month indicator 中文意思是什麼
month indicator
解釋
月歷指示環-
At first, this paper reviews the traditional currency crisis theories and the research on the early warning system ; thereby try to search for the crisis root and some important early warning indicator, and then basing on those and the kaminsky ' s early warning system of the currency crisis, i analyze statistically the thailand monthly data from 1992 to 2000, seek the threshold of every early warning indicator, the adjusted noise - signal ratio and the early warning synthesis indicator, forecast the possibility of thailand happening the crisis in the coming 12 month with the month data in 2001, and finally conclude that thailand would not happen the crisis in the coming 12 month
首先本文對傳統貨幣危機理論和近期對貨幣危機預警的研究進行了回顧，從而試圖尋找危機的根源和一些重要的預警指標，在此基礎上，運用kaminsky的貨幣危機早期預警方法? ?信號分析法，對泰國1992 - 2000年年間的月度數據進行了統計分析，求出每個預警指標的閾值、調整后的噪音信號比以及危機預警的綜合指標，進而採用泰國2001年的月度數據對泰國未來12個月進行危機預測，最後得出泰國在未來12個月內不會發生危機。
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