概率決策分析 的英文怎麼說
中文拼音 [gàilǜjuécèfēnxī]
概率決策分析
英文
probabilistic decision analysis- 概 : Ⅰ名詞1 (大略) general outline 2 (神氣) manner of carrying and conducting oneself; deportment ...
- 率 : 率名詞(比值) rate; ratio; proportion
- 決 : Ⅰ動詞1 (作出主張; 決定) decide; determine 2 (執行死刑; 殺死) execute a person 3 (裂開; 斷開...
- 策 : Ⅰ名詞1 (通「冊」 古代寫字用的竹片或木片) bamboo or wooden slips used for writing on in ancient ...
- 分 : 分Ⅰ名詞1. (成分) component 2. (職責和權利的限度) what is within one's duty or rights Ⅱ同 「份」Ⅲ動詞[書面語] (料想) judge
- 析 : Ⅰ動詞1. (分開; 散開) divide; separate 2. (分析) analyse; dissect; resolve Ⅱ名詞(姓氏) a surname
- 概率 : [數學] probability; chance概率論 probability theory; theory of chances; 概率曲線 probability curv...
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The third, it analyzes some question about feasibility analysis and provides some means to solve theses question. the fourth, it studies some important problem about real estate feasibility analyzing such as : the market segment and market position of real estate, consumer market and consumer buying action analyzing, the financial evaluation of real estate project, the analysis of risk of real estate project, the indefiniteness analyzing of real estate project. in the part of feasibility analyzing of s real estate project, it analyzes the feasibility of the s project from three aspects including marketing feasibility, engineering and technology feasibility, economical feasibility, then makes a conclusion of feasibility analyzing of s project, together with some suggestion to the problem of s project
第四,對房地產開發項目可行性分析中應重點關注的一些問題進行了較為深入的探討,具體包括:準確地進行房地產市場細分與定位:房地產市場細分的準則,房地產市場定位的任務,房地產市場定位的誤區與對策;認真研究消費者市場及消費者購買行為:影響消費者購買行為的因素,消費者購買決策過程分析,消費者購買行為分析,消費者分析通常應涉及的問題;科學地進行開發項目的財務評價:靜態評價及其優缺點,動態評價及其優缺點;加強開發項目的風險分析:房地產開發項目風險的特點類型,風險的總體狀況及變化趨勢,開發項目風險的防範策略;重視開發項目的不確定性分析:盈虧平衡分析,敏感性分析,概率分析。With this aim, this paper has made a comprehensive study on the problem of the land requisition in our country. armed with such renowned theories as the theory of property right application, land rent, public choice etc., the study has rendered a potent analysis of the problems involved in the current land requisition policy and their reasons. then, based on china ’ s realities, it advances its own proposal to renovate the current policy from various aspects including the nature and limitation, the procedure and the standard of compensations of the land requisition, that is, by means of a combination of enumeration and generalization, decide on a strict definition of public interests ; improve the procedure of the requisition of land under the principle of openness, justice and high efficiency ; set up the compensation standard with the market price as the baton while versified by other supplementary ways ; most importantly, clarify the property right of land
本文通過對土地徵用問題進行系統、深入的調查研究,針對當前我國土地徵用制度存在的主要缺陷和弊端,應用產權理論、地租理論、公共選擇理論、新制度經濟學中的路徑依賴理論以及其它相關理論分析土地徵用存在的問題及其原因,並結合國內外的先進經驗,立足本國實際,從征地性質與范圍的界定、征地程序的完善,以及征地補償標準的確定,提出了完善土地徵用制度的政策建議:採取列舉式和概括式相結合的方式,嚴格的界定「公共利益」范圍;樹立正當的程序觀念,按照公正、公開與效率的原則,完善征地程序;建立以市場價格為主的土地徵用補償標準,建立多樣化的征地補償方式等來解決我國征地中存在的問題,但最根本的是明晰土地產權從而進一步完善我國土地徵用制度。The new ways that solve multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability permanent type : decision making diagram method, matrix analysis method, multiple objectives markov method, the shortest distance method, successive type variation multiple objectives decision making under risk method and fuzzy analysis decision making method. 3. the new modes that solve multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability interval type and uncharted type : weighted method and sorting method 4 the new repent average value criterion that handle multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability uncharted type and generalizing the criterions that have been used into one objective decision making under probability into uncharted type to multiple objectives decision making under probability into uncharted type. 5. giving the error analyses method and decision result regulating method that been used into multiple objectives decision making under risk
2 、探討了『決策圖法』 、 『矩陣法』 、 『多目標馬爾科夫法』 、 『最小距離法』 、 『連續型變量的多目標風險型決策法』和『模糊分析決策法』等解決概率固定型的多目標風險型決策的新方法。 3 、探討了『加權法』 、 『排序法』兩種解決概率區間型和未知型的多目標風險型決策的方法; 4 、在概率未知型的多目標風險型決策中改進了『後悔值準則』 ,提出了『後悔均值準則』 ;並將單目標概率未知型風險型決策的準則推廣運用到多目標概率未知型的風險型決策中去; 5 、探討了多目標風險型決策方法誤差分析及決策結果值調整的方法。The second chapter studies the economy of ship ' s power plants, based on the aspects of lowering fuel cost, waste heat recovery, the match of ship, machinery and propeller, increasing propulsion efficiency, increasing the economy of ship ' s power plants, etc. the third chapter discusses in detail the control measures of voyage change cost, analysizes systematically the voyage change cost based on the way of fuel cost, harbor cost, voyage venture cost. the fourth chapter studies the structures and control measures of seafarers cost, maintenance cost, spare parts and stores cost, lubricating oil cost, etc. which are relatively easy to be controlled ; based on the state maintenance decision - making, a mathematical model is put forward, the validity and its solve process are discussed. the control measures of spare parts, fuel cost and lubricating oil cost should be based on scientific budget, through the control means of application, reception, usage, store check, try to acquire the inosculation of theory
第一章主要討論營運船舶運輸成本,對船舶運輸成本的概念、結構、性質與分攤、成本細分進行了分析,從宏觀上闡明了船舶運輸成本的生存環境和生長趨勢;第二章研究了船舶動力裝置的經濟性,在營運船舶降低油耗、廢熱利用、船機槳匹配、提高推進效率、提高船舶動力裝置經濟性的有效途徑等方面進行了闡述和論證;第三章詳細論述並論證了航次變動成本的控制措施,全面系統地分析和總結了航次變動成本,通過對燃油成本、港口使費、航次風險成本的分析與控制,提出了航次風險成本的概念並論述了若干航次風險成本的控制措施;第四章對船舶營運成本中的船員費用控制、維修保養及其費用控制、船舶備件物料管理及其費用控制等幾個主要可控性較高的成本進行了細致的分析並分別討論了相互的控制措施,提出了基於狀態維修決策的馬爾可夫數學模型並論證了模型的正確性及具體解算步驟,對于備件、燃潤物料的控制堅持以科學的預算為前提,以申領、接收、使用、盤存為控制環節,切實做到理論與實踐的密切結合;第五章,結合營運成本的預核算的案例,對船舶營運成本的預算及核算進行了有益的探討,旨在揭示成本發生的動因,並給出了成本預算、核算的編制方法。Therefore, the safety of bulk carrier is widely concerned ; the theory of insubmersibility is followed by the introductions of domestic and international regulations, solutions, rules and requirements on the floodability ; introduced are the conditions of hold in flooded condition, and provided are the calculation methodology of the stability and buoyancy when flooding. the concept of cargo permeability is concretely defined, and the calculation methods of the amount of flooding waters are executed ; the application of the influence numbers simplify the calculation of the still water bending moment and shearing force in flooded conditions. a new method to calculate the maximum still water bending moment and shearing force is developed by means of the influence numbers ; the simulation system provides a means of evaluation and forecast on ship ' s danger extent after ship is damaged
在抗沉性公式的推導過程中採用一些假設,並分析了這些假設對結果的影響;然後介紹了船舶強度的概念和計算方法,鑒于現有的剪力彎矩計算方法工作量大、效率不高的缺點,引用影響數計算船舶進水后的剪力和彎矩;最後根據船舶抗沉性理論對散貨船破艙進水進行模擬,在模擬中根據船舶破艙的實際危險情況,採用直觀的圖形輸入的辦法,判斷船舶的危險程度並計算船舶到達危險狀態的時間以助於船長做出正確快速的決策。To analyze some key technologies of optical network relative with rwa in detail, such as transmission, switching and internetworking ; to emphasize on the research of function, fabric and performance of optical cross - connection ; to carry out numerical simulations for crosstalk introduced by optical cross connect and to present measurements for suppressing it such as doubly filtering, fixing optimum decision threshold and appropriately choosing the number of multiplexed wavelengths ; 3. to research the fundamental principle and some problems relative with rwa, including the type of optical network, the type of traffic, the type of service, the survivability of optical network ; to classify and compare rwa algorithms and particularly research some dynamic rwa algorithms ; 4. to present reserved light - path and classify network resource such as used, unused and reserved status, to emulate establishment of all - optical connection in optical network through modified rwa algorithm and show effectively reducing setup time of all - optical connection utilizing reserved light - path ; to research rwa algorithms of multi - fiber network, to present new link weight functions dependent on node degree, unused fiber ( s ) per wavelength - layer and routing policies, to perform emulation of rwa based wavelength layer graph applying new link weight functions and show them make algorithms better performance and network lower blocking rate ; 5
詳細分析了與rwa相關的光網路關鍵技術,包括傳輸、交換、組網等,重點研究了光交叉連接的功能和結構、性能,對其引入的串擾進行了詳細分析,選擇恰當的器件參數進行了數值模擬,並提出了抑制措施(如雙重濾波、優化判決門限、選擇恰當的復用波長數) ; 3 .研究了光網路的r認叭的基本原理、與r認叭的幾個相關問題(光網路類型、業務類型、流量類型、光網路生存性) 、 r認人演算法的分類和比較,具體研究了幾種動態r場人演算法; 4 .研究了以全光連接建立時間為優化目標的r認認演算法,提出預置光路的概念,對網路資源進行狀態分類(佔用、未佔用、預置) ,利用改進的r認叭演算法模擬,預置光路可為部分新到的連接請求快速建立連接,從而提高網路性能;研究了以多光纖網路連接阻塞率為優化目標的r認城演算法,提出了以節點度數、每個波長分層的空閑光纖數以及路由策略決定的幾種鏈路權重函數,利用基於波長分層圖模型的并行r場人演算法模擬,利用新的鏈路權重函數使得演算法具有更優的性能,使網路具有更低的連接阻塞率。According to the characteristics of exploration in oil and gas bearing basins, the author designed the model of multi - scheme decision - making of exploration in oil and gas bearing basins with the method of monte carlo and finished the concrete content of model by c + + builder 5. the paper described the whole procedure of simulation and gained the probability of net cash flow, accumulative net cash flow and financial net cash. the author compared the first exploration scheme with others and revised the result by the method of analytical hierarchy process
以羌塘盆地為實際算例,具體描述了模擬的整個過程,得到了各年凈現金流量,累計凈現金流量,財務凈現值等經濟決策指標的概率分佈函數和累計概率分佈函數,並對羌塘盆地的三個大規模勘探方案作了比較,使用層次分析法對比較結果作了修正。Thirdly, comprehensive attribute method and risk coefficient are used to comprehensively evaluate the risk of the three sites so as to identify key risk factors and evluate the whole risk probability. fourthly, optimal scheme is selected via comparing schemes of the three plant sites through using investment model based on maximum shannon rule. lastly, measures to monitor and control risk consisting in this project are analyzed
在對該項目三個備選廠址的風險識別的基礎上,利用極大熵準則對各廠址存在的風險進行估計,得出各風險發生的概率,然後利用綜合屬性度法和風險系數對各廠址存在的風險進行綜合評價,找出了關鍵風險,並得到了該項目的整體風險水平,進而通過基於極大熵準則的大型工程投資決策模型對該項目的廠址選擇方案進行決策,選出了最優方案,最後,分析了該項目中存在的風險的應對監控措施。It ' s a pity that although there are many papers and articles focused on data mining published every year, most of them deal with data mining concept and abstract algorithm theory, it is hardly to see their real implementation and application, in this context, when i was in my graduate exercitation in a company in beijing, which focus on developing supermarket software, i joined and completed an olap ( online analytical processing ) project, merchandise analysis and sale report system, which based on microsoft analysis service and microsoft sql server. i also design and implement three important algorithms : merchandise association rule algorithm based on multi - level merchandise category, supermarket member customer shopping frequent sequence generating algorithm, customer classification ( decision tree ) algorithm which based on information entropy and conditional probability tree, and they all achieve expected result
本文作者在實習期間,參與並完成了基於微軟分析服務器的銷售分析與報表系統;並在公司即將開始的數據挖掘項目中,完成了多個重要演算法的設計和c + +程序實現:基於多層分類商品樹的商品關聯規則演算法,會員顧客的購物頻繁序列模式產生演算法;基於信息熵理論和條件概率樹的會員顧客分類(決策樹)演算法,並分別使用數據進行了測試,取得了較好的結果。The decision model is build for the index analysis of product performance, the qualified probability estimate, the product evaluation of comprehensive quality etc., moreover, the application and the executing environment of these models are discussed and analyzed, and the executing effect of the partial models is estimated in this paper
建立了產品性能指標分析、合格概率評價、產品綜合質量評估等決策模型,討論分析了這些模型的應用及運行環境,並評估了部分模型的運行效果。Taking ningxia - inner mongolia reach of yellow river as a study case, a ice regime forecast data warehouse is established for the datamining concerned on the basis of the analysis on the ice regime changing law and its influencing factor of the reach, and then the conceptual mathematic model and artificial neural network model for the parameter calibration of ice regime forecast are built up with gis in combination of the relevant empirical forecast models based on the principles of the hydrological flow muting, thermodynamics and ice hydraulics etc., with which the design and development of the decision support system for the ice regime forecast with the integrated functions of information inquiry, model parameter calibration, temperature forecast and ice regime forecast are preliminarily discussed
摘要以黃河寧蒙河段為例,在對河段歷史冰情變化規律及其影響因素分析的基礎上,建立冰情預報數據庫,進行數據挖掘,並以地理信息系統( gis )為平臺,以水文學流量演算、熱力學、冰水力學等原理為基礎,結合相關經驗預報模型,建立用實測資料進行參數率定的冰情預報概念性數學模型和人工神經網路模型,初步探討了集信息查詢、模型參數率定、氣溫預報、冰情預報等功能為一體的冰情預報決策支持系統的設計與開發。In part one, the general of reclamation of arable land for reforestation : basing on resulting lots of data, author referred to many measures taken by america and china in the reclamation of arable land for reforestation and took the comparison, which concluded the following : china does not take the ways that the developed countries firstly destroyed before protection ; carrying out the reclamation of arable land for reforestation step and step is the important step which improves the reasonlesss utilization of land ; because of the weak economic base in the reclamation of arable land for reforestation of china and the low rate of labor, we should enlarge the content of science and technology, improve per yield of the remaining cultivated land and solve the self - sufficiency of grain, meanwhile the government should strengthen the transfer of remaining labor, adjust the industrial construction and lead the construction of small cities and towns ; the implement of reclamation of arable land for reforestation does not leave the support of the government ; we should carry out the reclamation of arable land for reforestation according to law ; the reclamation of arable land for reforestation does not be seen the effort in the short time, we should insist in a long time. which can have the result
本論文共分八個部分:第一部分退耕還林概況:筆者在查閱大量資料的基礎上,參閱美國與中國的退耕還林過程中所採取的各項措施並進行比較,得出了以下結論:中國不能重走發達國家先破壞后保護的道路;有計劃、有步驟地實施退耕還林是改善不合理土地利用現象的有力舉措;中國退耕還林經濟基礎較為薄弱,農業勞動生產率低,退耕還林后,必須加大科技含量,提高剩餘耕地的單產,解決糧食自給問題,同時,政府應加強剩餘勞動力轉移,產業結構調整及小城鎮建設的引導;退耕還林的實施仍離不開政府的扶持;依法退耕還林;退耕還林不是在短期內能見到效果的,長期堅持必有成效。該部分最後論述了目前國內退耕還林工程政策、管理方面的現狀及其存在哪些問題尚待改進或繼續深入研究,並需要進一步完善。第二部分退耕還林背景分析:針對我國目前生態環境建設中的退耕還林工程,就其產生的根源從社會經濟背景、生態環境背景及西部大開發三個角度進行了全面、系統的分析。Firstly this paper summarized relational literatures on the way of basic theory, study method and conception ; secondly this paper analysed the actuality of allocation for higher schools " s s & t resource according to year 1995 - 2000 < usts > and < ' 00 national r & d resource check data >. then this paper evaluated the allocation actuality by the method of ahp and dea on the directly in - output efficiency and relatively efficiency according t o above analysing. finally this paper optimized the allocation structure by the method of sd. and brought forward the standard of optimizing allocation according to the speciality of s & t resource, and that this paper relevant countermeasures, and offered the decision - making gist for government department
本論文首先對相關文獻從基礎理論、研究方法和概念方面進行了綜述;其次依據1995 - 2000年教育部每年的《高等學校科技統計資料匯編》 ,以及《 2000年全國r & d清查數據》 ,對河北省高校科技資源配置的現狀,從規模、結構方面,重點對人力資源、財力資源,分別運用層次分析、 dea等方法,從直接投入產出效率和相對效率角度,對配置現狀進行了分析評價;最後根據科技資源配置的特點和基礎理論提出了優化配置的標準,同時運用系統動力學方法對配置結構進行了優化,而且提出了相應的對策,為決策部門提供了可以參考的決策依據。In reverse, it causes much debt and make themselves go into trouble in this article, with discussion on the whole course of the technical reformation project to cn cutters made by harbin nol tool works, from setting up the project, introduction of the enterprise status, the marketing forecast to the investment evaluation and financial analysis. it introduces these problems in details from all aspect. applying financial ration analyzing theory, enterprise strategy management theory enables the quantitative evaluation of the enterprise present situation
本文詳細敘述了哈爾濱第一工具廠數控刀具技術改造項目實施的全過程,從項目立項,企業概況介紹,市場預測一直到投資估算及財務分析評價,從多方面多角度介紹項目改造過程中應考慮的問題,運用了財務比率分析理論和企業戰略管理理論,對該企業的現狀進行了定性分析及定量評價,並提出了解決問題的方法和相關對策。This paper combined the study of predecessor and use pert predicted method and technology of monte - carlo simulation to get the probability distribution of project ' s random npv, and to use the theory of expected utility to get expected utility value for decision - making to make decision of project
本文結合前人的研究,利用pert預測法和蒙特卡洛模擬法,建立了項目的隨機凈現值模型。通過分析凈現值的概率分佈,利用期望效用理論得出決策者的期望效用值,對項目作出決策。The most application principle on decision - making of probability analysis result is maximum expected principle
對概率分析結果進行決策的原則應用較多的是最大期望值原則。Statistics and reliability theory are used as the basic theory in this paper to deal with the key and difficult questions in engineering risk analysis and risk decision area. some important structures in south - north water transfer project ( snwtp ) of middle route as the engineering examples are detailed studied in the paper. the main contents researched in this paper are as follows : 1
本文以概率論及可靠度理論為基礎,以南水北調中線工程為背景,從工程角度針對當前工程風險分析及風險決策領域的熱點和難點進行了研究,主要工作內容如下: 1 、分析了南水北調中線工程中的風險因素,及可能採取的應對措施。After introduce several methods about risk assessment, such as. decision - making analysis method, probability risk assessment using event tree and fault tree. construction reliability, the risk assessment that embodiment stress - strengthen interference models, we explain the method that used in the paper in detail
在簡要介紹常見的幾種常用風險評價方法,如:決策分析、失效模式影響及評價,概率風險評估、概率結構力學和結構可靠性分析的基礎上,詳細討論的本文所採用的模糊綜合評判方法的理論基礎及技術路線。To make it clear, the article use and analyze numerical value cases from bellmum and zadeh. finally in order to work out the value function in all forms and the expected value of optimization in all aspects easily, we take down all the problem existing in multi - stage stochastic decision processes. the solution of optimum is formed and multi - stage stochastic decision tree - table is introduced
為說明問題,本文利用bellman和zadeh [ 1 ]的數值例,應用兩種方法進行分析,最後為了更方便的解出對所有形式的評價函數,及其期望值的最優化解對各種進行的發展,把經過多階段概率決策過程的問題記述下來,構成一個最優解的統一圖表,引入了多段概率決策樹表。It covers introductory probability, decision analysis, basic statistics, regression, simulation, linear and nonlinear optimization, and discrete optimization
課程內容包含有概率論簡介,決策分析,統計基礎,回歸,模擬,線性及非線性優化和離散型優化模式之介紹。分享友人