risk probability analysis 中文意思是什麼

risk probability analysis 解釋
風險概率分析
  • risk : n 1 風險，危險；冒險。2 【保險】（損失的）風險（率）；保險金額；被保險人，被保險物。vt 冒…的危險...
  • probability : n 1 或有；或然性。2 【哲學】蓋然性〈在 certainly 和 doubt 或 posibility 之間〉。3 【數學】幾率，...
  • analysis : n. （pl. -ses ）1. 分解，分析；【數學】解析。2. 梗概，要略。3. 〈美國〉用精神分析法治療（＝ psychoanalysis）。
  1. The main process of regional ecological risk assessment includes 5 stages : regional analysis, risk receptor selection, risk sources analysis, exposure and hazard analysis, and integrated risk assessment. arming at flood, drought, storm tide, petroleum pollution accident and flow breaking in the lower huanghe river, the probability and distribution of each kind of risk sources are evaluated. the authors bring forward indexes and formulas to measure hazarded degree and risk value of ecosystem. by using remote sensing data, historic record, survey data and by means of geographical information system, regional ecological risk assessment is finished. on the basis of assessment result, the environmental risk management countermeasure of the huanghe river delta is advanced

    以黃河三角洲為例進行了區域生態風險評價理論和方法的探討。針對黃河三角洲主要生態風險源洪澇乾旱風暴潮災害油田污染事故以及黃河斷流的概率進行了分級評價並提出度量生態損失與生態風險的指標和公式，分析了風險源的危害作用運用遙感資料歷史記錄調查數據和地理信息系統gis技術，完成了區域生態風險綜合評價在此基礎上提出黃河三角洲的區域生態風險管理對策。
  2. The appraisal takes the ecology material, the environment material, chemistry material, the toxicology material as the foundation, through the project analysis, the source strong analysis sets a target the pollutant, distinguishes its hazardous nature, the probability, the degree, the scope which the computation risk occurs and so on, the choice appraisal end point, the use appraisal model forecast goal pollutant exposed density, the analysis risk source to the acceptor the harm degree, carries on the risk attribute

    評價以生態資料、環境資料、化學資料、毒理學資料為基礎，通過工程分析、源強分析，確定目標污染物，鑒別其危害性，計算風險發生的概率、程度、范圍等，選擇評價終點，利用評價模型預測目標污染物的暴露濃度，分析風險源對受體的危害程度，進行風險表徵。
  3. The new ways that solve multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability permanent type : decision making diagram method, matrix analysis method, multiple objectives markov method, the shortest distance method, successive type variation multiple objectives decision making under risk method and fuzzy analysis decision making method. 3. the new modes that solve multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability interval type and uncharted type : weighted method and sorting method 4 the new repent average value criterion that handle multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability uncharted type and generalizing the criterions that have been used into one objective decision making under probability into uncharted type to multiple objectives decision making under probability into uncharted type. 5. giving the error analyses method and decision result regulating method that been used into multiple objectives decision making under risk

    2 、探討了『決策圖法』 、 『矩陣法』 、 『多目標馬爾科夫法』 、 『最小距離法』 、 『連續型變量的多目標風險型決策法』和『模糊分析決策法』等解決概率固定型的多目標風險型決策的新方法。 3 、探討了『加權法』 、 『排序法』兩種解決概率區間型和未知型的多目標風險型決策的方法； 4 、在概率未知型的多目標風險型決策中改進了『後悔值準則』 ，提出了『後悔均值準則』 ；並將單目標概率未知型風險型決策的準則推廣運用到多目標概率未知型的風險型決策中去； 5 、探討了多目標風險型決策方法誤差分析及決策結果值調整的方法。
  4. We attempted to advance the certainty method based on the background value of earthquake ground motion ' s parameters, combined the probability seismic risk analysis and certainty seismic risk analysis to study the characteristics of earthquake ground motion ' s parameters in jianghuai region which is medium - strong earthquakes ' transition region, and protracted the calculating background values of earthquake ground motion ' s parameters to plane equivalence value maps and solid equivalence value maps

    摘要嘗試性地提出了基於地震動參數背景值的確定性方法，將概率性地震危險性分析和確定性地震危險性分析相結合，對江淮地區這一中強震過渡區的地震動參數特徵進行了研究，並把地震動參數背景值的計算結果繪製成平面等值線圖和立體等高線圖。
  5. After analyzing the character of risk, i introduce data mining method into risk management, to solve the contradiction between great capacity of data and lack of information, the methods include mathematics statistics and artificial neural network ( ann ). then, i study on the methods of risk management in risk identification, risk evaluation and risk disposal, what is advanced, fault tree analysis method based on fuzzy probability, stochastic simulation method and the topsis method based on interval number all consider the characteristic of risk. finally, i discussed the application of information system ( mis ) in project risk management, and developed a risk management information system

    論文在深入分析了風險特徵之後，將數據挖掘技術引入風險管理，用以解決海量數據與貧乏信息之間的矛盾，所採用的技術有數理統計和人工神經網路（ ann ）兩種方法；接著，論文對風險識別、風險評價、風險處理中的風險管理方法進行了研究，所提出的基於模糊概率的故障樹技術、隨機模擬技術和基於區間數的topsis方法都體現了風險管理的特點；最後，論文對信息系統（ mis ）在工程項目風險管理中的應用進行了探討，開發出一個風險管理信息系統。
  6. An analysis of maximun probability and minimun risk about portfolio investment

    證券組合投資的最大概率與最小風險分析
  7. The author defined the risk of water supply in plain reservoir through the probability if the water demand is bigger than project ' s carrying capacity, and elaborated the risk analysis of water supply source system and the simulation method

    以供水工程承擔的供水外來負荷大於工程本身的承載能力的概率定義了平原水庫供水水源系統的風險，闡述了供水水源系統風險分析及模擬方法。
  8. This thesis regards choice mode of basic asset of credit asset securitization as study entry, using the relevant principles in disciplines such as economics, finances, investments, financial engineering, theory of probability and mathematical statistic and commercial bank management, etc., drawing lessons from analysis tools and research methods of predecessors, through summarizing relevant concepts and principles, earning and risk of credit asset securitization, outlines a general definition of credit asset securitization and draws importance of choosing basic asset of credit asset securitization on this basis

    本文將信貸資產證券化基礎資產的選擇模式作為研究切入點，運用經濟學、金融學、投資學、金融工程學、概率論與數理統計和商業銀行管理等學科的相關原理，並借鑒前人的一些分析工具和研究方法，通過對信貸資產證券化的相關概念及原理、收益與風險的分析，對信貸資產證券化作一個總的界定，並在此基礎上引出信貸資產證券化基礎資產選擇的重要性。
  9. After analysizing the alternatives with equilibrium analysis, sensitivity analysis and probability analysis, anti - risk abilitys of these alternatives meet the requirements, and the second is better. then project eastern pearl garden is feasible

    進一步採用盈虧平衡分析、敏感性分析與概率分析等不確定性分析方法進行研究，兩個方案的抗風險能力均能滿足要求，但第二方案仍優于第一方案。
  10. But now in the process of real estate investment analysis, the traditional methods of risk analysis to investigate the risk are the sensitivity analysis and balanced analysis ; these methods primarily include the following deficiencies : ( 1 ) they can only analyze the impact of risk, but it will overlook the possibility of the risk, so it can only evaluate impact for the project of the risk factor, it can not make the determination for the probability of occurrence

    但是目前在房地產開發投資分析過程中，所使用的風險分析方法還在沿用傳統的風險調查法、敏感性分析法和盈虧平衡分析法;這些方法都是假設資源沒有限制的原則下，側重數學分析和解析計算，由於簡化了風險問題本身的相關性和復雜性，使得這些方法在實際中的應用受到了限制，主要存在以下不足之處: （ 1 ）只能分析風險的影響作用，而忽略了風險本身發生的大小差別，故只能對項目的風險因素作影響程度上的評價，而不能對其作發生概率大小的測定。
  11. In this article we firstly puts forward and discusses the quantitative analysis of real estate investment systematic risk and earnings with the investment economics theory and the probability and mathematical statistics method, secondly puts and discusses the quantitative analysis of real estate investment nonsystematic risk and earnings with monte carlo method and the probability and mathematical statistics method, finally discusses the quantitative analysis of real estate investment total risk and earnings with the probability and mathematical statistics method

    文中首先提出並論述了利用投資經濟學理論和概率數理統計方法對房地產投資系統風險及其收益進行定量分析；其次提出並闡述了利用蒙特卡洛方法和概率數理統計方法對房地產投資非系統風險及其收益進行定量分析；最後論述了利用概率數理統計方法對房地產投資綜合風險及其收益數值的定量分析方法。
  12. From the angle of uncertainty of inflow and water consumption, the risk of water dispatching on the lower reaches of the yellow river is analyzed. inflow series are generated by use of the method of representative disaggregation. water consumption series are generated according to rainfall probability distribution. a model for risk analysis of water dispatching is established with the technique of stochastic simulation, and a quantitative description of risk is presented, thus, making the water dispatching decision - making more scientific

    從來水和用水不確定性角度分析黃河下游水量調度風險.對來水採用典型解集方法生成來水系列，對用水根據降雨概率分佈生成用水系列，利用隨機模擬技術建立了水量調度風險分析模型，給出風險的定量描述，從而使水量調度決策更加符合實際
  13. After introduce several methods about risk assessment, such as. decision - making analysis method, probability risk assessment using event tree and fault tree. construction reliability, the risk assessment that embodiment stress - strengthen interference models, we explain the method that used in the paper in detail

    在簡要介紹常見的幾種常用風險評價方法，如：決策分析、失效模式影響及評價，概率風險評估、概率結構力學和結構可靠性分析的基礎上，詳細討論的本文所採用的模糊綜合評判方法的理論基礎及技術路線。
  14. Among others, the probability analysis approach has difficulty in deciding objective probability, and thus it is necessary to obtain subjective probability through expert empirical prediction, modify it by the bayesian formula and get a posteriori probability, and substitute it for objective probability in risk measurement and risk premium calculation

    其中，概率分析方法在應用中就存在客觀概率不易確定的難點問題，因此需用專家經驗預測法得到主觀概率后，利用貝葉斯公式加以修正並獲得后驗概率，再用后驗概率代替客觀概率進行風險的度量及風險收益的計算。
  15. " pl " ( the probability of the accident multiplied by the gravity of the resultion injury ) is the risk associated with the activity, the expected liability or the discounted accident cost. hand formula is the first attempt which uses economic analysis to deal with tort. though hand formula makes the reasonable - man standard more accurate, actually, hand formula and the reasonabl - man standard are not absolute in solving the cases

    但是，漢德公式和理性人標準的運用並不是絕對的，在實際的案件審理中，仍然存在一些抗辯理由，因此，漢德公式並不是看上去那麼簡單，在具體案件中應用它並使其符合效益原則更不是一件容易的事，漢德公式在確定行為人的責任或義務范圍以及處理侵權糾紛方面的確有一些積極意義，但它的適用也受到許多限制。
  16. Utilizing factor analysis on these three data sets, eighteen common factors extracted from the occurring probability data set were obtained and able to explain 79. 498 % of variances ; sixteen common factors extracted from the consequence data set were obtained and able to explain 80. 003 % of variances ; and, seventeen common factors extracted from the overall risk perception data set were obtained and able to explain 79. 697 % of variances

    使用因子分析，得出18個發生機率共同因子，共可解釋79 . 498 %變異量；得出16個影響滿意程度共同因子，共可解釋80 . 003 %變異量；以及得出17個風險認知共同因子，共可解釋79 . 697 %變異量。
  17. 2. resolved the problem of quantifying project ’ s ability of resisting risk in the condition that cannot carry on the probability analysis

    2 、解決了在不具備概率分析條件的情況下量化項目抵抗風險能力的問題。
  18. Probability analysis can take risk evaluation of project all - sidedly in the common methods of uncertainty analysis, but it is difficulty to conclude the probability distribution of uncertainty factors " variety which affect project. so it is not applied widely in real operation

    在不確定性分析常用的方法中概率分析能夠全面地對項目風險進行評價，但是因影響項目的不確定性因素變化的概率分佈較難確定，所以在實際操作中沒能得到廣泛的應用。
  19. Risk analysis model based on probability theory is not ideal in engineering application by reason that it needs so sufficient raw data to describe the probability characteristic of uncertain parameter

    摘要工程應用表明，基於概率理論的風險分析模型並不是十分理想的模型，因為它需要有足夠的原始數據來描述不確定參數的概率特徵。
  20. On the basis of fuzzy set theory and probability, the fuzzy risk theory model measuring the risk is established in risk analysis

    在風險分析中，以模糊集理論為計算工具，借用概率統計思想，建立度量風險大小的模糊風險理論模型。
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