出口目的國審查方式與本企業出口策略之間的制度安排;並圍繞雙方的利益分配，研究了有限回合和無限回合合作談判博弈，然後具體論述了國家責任和企業涉外經營風險等問題;在一定程度上為了實現投資多元化來分散風險的目的，投資組合篇從經典的markowitz模型著手，在一些特定條件的限制下，給出了一個相應的投資組合模型。

A macro - survey of the risks in china ' s economic security

我國經濟安全風險的宏觀審視

Professor sir clive granger is a pioneer in the field of time series analysis and econometrics. he received the 2003 nobel prize in economics for his contributions to methods of analyzing long run relationships in economic time series, a discovery which was a major breakthrough. his models have become indispensable tools for macro - economic forecasts, evaluation of risks and analysis of the financial markets

格蘭傑教授是計量經濟學及時間序列分析的大師，他以研究經濟數據之間的長遠關系即:協整cointegration模型獲2003年諾貝爾經濟獎，為經濟學上一重大突破，他發明的分析模型被廣泛應用於宏觀經濟預測分析風險評估及金融市場的分析。

Starting from the perspectives of economics and the reality in our country, the paper illustrates the necessary existence of credit guarantee institution for medium & small - sized enterprise and emphasizes its functions such as revising asymmetric market information, facilitating the implementation of macro - economic policies and perfecting credit economy etc. it focuses on analyzing how the operational process of guarantee institution handles the relationship between enterprise and bank and forwards four methods to precaution against risks for the guaranteed, guarantee institution itself and bank respectively, i. e. finding the breaking point, carrying out guarantee and venture investment meanwhile, enhancing anti - guarantee measure and sharing risks with bank etc. following above, it puts forward improving operating model of oriental wisdom guarantee co. limited

本文從經濟學的角度以及我國的現實出發，闡述了中小企業信用擔保機構存在的必要性，強調了它在修正市場信息不對稱狀態、促進宏觀經濟政策的實施、完善信用經濟等方面的作用。論文的核心是對擔保機構在運作流程中如何處理與企業、銀行的關系進行了研究，並分別從針對擔保對象、自身和銀行的角度提出了四種防範風險的方法，即尋找切入點、擔保與風險投資并行、加強反擔保措施以及與銀行共擔風險。據此對中科智信用擔保有限公司的運作模式提出了改進意見。

On the basis of the reasons for credit risks of the state - owned commercial banks being analyzed, this paper points out that high non - performing loans rate is due to the lack of effective macro and microcosmic systems in china

在分析我國商業銀行信用風險形成原因的基礎上，指出經濟轉軌過程中宏觀和微觀的有效制度的雙重缺失是造成商業銀行不良貸款率居高不下的根本原因。

At the same time, because our stock market is emerging and reform is under way in our country, there exist many latent risks. such as : the quality of listing companies inside the stock market ; the technical conditions of agency ; the bugs of rules and regulations of stock dealing ; the misplays of policies and fluctuation of macro - economy ; the unstable of financial system and so on

同時，我國新興證券市場和經濟體制改革的特殊背景也使其面臨巨大的潛在風險，如證券市場內部上市公司質量、中介機構水準問題、證券交易制度的缺陷、調控政策的失當以及證券市場外部宏觀經濟的波動、金融體系的不穩定、來自國際金融體系的沖擊等都可以引起我國證券市場的異常波動。

To prevent and eliminate overseas investment risks and in turn protect and promote the capital export of our country, we need to start from the construction of law systems on overseas direct investment, insurance system, macro management and risk prevention mechanism for transnational enterprises, and gradually establish and perfect the security system for overseas direct investment

有效的防範和化解海外投資風險，進而保護和促進我國的資本輸出，需要從我國涉外投資的法律制度建設、保險制度建設、宏觀管理、跨國企業風險防範機制建立等方面入手，逐步建立健全海外投資的保障制度。

Click here for real time global country macro, interest, currency risks simulation

請按此參閱最新每日即時國際國家風險，利率匯率股市價格模擬風險osa

We do so, at the macro level, by being forthcoming when necessary in our views on our perception of risks in a particular sector of the economy or a type of activity

因此，我們在宏觀層面進行監察，有需要時會對某個經濟環節或某類經濟活動的風險提出意見。

In our country, the commercial banks face the paradox : first, the too high mortgage guarantee wastes the consumers ' limited guaranteed resources on the macro - scope ; second, this may cause the commercial banks depend on mortgage guarantee too much ; third, the financial risks which hides in the high - mortgage loan can ' t be neglected

摘要我國商業銀行面臨抵押擔保的困境：一是過高的擔保要求，在宏觀上是一種非效率選擇；二是可能造成商業銀行過分依賴于擔保來規避風險；三是在當前的法律制度環境下，高抵押的信貸合約隱含的金融風險不可小視。

Generally speaking, risks that enterprises are likely to face in the future operation include technology risk, marketplace risk, finance risk, management risk, credit risk, and macro - economy risk

總的來講，企業可能面臨的風險有：技術風險，市場風險，財務風險，經營管理風險，信用風險，宏觀經濟風險。