統計決定論 的英文怎麼說

中文拼音 [tǒngjìjuédìnglún]
統計決定論 英文
statistical decision theory
  • 統 : Ⅰ名詞1 （事物間連續的關系） interconnected system 2 （衣服等的筒狀部分） any tube shaped part of ...
  • 計 : Ⅰ動詞1 （計算） count; compute; calculate; number 2 （設想; 打算） plan; plot Ⅱ名詞1 （測量或計算...
  • 決 : Ⅰ動詞1 （作出主張; 決定） decide; determine 2 （執行死刑; 殺死） execute a person 3 （裂開; 斷開...
  • 定 : Ⅰ形容詞1 （平靜; 穩定） calm; stable 2 （已經確定的; 不改變的） fixed; settled; established Ⅱ動詞...
  • 論 : 論名詞（記錄孔子及其門徒的言行的「論語」） the analects of confucius
  • 統計 : 1 （對有關數據的搜集、整理、計算和分析） statistics; census; numerical statement; vital statistic...
  1. An introduction to descriptive and inferential statistics, including measures of central tendency and dispersion, elementary probability, simple correlation and regression, tests of hypotheses, and nonparametric methods

    統計學為?集、整理、陳示、解釋資料，並可由樣本的統計量推論母體母數，俾能在不確定情況下，做成決策的科學方法。
  2. Firstly, by analyzing the shortcoming of the traditional methods, the paper sets up a new model which can be used to calculate the optimum assignment of fire power for heavy artillery weapons. secondly, using the model to study and calculate the optimum assignment of fire power for heavy artillery weapons and for ship - loaded heavy artillery guns at area targets. in the paper the software that can be used to evaluate the optimum assignment of fire power for heavy artillery weapons is set up

    本文從研究傳統決定最優火力分配模型的不足入手，應用高等數學、軍事運籌學以及炮兵射擊理論等知識研究建立最優火力分配數學模型，爾后應用該模型研究對小幅員目標和幅員目標的最優火力分配問題：研究計算機決定最優火力分配的方法和軟體編制；研究船載炮射擊時的最優火力分配模型及模型應用問題，得出了一些有益的結論。
  3. This part firstly states some of the main problems, and then puts forward the constructive systems including the system of open of authentication act, discovery of expertise prior to court, the system of stating, questioning and cross - examine, and the system of recognition for expertise. all these systems tend to be practical and continuous ; and in each of the system also include some concrete theoretical and practical elements

    本部分首先對這些問題作了一個大致的歸納性闡述;而後針對這些具體問題，更從一個系統解決問題的角度出發，提出了由鑒定活動公開制度、鑒定結論庭前展示制度、鑒定結論質證制度以及鑒定結論認證制度四部分組成的鑒定結論審查評斷的程序設計。
  4. Secondly ， the author point out the problems of development of chinese tourism marketing for example ， the tourism marketing is not perfect ， and the marketing kind is not complete ， and the system of tourism marketing is imperfect and so on in the end ， the author gives some advice how to settle these problems in order to make chinese tourism industry great progress the system of tourism maketing should be meliorated ； model of sales promotion of tourism product should be improved ； new objective tourism marketing should be developed ， for instance ， we should develop education tourism marketing ， rural tourism marketing and the rich residents of tourism marketing many methods of demonstration are adopted ， qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis are integrated ； deductjve reasoning and induction are expioited with ease ； the author anach importance to empoloy relative theorv ， of tourism ， at the same time ， the researching of the calse is emphasized

    這篇論文針對我國目前的旅遊市場進行宏觀分析，首先就我國旅遊市場的宏觀背景即國內旅遊市場發展背景和國際旅遊、旅遊市場研究進展和趨勢進行初步探悉，運用現實的統計數據和抽樣調查數據進行分析論證；其次就我國目前旅遊市場的現狀和存在的問題進行闡述和分析，然後針對我國目前旅遊市場的特徵和存在的問題提出發展戰略和解決措施，分析問題的方法上主要採用抽樣調查、比較分析法、演繹與歸納、定量與定性相結合等。
  5. On the base of studying imaging theory of lens, the imaging theory of laser confocal scanning microscopy was analyzed in detail in this paper, and the advancement of that the optical fiber was applied to the system was described ; on the base of completed the demonstration for whole project, the experiment scheme was designed ; the relationship between the main parameters of key devices and the resolution was deduced, and the requirements of coupling efficiency and vignetting effects to optical system was analyzed ; the design of optical system and the planar scanning controlling circuit was completed ; a new method was put forward to resolved the inherent non - liner scanning problem of the galvanometer scanner by using software liner controlling in circuit design, and the perfect planar scanning was realized ; at last the low noise, high multiple and non - distortion amplify circuit of photoelectric detector was completed

    本文在透鏡成像理論的基礎上，系統、深入地分析了共焦掃描顯微成像的機理，論述了應用單模光纖的激光共焦掃描顯微成像系統的優點；進行了總體方案的論證，並設計確定了單模光纖激光共焦掃描顯微成像系統的總體方案；從理論上推導分析了解析度要求與試驗系統中相關器件主要參數之間的關系，分析了系統耦合效率和漸暈現象對光學系統的設計要求；完成了方案中光學系統和二維掃描控制電路的設計，並在電路設計中採用了用軟體解決檢流計式光學掃描器（振鏡）非線性問題的新方法，能夠實現較為理想的二維模擬掃描；完成了高增益、低噪聲和低失真的探測接收系統的設計和調試。
  6. This dissertation majorly researchs and designs full digital dc driving system with fuzzy control. it makes a scheme argumentation firstly, analyzing the pid algorithm and fuzzy control algorithm the ordinary digital pulse trigger algorithm and the double remainder method of pulse trigger in detail, and fuzzy control and the double remainder method are put forward to settle the under - mentioned problems, namely, the new viewpoint and the task having finished in this dissertation as follows : ( 1 ) in rder to overcome the influence of dc motor ' s parameter changing with time and nonlinear on the control system performance, this dissertation adopts fuzzy control as outside regulator and pi control as inside regulator in double regulators of the full digital dc motor driving system design ;. ( 2 ) aiming at the pulse trigger reliability of the ordinary d igital pulse trigger being low and leaking the pulse or the order of pulse confusion, this paper adopts the double remainder algorithm with short response time high pulse trigger reliability good adaptability and anti - jamming ; ( 3 ) this dissertation adopts tms320lf2407 which has good performance as major control chip this chip has power function with fast calculation capability, and accomplishes the software and hardware design in the dc motor driving system with fuzzy control ; ( 4 ) this dissertation also puts emphases on anti - jamming in hardware and software ; ( 5 ) after having designed the sample of full digital dc motor driving system with fuzzy control, a lot of experiments are performed to verify the performance and settles problems during experiment. the result of experiment proves the feasibility of design

    首先進行了方案論證，對模糊控制演算法和數字pid調節演算法、觸發脈沖的一般演算法和雙余演算法進行了詳細地研究分析，提出應用模糊控制和雙余法解決下述問題，即該論文主要的新見解和所完成的工作： （ 1 ）為了克服直流電機參數時變性和非線性因素對控制性能的影響，本設計中，雙閉環調速系統的外環採用模糊控制，內環採用pi控制，使系統在一定范圍內對直流電機參數變化和非線性因素影響有自適應能力； （ 2 ）針對常規數字觸發器演算法中觸發脈沖的可靠性不高，經常出現漏脈沖或是脈沖混亂的情況，本文採用雙余法，該演算法具有響應快，可靠性高，具有良好的適應性及抗干擾能力； （ 3 ）本設計中採用了速度快、功能強的tms320lf2407作為系統的主控晶元，應用該晶元完成系統的軟硬體設計： （ 4 ）本文對系統抗干擾的軟硬體措施進行了重點研究； （ 5 ）設計了具有模糊控制的全數字直流傳動系統原理樣機，並進行了試驗驗證，對試驗過程中出現的問題及時解決，最終實驗結果證明設計是可行的。
  7. Although economic and population specialists and scholars both in abroad and at home have made extreme progress on research the question of rural labor since they studied it very long ago, as far as china is concerned, based on the following three aspects, firstly, the national condition of our country determined that the foreign theory such as lewis theory might instruct us but we ca n ' t use these theories without rectification ; secondly, in china, our research about this question prefer the qualitative analysis to the quantitative analysis ; thirdly, the research on the labor utilization and shift in this specific area, that is, in the mountainous rural area which covers 69 % of our mainland and occupies 56 % of population is absolutely scarce in present ? to make up for the three deficiencies, this paper selects the econometrics analysis, uses investigation data and by virtue of tsp software, establishes a model where shift labor is the dependent variable and the citilization ratio, industrial structure, the income gap between city and country, the rural infrastructure construction, the labor ' s aptitude and the population ' s natural growth ratio are the variableso through economic, statistical and econometrical test, the conclusion is attained : the income gap between city and country and the citilization ratio are the two most important fectors which affect the labor ' s utilization and shift in mountainous rural area -, the rural infrastructure construction and the labor ' s aptitude are the two relative important factors which affect the labor ' s utilization and shift in mountainous rural area while the rural industrial structure and the population ' s natural growth ratio are the two least important factors according to this, this paper puts forward several suggestions that the income gap between city and country, citilization ratio, rural education, rural industrial structure and agricultural mechanization should be carefully treated with on studying the question of labor utilization and shift in mountainous rural area. finally, this paper points to several suspending problems about this research in order to get the concern of specialist and scholars

    盡管國內外經濟和人口學方面的專家與學者很早就開始了對農村勞動力問題的研究並取得了極大的進展，但是，我國在研究農村勞動力問題時，基於三點：其一，我國國情決定了國外的理論例如劉易斯理論，雖然對研究我國的農村勞動力問題具有指導意義，但卻不能照搬這些理論；其二，從國內看，我國對該問題的研究重視定性分析而定量分析明顯不足；其三，缺乏對我國占國土面積69 、人口56的山區農村這一特殊區域內的勞動力開發利用及轉移的專門性研究。為了彌補這三個缺憾，論文採用經濟計量學的數量分析方法，利用實際調查資料，藉助tsp軟體，建立了以外出勞動力數量為被解釋變量，城市化率、農村產業結構、城鄉收入差距、農村社會基礎設施建設、農村勞動力素質以及人口自然增長率六個變量為解釋變量的模型，通過對該模型進行經濟學、統計學、經濟計量學三個方面的檢驗，得出如下結果：城鄉收入差距和城市化率是影響山區農村勞動力開發利用及轉移的最重要的兩個因素；農村社會基礎設施建設和農村勞動力素質是較為重要的兩個影響因素；而農村產業結構和人口自然增長率相對來說是較不顯著的影響因素。據此，本文提出了在研究山區農村勞動力開發利用及轉移問題時，應慎重對待城鄉收入差距、城市化水平、農村勞動力素質、農村產業結構、農業機械化五個問題。
  8. Based on the analysis of types and sources of risks that confront commercial banks, the paper first determines the methodology for its research, i. e. mathematical statistics for quantity factors and the fuzzy discriminating analysis for the quality factors. combining the evaluation approaches of the banks in germany and china, the paper gets 13 common indices, and with mathematical statistical method, chooses 4 factors that will influence customer credits : equity capital / total asset, velocity of stock in trade, velocity of total assets and payoff rate of total sale. the four factors with liquidity factor reflect the customer ' s financial characteristics, such as capital structure, operation, earnings and liquidity

    在理論分析的基礎上，結合德國和中國有關銀行的客戶資信評價方法，在得到影響客戶信用13個常用指標的基礎上，利用數理統計分析方法（ t檢驗、多元判別分析和逐步判別分析等）得出影響客戶信用的四個因素：自有資本率、存貨周轉率、總資產周轉率和銷售盈利率，他們反映了企業資本結構、經營狀況和盈利水平，加入企業的流動性以後，它們決定了客戶的財務特徵。
  9. Based on the perturbation riccati transfer matrix method, the calculating program are developed. the program can be used to the perturbation analysis and the sensitivity analysis of the real and complex, the single and repeated eigenvalues and eigenvectors for lateral vibration of rod and beam structures, especially suitable to the perturbation analysis and the sensitivity analysis of eigenvalues and eigenvectors for rotordynamic systems ; 2. the perturbation riccati transfer matrix method was applied to identify the parameters of the rotor for a boiler supply pump, and the accurate dynamic model of the rotor was archived

    該程序可以對桿、梁結構橫向彎曲振動的實數、復數的孤立和重頻特徵值問題進行攝動分析和靈敏度分析，特別是適合於轉子動力學系統特徵值和特徵向量問題的攝動分析和靈敏度分析； 2 、用攝動riccati傳遞矩陣方法解決了某電站鍋爐給水泵轉子的參數識別及動力模型修改的問題，並給出了該種型號的給水泵轉子的更準確的力學模型，為進一步的轉子動力學分析與設計奠定了可靠基礎； 3 、給出了攝動理論在相關領域如隨機特徵值分析、隨機振動響應分析、可靠性分析、靈敏度分析、優化設計以及參數識別中的應用公式。
  10. Just as most of the natural language process technologies, the methods of ner have two classes, statistic - based and rule - based. considering of the limitation of using only one of the methods, we combined both of the methods to recognize named entity in this thesis. we combined the maching learning with ner to make the system get the ability of self - learning. we have done research on decision tree of maching learning mainly and designed a recognize model to recognize named entity. this model first used the probability and statistic way to extract the potential named entities, and then some context linguistic language information are employed in the model to recognize the named entities furtherly. as the wrong entites are denied, the recongnize effect has been improved

    鑒于單獨採用基於統計方法或基於規則方法的缺陷，在這篇論文中，採用了統計與規則相結合的方法來識別命名實體。為了使系統具有學習能力，我們把機器學習方法應用於中文命名實體的識別，這里我們著重研究了機器學習中的決策樹方法在中文命名實體識別中的應用;設計了一種基於決策樹的識別模式，該模式首先利用概率統計方法，在文本中盡量完備地識別出潛在的命名實體，然後利用潛在命名實體相關的上下文詞法、語法和語義特徵作為屬性構建決策樹，否定不正確的實體，進一步提高了命名實體識別的準確率。
  11. The thesis summarizes the basic theories of price discrimination, expatiated on the multi - class differential pricing method and dynamic differential pricing theory ; concludes the factors that have impacts on tickets - price, analyses and classfies the factors ; brings forward a canonical method of market segmentation, introduces the process of market segmentation based on the model of gray relative level, discusses the idiographic measure of ticket - price control ; improves the academic achievements of former scholars, puts forward a model of multi - class dynamic differential pricing for the air passenger transport, which is based on the maximum revenue for the airline industry, and gives a approximate arithmetic of the model, then showes the application of the model and its feasibility on increasing airline industry ’ s revenue by 25 models

    在對民航定價的國內外研究現狀進行綜述的基礎上，從經濟學角度介紹差別定價的基本理論，闡述民航客運的多等級差別定價理論和動態差別定價理論;對民航票價的影響因素進行分類說明;作為多等級定價的基礎，提出市場細分的標準和方法，用灰色關聯度模型解決航空旅客市場細分問題，並提出票價控制的具體措施;引入一種旅客到達頻率預測的統計方法，以航空公司收益最大化為目標，建立基於多等級定價基礎上的動態差別定價模型，即多等級動態差別定價模型，給出模型的遞歸演算法，通過對動態差別定價模型的運行結果進行分析，建立模型的一種近似模型，並且用25個簡單算例說明模型的用法以及在提高航空公司收益方面的可行性。
  12. Nowadays high - techs and its industrialization have become one of the important force to boost the economy growth, as well as the main index to decide the integrative competition of a country or territory. under such a background, we firstly introduced the actuality, problems of guangzhou ' s high - tech industry and economy growth theory. on the next stage, we applied cob - douglus production function, took guangzhou city as an example, came out the multi - varible regression model exercising modern econometrics, systematically investigated the relationship between high - techs and gross domestic production ( gdp ), and scientifically analyzed the impacts of high - techs to economy growth

    當今，高新技術及其產業化發展已經成為推動經濟增長的重要力量，成為決定一個國家和地區綜合競爭實力的重要指標，在這種大背景下，本文首先對目前廣州市高新技術產業的現狀、問題以及經濟增長理論作了較為全面的介紹，然後運用cob ? douglas生產函數，以廣州市為實例，運用現代計量經濟學的研究方法給出了多元回歸模型，對高新技術與國內生產總值（ gdp ）的相關關系進行了較為系統的考察，科學的分析了高新技術對經濟增長的影響。
  13. Based on the analysis of the tangshan xinqu and qian an and gangyao thermoelectric power units, a model of real - time ordering power by heat on combined heat and power based on working chart is erected, a method of related generating electric power appraisement is set up, and the software of ordering power by heat on combined heat and power system is developed. based on delphi language and sql server database, the structure and functions of ordering power by heat on combined heat and power system are discussed, and a method of data processing is also put forward. the function of data storage and past data query and account report forms is achieved

    為解決此問題，本文以唐山新區熱電廠、遷安熱電廠、缸窯熱電廠的供熱機組為例，根據其機組工況圖建立機組「以熱定電「運行的數學模型，並編制了相應的軟體文中介紹了基於delphi語言與sqlserver數據庫的軟體結構功能與特點，軟體可實時給出各參數和熱電聯產以熱定電考核曲線，能夠實現數據存儲、歷史數據查詢、統計報表等多種功能，這對于電力管理部門合理地為熱電廠下達發電指標，加強和完善對熱電聯產企業的管理，提供了理論依據和技術支持。
  14. With the application of the statistic and decision theory, such as robust design of experiments, calculation of parameter, simulating comparison, optimizing plan and evaluating reliability etc, this plan solves the problem of optimizing the universal examination of the same fuse with several shells in the approval test

    該方案通過對穩健試驗設計、參數計算、模擬比較、方案優化、可靠性評估等一系列決策理論和統計理論的運用，解決了多彈種通用引信在設計定型試驗時通用性考核的優化問題。
  15. Issuing to village the policy subsidying the small sum in interest an agricultural loan a valid path for always is academic circles with poor population in generally accepted the village of solution in government in all levels, promoting village developping, from current see theoretically, the small sum of the certain scope inside subsidying the interest lends money of issue, will promote the agriculture and the development of the village, increase poor and homely income in village level, but the small sum subsidying the loan of interest is can increase the income level of the peasant household, lend money a problem for increasing accepting together native average in circumstance increasing accepting sum comparing, result how, this is this text wanting resolving, this text pass to the inquisition of the loan peasant household, in collecting large quantity one hand material of foundation, is all each county downtown to is investigated the data proceeded to gather, statisticsing the contrast circumstance that loan an income change the circumstance and increase with native average the sum, the loan sum that will be investigated the peasant household, invest the realm proceeded the contrast, and borrow funds with the region not door of that year income increment the sum proceeded the comparison. use the different from lengthways the method research that compare investment in fixed amount realm, different loan sum, not the environmental loan in area in county door increases to accept sum and its correlations. come to explain the public finance subsidy the small sum in interest an agricultural loan an influence for to peasant household income, analyzing the small sum in policy an agricultural loan an influence for to increasing accepting the factor, discussing the policy stick the small sum in interest an agricultural loan a shortage for of policy blemish and managing top, combining domestic and international policy of now of combination an agricultural loan a policy for of policy with managing way, to small sum in policy in our country an agricultural loan style establishment and manage the mode put forward a little bit personal views, the writer thinks that develop the policy an agricultural loan a root for of a farming using is a financial environment of village to push forward financial system in village reform to reform with political setup, improve village finance serve, create a competition, norm, subsidying the interest the loan the solution limitedly not farmer of letter funds need problem

    向農村發放政策性貼息小額支農貸款一直是學術界和各級政府比較公認的解決農村貧困人口，促進農村發展的有效途徑，從現有的理論上看，一定范圍內的小額貼息貸款的發放，會促進農業和農村的發展，提高農村貧困家庭的收入水平，而小額貼息貸款是不是能夠提高農戶的收入水平，貸款戶的增收情況同當地的平均增收額比較，效果怎樣，這是本文所要解決的問題，本文通過對貸款農戶的調查，在收集大量第一手材料的基礎上，將各縣市區所有被調查數據進行了匯總，統計出貸款戶收入變化情況以及與當地的平均增長額的對比情況，將被調查農戶的貸款額，投資領域進行了對比，並與當地非借款戶的當年收入增加額進行了比較。用定量比較和縱向比較的方法研究不同投資領域、不同貸款額、不縣域環境的貸款戶增收額及其相互關系。來說明財政貼息小額支農貸款對農戶收入的影響，分析政策性小額支農貸款對增收的影響因素，論述政策性貼息小額支農貸款的政策性缺陷及管理上的不足，並結合當今國內外政策性支農貸款的政策和管理方式，對我國政策性小額支農貸款的政策制定及管理模式提出了個人的一些見解，筆者認為發揮政策支農貸款的支農作用的根本是推進農村金融體制改革和政治體制改革，改善農村金融服務，創造一個競爭、規范的農村金融環境，有限的貼息貸款解決不了農民的信貸資金需求問題。
  16. At the same time, to some extent it also has the practical and academic referenced sense in dealing with the three obstacles, such as " noble " 、 " computer overloaded with details " and " data crisis ", which appearance when virtual reality technology put into reality

    同時，也對解決虛擬現實技術應用中所出現的"貴族化" 、 "計算繁瑣"及"數據危機"等三大障礙，開發基於pc的虛擬現實應用系統，有一定的理論與實際的參考意義。
  17. There has very important practical value to study the statistic character of fatigue load on steel crane structures and of fatigue resistance on all kinds of structural joints and to analysis the fatigue reliability of structural detail, which can be used to fatigue safe control. the fatigue reliability theory and fatigue safe control applications on steel crane structures in service are studied based on the structural reliability theory in this paper. the major contents are mainly summarized as follows : 1

    研究鋼結構吊車梁承受的疲勞荷載與各種構造連接的抗力統計特性，分析構造細節的疲勞可靠性，進而對其進行疲勞安全控制，對于在役鋼結構吊車梁的鑒定與加固具有非常重要的實用價值與指導意義：本文以結構可靠度理論為基礎，對在役鋼結構吊車梁的疲勞可靠性、安全控制應用與維修加固決策進行了研究，研究的內容包括以下幾個方面。
  18. Business valuation based on modern economy is one of the most difficult and comprehensive professional work in asset appraisal, but also stands for the trend of the appraisal. as china implemented planned economy all the long in the past years, the concept of business value was proposed later than other advanced countries. the study on the theory and method of business valuation we made is relatively backward. all these lead to that we merely use cost method in practice. with the improvement of market economy, the validity of cost method is challenged. hunting for appraisal methods suitable for china circumstance has become more and more urgent. this thesis presents its own opinion on the adjustment of the basic frame of theory of business valuation. for the first time, it puts systems theory into the study of the theory base, and believes that the enterprise as a compound entity has higher efficiency than the sum of its constituent, and then proposes new appraisal assumption. aiming at the obscure understan ding, it analyses a group of conception related to business valuation. after giving a whole analysis and study, this thesis indicates the income approach which emphasizes earning - capacity of a enterprise should become the correct choice of china, and makes a further study on the origin - features and feasibility of this method

    植根于現代經濟的企業價值評估是資產評估中綜合性最強，技術難度最高的業務之一，也是評估業未來的發展方向，由於我國過去長期實行計劃經濟體制，企業價值概念的提出和運用時間較晚，缺少現代經營理念的積累，企業價值評估的理論與方法的研究比較滯后。本文試圖以理性分析和案例分析相結合的方法，系統研究和分析企業價值評估的基礎理論及其現實條件下，適應我國經濟發展的評估方法，以期為構建有中國特色的企業價值評估理論和方法體系做一些有益的探索。文章以企業價值評估的基本概念為起點，在對眾多關于企業性質的學說和理論觀點進行概括抽象的基礎上，指出了整體性、持續經營和盈利性是企業的重要特徵，依據企業的整體性運用系統方法闡明了企業的價值大於組成企業的單項資產價值之和，據此提出了反映企業價值評估特點的有機組合增殖假設；依據盈利性的特點，強調了企業價值評估的核心應為企業的獲利能力，而不是組建企業的成本；對企業價值、企業價值評估含義、特點的論述以及對相關概念的辨析表明了作者的個人觀點和文章的基本定位，而從評估目的入手劃分的以產權變動為目的的企業價值評估和以財務決策為目的的企業價值評估與企業價值評估的假設、評估核心共同決定了評估方法的選用。
  19. In this thesis. firstlv we introduce the recent studies on traffic flow. which based on the statistical phvsics. such as some theoretical approaches study modelstheir instructive significance and limits in practice. the fundamental principles and characteristics of one - dimension ( jd ) determined ca model ( dca ) and two - dimension determined ca model ( bml ) are described in details

    本文首先綜述了近期來物理學界在統計物理的基礎上對交通流問題的研究發展情況：各類研究方法，研究模型及模型對實際應用的意義及其局限性。詳細介紹了作為各類模型研究基礎的一維決定論模型dca和二維決定論模型bml的基本原理和特性。
  20. In thes paper, we set up a risk quantiative appraisal system for the scientific risk management of the real estate invesbent whih is based on the probability theory, mathematial statistics and fmancial anaiysis theorythis system developes the application of the probability theory and mathematical statishcs to the risk appraisal on the base of current risk appraisal methods. what ' s more, in orde to filfulthe need of prachcal application, we create a set of risk - fmance index models in whih we analyze five kinds of twortant risk in the real estate investinen from their orighs, such as the general price fluctuation risk, the markt risk, the interest rate risk, the operation risk and the decision risk. ih the system, standard deviation of the npv ( net present value ) is uesed as the quantitative index of the singe risks and the whole risk. in addition, we connect the system with risk avoiding tactics in the risk managemen of a proect. all these provide a decision basis for risk management

    本文應用概率論、數理統計、財務分析等理論為房地產投資風險的科學管理建立了一套風險定量評價系統。該系統是在現有的風險評價方法的基礎上，將概率論和數理統計的理論在風險評價中的應用進一步深化。並結合房地產投資的實際，從風險形成的原因出發，針對其中影響較大的幾類風險像利率風險、物價風險、行業風險、經營風險、決策風險，建立了一套風險- - -財務指標評價模型，運用凈現值的標準差這一指標將房地產投資所面臨的個體風險和整體風險定量化，同時與項目風險管理中的風險規避策略有機地結合在一起，為房地產投資的風險管理提供了決策的依據。
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