預報準確度 的英文怎麼說

中文拼音 [bàozhǔnquè]
預報準確度 英文
forecast accuracy
  • : Ⅰ副詞(預先; 事先) in advance; beforehand Ⅱ動詞(參與) take part in
  • : Ⅰ動詞1 (告知; 報告) report; declare; announce 2 (回答) reply; respond; reciprocate 3 (答謝)...
  • : Ⅰ名詞1 (標準) standard; guideline; criterion; norm 2 (目標) aim; target Ⅱ動詞1 (依據; 依照)...
  • : 形容詞1. (符合事實; 真實) true; reliable; authentic 2. (堅固; 堅定) firm
  • : 度動詞[書面語] (推測; 估計) surmise; estimate
  • 預報 : [訊] forecast; forecasting; prediction
  1. At first, this paper analyzes the factors of water - sand influencing water level of yellow river and the feasibility just using the factors of water - sand to study water level, and collects the corresponding data ; secondly, because there are strong nonlinear relation in the corresponding data, by meticulous theory analysis, this paper integrates basic nonlinear analysis method, theory of random analysis, method of least squares and so on. it puts forward a method which can get the high accuracy simulation of the data, perfects the multi - factor analysis of variable ( over three factors ) of the statistic ; thirdly, it applies the method to the approximation of corresponding water level process which belong to the capacity of sand of middle - high and middle - low, and get the high - accuracy simulation about the typical nonlinear relation ; at last, this paper definitudes the main influence mode that the capacity of sand. it mainly unite with other factors to work on the water level in the yellow river lower reaches ; mor eover, this paper analyzes the difficult point and the direction of improvement to realize the accuracy forecasting of the flood level of erodible - bed channel

    首先,系統分析了影響黃河水位的水沙因素,及僅用水沙因素有效研究水位的可行性,並按變量對應思想採集它們的相應數據;其次,由於相應水位過程數據中含極強的非線性關系,本論文經細致的理論分析,將基本的非線性分析方法、統計建模方法、隨機分析理論、最小均方誤差原則等等數學理論及方法有機揉合,提出了能有效實現這類數據高精擬合的分層篩選法,並改進了統計學中多因子(三個以上)方差分析法;再次,將這一方法用於黃河中高及中低含沙類洪水相應水位過程的擬合,實現了這一典型非線性關系的高精擬合,各年汛期上下游相應洪水位過程的擬合誤差都較小;最後,明黃河下游含沙量對水位的主要影響方式,即含沙量主要是與其它因素聯合對水位作用;另外分析了要實現變動河床洪水位過程的困難所在及改進方向。
  2. Based on consider hereinbefore, this dissertation discusses several aspects on the problem of the sustainable and optimum exploitation of groundwater resources as follows : ( 1 ) reviewed entirely the origin and evolvement of the concept " sustainable development ", stated and commented the study status in queue on " sustainable development " around national and international range, thorough discussed the science connotation about the concept " sustainable development " ; ( 2 ) looked back and commented across - the aboard some furthest basic concept and proposition related to groundwater resources, put forward self opinions on a few existent mistake points of view and chaos understandings ; ( 3 ) expatiated entirely on the content and meaning of the theory of changeable groundwater resources system, contrast with the traditional methods of groundwater resources calculation and evaluation, combined example to show the application of this theory ; ( 4 ) thorough analyzed the difficult and complexity to forecast the groundwater resources, fully stated the traditional methods of groundwater resources forecasting, pointed out the characteristic and applying condition of these forecasting method, introduced the main ideas and methods of wavelet analysis developed recently, and the matlab software be known as the fifths era computer language, and its accessory wavelet analysis toolbox, applied these methods and tools to analyze the groundwater dynamic curve, adopted the b - j method and morte - carlo method, combined with the theory of changeable groundwater resources system, discussed the new view on the forecast of groundwater resources ; ( 5 ) synthetically analyzed the characteristics and limitations of the present all kind of groundwater manage model, combined mathematical programming mathematical statistics random process and the theory of variation system of groundwater resources on the unite optimum attempter of surface water and groundwater, emphasized how to make the model more nicety, more simple, more practicality ; ( 6 ) analyzed the inside condition and outside condition to assure the sustainable and optimum exploi tation of groundwater resources, the inside conditions are the follows : correct resources idea, scientific methods of resources calculation and evaluation, credible forecast methods of resources, exercisable measures of resources management, the outside conditions are the follows : the development idea of high layer, the transform of manage system, the matched policy and rule of law, the adjusted of economy lever, the improve of cultural diathesis, the boosting up of water - saving consciousness and detail measures, the control of population rising, the prevention and cure of water pollute, the renew and rebuild of ecology ; ( 7 ) scan the sustainable and optimum exploitation of groundwater resources from the high level of metagalaxy, earth system science, and philosophy ; lint out the more directions on groundwater resources

    基於以上考慮,論文主要從以下幾方面對地下水資源可持續開發問題進行了比較深入的探討:全面回顧了「可持續發展」概念的由來與演變,對國內外「可持續發展」的研究現狀進行了述評,並對「可持續發展」概念的科學內涵進行了深入探討;對涉及地下水資源的一些最基本的概念和命題進行了全面的回顧和評述,對目前仍然存在的一些錯誤觀點和混亂認識提出了自己的見解;全面闡述了地下水資源變值系統理論的內容和意義,並與傳統的地下水資源計算評價方法進行了對比分析,結合實例具體說明了方法的應用;深入分析了地下水資源工作的極端重要性和復雜性,對傳統的地下水資源動態測方法進行了全面的評述,指出了各類方法的特點及適用條件,對最近二十多年剛發展起來的小波分析技術的主要思想和方法及其應用范圍,以及號稱第五代計算機語言的matlab軟體和附帶的小波分析工具箱進行了介紹,並應用於地下水動態過程線的分析,採用時間序列中的b ? j法,蒙特卡羅方法,與地下水資源變值系統理論相結合,探討了地下水動態資料分析和地下水資源的新思路;綜合分析了現今各類地下水管理模型的特點及缺陷,將數學規劃、數理統計、隨機過程等與地下水變值系統理論相結合進行地表水地下水或多水源的聯合優化調,使模型更、更實用;對保證地下水資源可持續開發的內部條件和外部條件進行了分析,內部河海人學博卜學位論文前言、摘要、目錄條件主要是正的資源觀,科學的資源計算與評價方法,可靠的資源技術,可操作的資源管理措施,外部條件主要是高層發展思路、管理體制的變革、配套的政策法規、經濟杠桿的調節、人文素質的提高、節水意識的增強及具體節水措施、人口增長的控制、水體污染的防治、生態的恢復和重建等;從宇宙科學、地球系統科學及哲學的高審視地下水資源的可持續開發;指出了地下水資源可持續開發的進一步研究方向。
  3. The eni of el nino events is expressed by using differences of sea surface temperature in the area of equatorial east pacific 010s, 90180w. based on eni s definition, 25 el nino events and 26 la nina events from 1870 to 2000 are defined. and the starting and ending time of 1997 s strong el nino event is predicted six months ahead of the event by using eni s three periodical overlapping prediction method. the prediction offers great support to the accurate prediction of the flush flood occurred along nenjiang river in 1998

    使用赤道東太平洋010s , 90180w海水表面溫sst距平值表徵厄爾尼諾拉尼娜事件指數eni 。根據eni定義出1870 - 2000年期間25次厄爾尼諾事件和26次拉尼娜事件,採用eni三周期疊加模式提前6個月測出1997年強厄爾尼諾事件的開始和結束時間,為較測出1998年嫩江特大洪水提供了依據。
  4. According to all the sediment peaks of 35 floods observed at each station on the downstream of xiaolangdi, it analyzes the characteristic of delayed sediment peak and establishes a regression equation between sediment peak lag time for each section of xiaolangdi, huayuankou, jiahetan, gaocun, sunkou, aishan and lijin and peak discharge, sediment concentration of the peak, flood propagation velocity and fall velocity of suspended load of the previous station, which can search, make up and extend sediment peak lag time and provide a basis for accurate forecasting on sediment peak travel time of each station on the lower yellow river

    根據小浪底下游各站沙峰均滯後於洪峰的35場洪水,對沙峰滯後於洪峰的特性進行了剖析,建立了小浪底、花園口、夾河灘、高村、孫口、艾山、利津各河段沙峰滯后時間與上站洪峰流量、沙峰含沙量、洪水傳播速、懸移質泥沙群體沉速之間的回歸方程,可以用來查補延長沙峰滯后時間,為下游各站沙峰傳播時間的提供依據。
  5. This system adopts cumulatively autoregressive moving average model [ arima ] of time series method and modified model gm ( 1, 1 ) of grey system, makes a local load forecasting modeling through the integration of the above two models and also preprocesses the daily load during the sudden change of climate, thus greatly improving the forecast accuracy. the practical operation indicates that the model is reasonable and easy to operate with complete function

    本系統在經過反復試算后,在演算法上採用了時間序列法的累積式自回歸動平均模型( arima )與灰色系統中的gm ( 1 , 1 )改進模型,並將兩種模型組合用於該地區負荷建模,另外還對氣候急變日負荷進行了處理,大大提高了預報準確度
  6. Numerical weather prediction is an important means in present - day weather prediction. mesoscale model mm5 has been used widely in many observatories. along with a large number of doppler radar stations have been built in our country, it is a crucial problem for the meteorologists how to use doppler radar data in numerical weather prediction model

    數值天氣是現代天氣的重要手段,中尺模式mm5在很多氣象臺得到了廣泛應用,隨著我國多普勒天氣雷達的普及,如何在數值模式中使用雷達資料以提高對中小尺天氣現象的率是擺在廣大氣象工作者面前的一個重要課題。
  7. In the case, the subsidiary wholly owed by a corporation is a large scale state owed enterprise with glorious history rewarded for its excellent profit. but it finally failed because of its financial crisis. it is one of the important reason of the failure that the corporation could n ' t obtain the financial information in time, and could n ' t obtain the real data which misguided the corporation leaving the subsidiaries financial risk alone which resulted in the liquidation

    案例中的子公司是一家大型國有企業,從集團公司財務風險控制角分析該公司從輝煌到走向清算的歷程,本文認為子公司上信息不及時、反饋數據不充分、溝通情況不符合實際,使集團公司測不、決策相對滯后、戰略調整不到位是該財務失敗的重要原因之一。
  8. Results show that a three - stepwise weight function correction method is effective and applicable and can be spread in other basins. it can eliminate the outlier of rainfall data and improve the accuracy of flood forecast

    計算結果表明,採用雨量觀測誤差三步權函數修正法是有效的,能剔除雨量資料的粗差,改善雨量資料的合理性,提高洪水的精
  9. It also shows that the software interface is friendly and the forecast accuracy is up to the standard, which meets the demand of the consumers. this system improves the operating management of power system to a higher level, and has a better practical application value

    該系統的實際運行表明,所用模型合理,軟體界面友好,功能完善,操作簡單,預報準確度達到了部頒標,滿足了用戶需求,提高了電力系統運行管理水平,具有較好的實際應用價值。
  10. At the present time the prediction method of attracting pest with black light and recognizing and counting by man is generally adopted. there are some serious shortages such as bad recognition accuracy and low efficiency. it reduces seriously accuracy and timeliness of prediction and is disadvantage in guiding insect disease prevention

    目前普遍採用的黑光燈誘集害蟲、人工識別計數的測方法,存在識別性差、效率低等嚴重缺陷,極大地降低了測和時效性,不利於指導農田害蟲的防治工作,因此本文提出了基於機器視覺和小波分析的圖像識別技術,用於農田害蟲的自動檢測
  11. To limit the predicting precision loss in a certain range, author presented a method of bayes modeling and predicting for dynamic errors based on standard value interpolation at intervals during the multi - step prediction after consulting a lot of papers at home and abroad

    為將損失控制在一定的范圍之內,作者在查閱了國內外大量相關文獻之後,提出了基於標量插入的動態測量誤差的貝葉斯建模理論,並根據貝葉斯理論給出了值的不
  12. Based on the principal of the least prediction error and introduced relation analysis method, a new prediction method was advanced in the field of local climate prediction

    摘要針對局地短期氣候變化的非線性特徵及其難以用模型刻畫的現狀,根據誤差最小原理,引入關聯分析,提出了一種關于局地短期氣候測的關聯方法。
  13. The results of theoretical analyzing and practical running proved that the contamination on - line detecting system for substation developed in this paper can be applied to the large - scale variation of leakage current, the fuzzy reasoning alarming method can predict the pollution level of insulator more accurately. a new method is given to solve the problem of alarming reliability of contamination on - line detecting system

    理論分析和實際運行的結果表明本文的變電污穢在線監測系統能夠適應泄西安理工大學工程碩士專業學位論文露屯流人范圍的變化,及時並絕緣于污穢程,為解汰了變屯污穢分線監測系統的可靠警問題提供了新途徑。
  14. Forecast experiments results show that forecast ability of icm may be improved while the large scale relationship between ocean and atmosphere is given clearly, and the ssta pattern of forecasting is very correct

    試驗的結果指出,當大尺海?氣相互作用的關系被明給定后耦合模式的能力有所提高,對海溫異常形勢的非常
  15. The hydrologic forecasting is the basis of the economic dispatching of multi - reservoir system. precise prediction is the key to ensure the success of optimal dispatching

    徑流測作為水電站優化調的基礎,其結果的與否,將成為水電站的最優調方式能否發揮作用的關鍵。
  16. The calculating circle is very near compared with the fact. and many physical diagnose quantities thus as high vertical movement, q - vector divergence, 0 - 6 km shear etc. all contact with the rainstorm

    在降水場的模擬中,降雨帶的范圍與實況接近,強降水中心位置和強略有偏差,通過修正意見對提高率會有很大幫助。
  17. Because of the randomness, the periodicity and the impact property of load changes, the short - range electric load forecasting accuracy is related to the pre - processing of original data, the load forecasting model, the sudden change of climate etc. without an appropriate mathematical model, it is difficult to meet the demand of farecasting accuracy by using computer software

    短期電力負荷與原始數據的處理、負荷特性、模型、氣候突變等因素有關,因為負荷變動具有隨機性、周期性和沖擊性的特性,如果不採用恰當的數學模型,利用計算機軟體技術就難以滿足預報準確度要求。
  18. The results of numerical experiments, using the four - dimensional variational data assimilation system of the nonhydrostatic mesoscale model mm5, show that : the tangent linear model and adjoint model conducted by keeping the " on - off " switches the same as the basic state, can provide a good approximation of the first - order information to the nlm perturbation and a good descent direction for the minimization procedure ; switching on and off at every other time step in the kuo cumulus parameterization scheme do n ' t impact the convergence rate of cost function ; the existence of the switches do n ' t impact improvement to the mm5 model rainfall prediction because that not only specific humidity, but also wind, temperature and pressure are assimilated into the model

    非靜力中尺數值模式mm5的四維變分資料同化系統進行的數值試驗結果表明: 「開關」變量保持與基態一致,所構造的切向線性模式能夠提供關于非線性模式擾動的一階近似,伴隨模式所計算的梯值能夠為最小化過程提供較好的下降方向;郭氏降水參數化方案中對流每隔一個積分步的交替發生並不影響目標函數最小化的收斂速; 「開關」變量的存在也不影響將風、溫、氣壓和比濕結合起來同化對mm5降水性的提高。
  19. According to his research accomplishments, from 1999 until 2006, he conducted a series of tests with the liaoning xiuyan ms5. 6 quake, the inner mongolia ms5. 9 quake, the sumatra ms8. 7 quake, the hebei wenan ms5. 1 quake, as well as the usa california ms5. 0 quake, to repeat and reoccur the precursors, which indicated a practical earthquake prediction success rate of over 75 %

    他依據自己的研究成果,自1999年至2006年先後就遼寧岫巖5 . 6級地震、內蒙古5 . 9級地震、印洋8 . 7級地城、河北文安5 . 1級地震、美國加州5 . 0級地震等進行了地震前兆的重復和再現性試驗,實際率達75 %以上。
  20. In order to predict the variation tendency of fire box temperature accurately, improve production efficiency, this text has proposed using the forecast model of flame temperature in the stove based on bp neural network. discussed the choice of the forecast model ’ s input parameter and date pretreatment technology

    爐膛溫變化趨勢,提高生產效率,本文提出了運用bp神經網路進行爐膛火焰溫估的模型,討論了估模型輸入參數的選擇和數據的處理技術。
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