shipping forecast 中文意思是什麼
shipping forecast
解釋
航運行情預測-
As the market economy system is founding and china is to be accepted by wto. all parts of the coastal coal transportation system, especially the coastal harbors, face very drastically competition. the aim of this paper is to summarize the experiences of the construction of coal harbors, forecast the harbor throughout and shipping quantity based the main effect of the sea coal market by the investigation of the equipment of coal harbors, give the coal harbor evaluating index and methods, and analyze the foreground and countermeasure of the harbors based the system innovation by the developing forecast of coal market and the capacity analyze of coal harbors
隨著社會主義市場經濟體制的逐步建立以及我國加入世界貿易組織的步伐日益加快，煤炭海運系統的各個環節尤其是沿海煤炭運輸港口也面臨著十分激烈的市場競爭，本項研究的目的是總結歸納十幾年來我國煤炭港口建設的歷史經驗，通過對我國煤炭海運港口基礎設施狀況進行深入調查，在研究煤炭海運市場主要影響因素的基礎上，預測我國中長期煤炭海運量和港口吞吐量，進而提出煤炭海運港口評價指標和方法；通過對煤炭市場的發展預測以及煤炭海運港口的能力分析，結合港口體制的改革，分析研究煤炭海運港口的發展前景和對策。 -
This paper is to analyze the fact that the scale of coastal ports is becoming larger and larger and that the increase of coal transportation has already demand the better equipments in coal harbors and shipping quality, to forecast the consumption of coal transportation in the future and to point out the developing trend of coal transportation. the paper uses the method of determining the nature and quantity. the sea coal quantity is forecast by using the detailed transportation in different coastal harbors it evaluates the capacity of different harbors by contrasting true transportation with the deigned capacity
本項研究採用了定量和定性相結合的方法：煤炭運輸的未來需求主要是應用現有港口吞吐量數據進行預測；對現在港口設施的利用情況以及港口的煤炭通過能力也根據碼頭泊位與實際通過量的對比作以定量分析，文中還大量的運用了系統方法和原理，對我國煤炭運輸的現狀及其市場的發展進行了詳細闡述，最終提出了解決現有不足的對策。 -
First of all, i summarize the forecast model category and estimate each model in detail, then, i adopt different model to forecast demand, supply, bdi of bulk shipping market. as to demand forecast, i mainly focus on the imitating precision of primitive data, adopt grey forecast model, self - suited filter model separately, and then compose these models as a better one. as to supply forecast, i use econometrics model to describe the complicated relationship of demand, supply, bdi, gnp etc. as to bdi, i try to draw into market integrated factor, describe the relationship of bdi, supply, capacity, speed, rate of oil, navigating capital etc. then finally, i make afterwards evaluation of these models and then analyze future bulk shipping market in detail
對于需求預測，著重考慮對原始數據的擬合精度，經過模型比較優選論證，分別採用了灰色一階模型，改進的灰色二階、自適應過濾預測的加權組合模型，得到了相當高的擬合精度；對于供給預測，運用計量經濟模型對供給、需求、運價、 gnp 、進出口貿易額等多變量之間復雜的相互關系進行動態模擬，定量的反映出各變量之間的因果關系；對于運價預測，嘗試引入市場綜合因數概念，化繁為簡，通過描述運價與運力供給、載重噸、油耗、航速、燃油價格、航行成本等等諸多因素的關系來進行預測。 -
Through narrating the basic summarize of container transportation, and especially the concept, the organization and the current container transportation problems which exist in the freezing container transportation, this article mainly analyzes the freight source, transportation trait and transportation market circumstances to freezing container, less container load passage between " dalian and japan ", and also forecast the transportation quantities of the transportation in 2003. at last, i reach the conclusion that the management to freezing less container load transportation between " dalian and japan " is a suitable item for middle - sized and small - sized shipping company
本文通過對集裝箱運輸的發展概述，尤其是冷藏集裝箱運輸的概念、組織、以及目前存在的問題，重點分析了對「大連-日本航線」冷藏集裝箱拼箱的貨源、運輸特點、運輸市場現狀、並利用數學模型預測了2003年「大連-日本航線」集裝箱運輸的前景，得出經營大連至日本冷藏拼箱運輸適合中小型航運企業經營發展是有潛力的市場。 -
According to the specialty of the business, the emphasis is put on the three aspects : the analysis of contending for dealership, forecast of the future shipping market of containers and expert consultation
針對其具體的業務特點，重點研究三個方面：攬貨決策分析、智能預測以及專家咨詢。 -
The article first presentations the situation of dzsc, point out the problems, then analyses the tendency of civil shipping market, figures out that the shipping structure has changed, shipping companies will confront both opportunity and challenge once china joins wto. at last the article gives quantitative analysis on the freight quantity that the same companies as dzsc in dalian have taken. three different forecast methods are used to obtain the best results, and on this basis figures out that dzsc should remain take up the civil shipping market and at the same time prepare for accessing to overseas market
本文首先介紹中海航公司的基本情況，指出存在的問題；其次對國內沿海貨運市場的現狀和發展趨勢做出分析，認為運輸結構發生了變化，企業合作方興未艾，加入wto以後，航運企業將面臨機遇與挑戰；最後，對企業的貨運量進行定量分析，運用三種預測方法得到最佳預測值，並在此基礎上認為公司應進行國內沿海運輸，並做好積極的準備，以便在適當時機進入國際航運市場。 -
Division of function between yangshan deep water port of shanghai international shipping center and other periphery ports and carrying volume forecast balance
上海國際航運中心洋山深水港區同周邊各港區的功能劃分及運量預測平衡 -
Economy. under the situation of the economic worldly, with actuality of the shipping business enterprises and the development of the modern logistics for the background, drawing lessons from the main shipping business enterprise in world, and appling the compounding model to forecast the quantity of container transportation in future, that indicate the snipping business enterprises form logistics strategy alliance with the same or different industry, expand the scope of service, that become the valid path that shipping business enterprises acquire vitality
在經濟全球化形勢下，以航運企業的現狀和現代物流的發展為背景，借鑒全球主要航運企業發展現代物流的經驗，用組合預測模型對國際集裝箱運量進行預測的基礎上，指明航運企業與同行業或不同行業的企業結成物流戰略聯盟，拓展服務的范圍，成為航運企業獲得生命力的有效途徑。 -
The hong kong observatory provided twice a day weather forecast over a pre - defined area of lingding yang in support of the swimming event of mr. zhang jian from hong kong to macao in 2005. severe weather warnings and tropical cyclone warnings for shipping were also provided
香港天文臺為2005年連珠行動-張健橫渡伶仃洋提供每日兩次在伶仃洋指定范圍內的天氣預測，惡劣天氣警告服務及為船舶提供的熱帶氣旋警告。 -
When a tropical cyclone is located within the area bounded by latitudes 10n and 30n and longitudes 105e and 125e, the hong kong observatory issues additional warnings for shipping at 3 - hourly intervals giving detailed information on the location, intensity and forecast movement of the tropical cyclone, and also wind and wave conditions associated with it
當有熱帶氣旋集結在北緯10至30度及東經105至125度之間的時候，天文臺即為船舶每隔3小時額外發出一次警報，詳細列明熱帶氣旋的位置與強度，並預報其移動途徑和所引起的風和海浪情況。 -
Through discussions with the fa experts, i present the application of nn ( neural network ) in the process of contending for dealership, that is, to establish b - p three - layer network so to simulate the expert ' s reasoning, and give the suggestions similar to the experts ". in consideration of the transport market ' s changes, the research also provides a forecast of the shipping capacity on several main lines of the world
通過同貨運代理領域專家的多次探討，本文提出了將神經網路技術應用於「攬取貨源決策」這一重要環節，即建立攬貨決策神經網路，採用b - p三層網路結構，通過對專家所提供的樣本的反復學習，使得系統能模擬貨代領域專家的思維進行推理，給出專家水平的建議。 -
Chapter two concentrates on the analysis of the supply and demand of international dry bulk cargo shipping market, mainly analyse the tendency and influence factors of the market. chapter three forecast the dry bulk cargo transportation volume by means of the time series analysis and grey prediction
第二章國際干散貨航運市場供需分析，通過近十年國際干散貨航運市場的運力供給、運力需求、運價三個方面實績的分析，研究了國際干散貨航運市場的走勢及影響因素。 -
To be compatible with the strategy of " changing from global carrier to global logistics operator " by cosco, aiming to accelerating the development of cosco logistics the article introduces the status quo of international shipping and cosco shipping, logistics development and its trend, using qualitative and quantitative methods to analyze arid forecast the logistics market
根據中遠集團「由全球承運人向全球物流經營人轉變」的經營戰略，本文從進一步促進中遠物流發展這一目的出發，介紹了國際航運業形勢與中遠航運業現狀、物流的發展歷程及發展趨勢，並採用定性定量技術對物流市場進行了分析預測。 -
The forecast information is added to the warnings for shipping for the area bounded by 10 - 30 n, 105 - 125 e
有關資料附加在發出給船舶的熱帶氣旋警告內，警告范圍是北緯10至30度及東經105至125度。 -
( 2 ) the thesis offers an actual case using the income approach to assess the value of the shipping enterprises that appear on the market and make profit, hi the course of valuation, the grey system theory is employed to forecast the future income of the shipping enterprises
（ 2 ）用實例演示收益現值法在上市盈利航運價值評估中的應用，其中用灰色系統理論對航運企業未來收益進行預測，用加權平均資本成本模型和資本資產定價模型確定折現率。 -
According to the world economy trend, the article gives a general forecast and analysis on the development of the world container shipping market in the year of 2006
展望2006年，雖然存在許多不確定因素，但出現重大突發性事件的可能性較小，預計國際集裝箱運輸市場有望繼續處于強勢發展周期。 -
Next we will use the linear regression and the module to forecast the throughput of the dalian port in the next five years. finally we put forward the strategic plan and the corresponding tactics for dalian port to become the regional shipping centers
接著又運用線性回歸和二次曲線回歸模型，對今後五年大連港的貨物吞吐量、大連港及北方周邊主要港口集裝箱吞吐量進行了預測，在綜合分析預測結果的基礎上，提出了大連港建立區域國際航運中心的戰略發展目標，並制定了相應的發展對策。
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