moving average forecast method 中文意思是什麼
moving average forecast method
解釋
移動平均預測法- moving : n. 1. 活動,移動；煽動,感動。2. 〈pl. 〉〈口語〉電影。adj. 1. 動的；移動的。2. 使人感動的,動人的。3. 主動的，原動力的。
- average : n 1 平均，平均數。2 一般水平，平均標準。3 【商業】海損；海損費用；（給領航的）報酬。adj 1 平均的...
- forecast : vt. （forecast, forecasted; forecast, forecasted） 預測；預報（天氣）。n. 預測；預報。 a weather forecast 天氣預報。
- method : n 1 方法，方式；順序。2 （思想、言談上的）條理，規律，秩序。3 【生物學】分類法。4 〈M 〉【戲劇】...
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The forecasts method including the forecast method of simple moving average, the forecast method of weighting moving average, the forecast method of single exponential smoothing, the forecast method of double exponential smoothing, the forecast method of multiplication model and the forecast method of monadic linear regression
預測方法包括簡單移動平均法、加權移動平均法、一次指數平滑法、二次指數平滑法、乘法模型預測法和一元線性回歸方程預測法。 -
This system adopts cumulatively autoregressive moving average model [ arima ] of time series method and modified model gm ( 1, 1 ) of grey system, makes a local load forecasting modeling through the integration of the above two models and also preprocesses the daily load during the sudden change of climate, thus greatly improving the forecast accuracy. the practical operation indicates that the model is reasonable and easy to operate with complete function
本系統在經過反復試算后，在演算法上採用了時間序列法的累積式自回歸動平均模型（ arima ）與灰色系統中的gm （ 1 ， 1 ）改進模型，並將兩種模型組合用於該地區負荷預報建模，另外還對氣候急變日負荷進行了預處理，大大提高了預報準確度。 -
The paper proves that with ar ( 1 ) process for the end demand, if retailer adopts moving average or exponential smoothing to forecast the non - zero lead time demand, then bullwhip effect in demand forecasting and processing will occur ; if retailer adopts the optimal forecasting method, then bullwhip effect will occur conditionally
證明當存在訂貨提前期時，零售商採用移動平均法及一次指數平滑法預測會導致在需求預測，信息處理及傳遞過程中產生牛鞭效應；而採用最優預測僅在需求相關性很強時存在有限值的牛鞭效應。
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