預計收益率 的英文怎麼說
中文拼音 [yùjìshōuyìlǜ]
預計收益率
英文
estimated profitability- 預 : Ⅰ副詞(預先; 事先) in advance; beforehand Ⅱ動詞(參與) take part in
- 計 : Ⅰ動詞1 (計算) count; compute; calculate; number 2 (設想; 打算) plan; plot Ⅱ名詞1 (測量或計算...
- 收 : Ⅰ動詞1 (把攤開的或分散的事物聚集、合攏) put away; take in 2 (收取) collect 3 (收割) harvest...
- 益 : Ⅰ名詞1 (好處) benefit; profit; advantage 2 (姓氏) a surname Ⅱ形容詞(有益的) beneficialⅢ動詞...
- 率 : 率名詞(比值) rate; ratio; proportion
- 預計 : estimate; calculate in advance; expect
- 收益率 : earning rate
- 收益 : income; proceeds; profit; earnings; gains; avails; gainings
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In, it is discussed how to estimate the profit expection and risk of portfolio by time series, and that the portfolio investment model can be made by the variance of portfolio selection random profit
在1中,我們首先介紹了如何利用時間序列預測法估計證券的預期收益率和風險,然後以投資組合隨機收益率的方差作為投資的風險度量,建立起投資組合模型。Interest rates are rising and standard & poor ' s expects high - yield bond defaults to increase, to follow
利率在上升,標準普爾預計高收益債券的拖欠也將相應增加。Application of the new system not only increased the efficiency of decision making, but also improved the correctness of decision making and increased the investment benefit. as shown in a incomplete statistic, 515. 900 million rmb was invested on new project including technical change project during 2002 - 2004, with an average profit if 96. 62 million rmb and a average payback period of 5. 33 year and a investment payback rate of 18. 76 %. key project and some representative project basically reach the expect purpose
據不完全統計,在2002年? 2004年期間,總公司用於新項目投資(包含技改項目)資金為51590萬元,年均總利潤為9662萬元,平均投資回收期為5 . 33年,投資回報率18 . 76 % ,在扣除安全、環保等不直接產生效益的投資項目后,重點項目及一些具有代表性的項目基本達到了總公司4年收回投資的預期收益目標。The paper accounts the importance and the necessity of the forecasting research to the stock return volatility of our country, and the use in practice of the forecasting about the stock return volatility, firstly, stock market of our country is divided into large scale stock 、 middle scale stock and small scale stock on the basis of stock size. secondly, according to the basic method of the mathematical statistics , the behavior of the return volatility about single stock is described by using the model of the rolling variance estimates 。 through the relation of daily returns volatility and weekly returns volatility and the forecasting accuracy of the volatility forecasting model to various stock scale , we do practical analysis with the forecasting research to return volatility of single stock market
在個股收益波動性的可預測性研究方面,首先按市值規模大小將我國股票分為大盤股、中盤股和小盤股,然後利用數理統計的基本方法,用滾動樣本方差估計模型描述個股市場收益波動性的行為,並對三種股票日收益率序列及周收益率序列波動之間的關系以及波動預測模型對各種股盤的預測準確性進行了實證分析和結果檢驗。The thesis summarizes the basic theories of price discrimination, expatiated on the multi - class differential pricing method and dynamic differential pricing theory ; concludes the factors that have impacts on tickets - price, analyses and classfies the factors ; brings forward a canonical method of market segmentation, introduces the process of market segmentation based on the model of gray relative level, discusses the idiographic measure of ticket - price control ; improves the academic achievements of former scholars, puts forward a model of multi - class dynamic differential pricing for the air passenger transport, which is based on the maximum revenue for the airline industry, and gives a approximate arithmetic of the model, then showes the application of the model and its feasibility on increasing airline industry ’ s revenue by 25 models
在對民航定價的國內外研究現狀進行綜述的基礎上,從經濟學角度介紹差別定價的基本理論,闡述民航客運的多等級差別定價理論和動態差別定價理論;對民航票價的影響因素進行分類說明;作為多等級定價的基礎,提出市場細分的標準和方法,用灰色關聯度模型解決航空旅客市場細分問題,並提出票價控制的具體措施;引入一種旅客到達頻率預測的統計方法,以航空公司收益最大化為目標,建立基於多等級定價基礎上的動態差別定價模型,即多等級動態差別定價模型,給出模型的遞歸演算法,通過對動態差別定價模型的運行結果進行分析,建立模型的一種近似模型,並且用25個簡單算例說明模型的用法以及在提高航空公司收益方面的可行性。We set up developing zone basic index of competitiveness focusing on three - index system of " market enter obstacle ", " expect investment return " and " serve efficiency " after expounding the basic train of thought and design principal
這是本文的重點,在闡明了基礎思路和設計原則后,著重從「市場進入障礙」 、 「預期投資收益」 、 「服務效率」三個方面建立了開發區競爭力的基礎性指標。After analyzing the characteristic of market - to - book ratio ( p / b ratio ) and price - to - earnings ratio ( p / e ratio ), the thesis uses data from domestic common - shares markets to test the value - relevance of these two ratios. the research data are from shanghai stock exchange and shenzhen stock exchange, including the dealing prices of listed companies in the years of 1994 to 1998 and accounting data from their financial reports of 1993 to 1997. the contents of this thesis are divided into eight sections allocated as below : section 1 is " introduction " about the backgrounds of selecting research targets and the brief contents of whole thesis
本文介紹了費森?奧爾森模型的產生背景和在資本市場研究中的作用,從模型推導出公司凈資產倍率( p / b ) 、市盈率( p / e )與未來盈利能力(凈資產收益率, roe )及盈利增長率的關系,分別以1993及1994年為考察基年,用我國上市公司股價數據和年報中會計數據進行了檢驗,證明了假設一: 「凈資產倍率高預示著未來的凈資產收益率高」 ,及假設二: 「市盈率高預示著未來的贏利增長率高」 ,意味著市場對會計信息的反應方向是正確的,說明我國證券市場投資者已能對公開會計信息有基本的把握並運用於投資決策中。Among others, the probability analysis approach has difficulty in deciding objective probability, and thus it is necessary to obtain subjective probability through expert empirical prediction, modify it by the bayesian formula and get a posteriori probability, and substitute it for objective probability in risk measurement and risk premium calculation
其中,概率分析方法在應用中就存在客觀概率不易確定的難點問題,因此需用專家經驗預測法得到主觀概率后,利用貝葉斯公式加以修正並獲得后驗概率,再用后驗概率代替客觀概率進行風險的度量及風險收益的計算。Every july and august when the semiannual reports are issued, facing the reports numberless as the sand, one question is asked : is the information disclosed in the semiannual report useful ? this dissertation attempts to answer this question empirically using the “ event study ” method. this article divides into five parts
本文在中期財務報告理論和有效資本市場理論的基礎之上,運用事件研究的方法,以「異常報酬率」和「未預期會計收益」為主要分析手段,以簡潔的數學工具,對中期財務報告的信息含量進行了實證分析。They all start from their individual rationality to search for the maximization of personal profit. the real destination is not sure be the group rationality, i. e. that securities market realize the efficient allocation of resources. on the contrary, it often cause the irrationality of group for such reasons as imperfection in law, accountant ' s non - qualification, the lack of independence of accountant firms, inefficient supervision reasonableness, i. e. sever distortion of accounting information disclosure damage the investor ' s profit
反而由於投資者的素質不高、非理性預期和從眾行為;上市公司委託代理機制不健全、治理結構不完善、造假成本與造假收益的嚴重不對稱;會計師事務所獨立性的缺乏、注冊會計師素質不證券市場會計信息披露失真問題研究高;證監會監竹效率和力度不夠等原因所致,博弈的結果是集體的斗理性,即證券市場會iIn the light of the data of american treasury bill earning rate and interest rate swap, in combination of our country ' s data of treasury bill earning rate, the term structure of interest rate is simulated by using nonparametric support vector machine forecasting model, and on the basis of this, a systemic method of interest rate swap pricing is formulated by using support vector machine method to estimate fixed interest rate of swap
依據美國國庫券收益率和互換利率數據,結合我國國庫券收益率數據,採用非參數的支持向量機預測模型模擬出利率期限結構;在已知利率期限結構的基礎之上,採用支持向量機的方法模擬估計出利率互換的固定利率,從而構造出一種系統的利率互換定價方法。World equity markets began 2006 in bullish mood, while the dollar and treasury bond yields softened amid expectations that us interest rates could be near to the top of the current cycle
2006年全球股市以漲勢開局,不過由於市場人士預計,美國的利率水平可能接近當前加息周期的頂點,美元匯率及美國國債收益率雙雙走軟。Right investment decision requires reliable predictions of return and risk, and reliable predictions can only be obtained if the underlying statistical model rests on realistic assumptions
正確的投資決策是建立在對收益率與風險的可靠預測之上的,而可靠的預測只能通過基於現實假定上的統計模型而得到。Chapter 1 gives an overview of the research about the cyclical effect on pd. according to these researches, most of them believe pd is different between expansion and recession significantly. and there is an existence of asymmetric, that is pd increases significantly during economic downturns, but does not decrease significantly during economic upturns
本文所提出的計算違約概率的模型利用國內上市公司的財務數據以及在上交所上市的國債收益率首次把違約概率與經濟周期聯系起來,通過假定經濟存在擴張期和衰退期兩個階段,並預測出相應的概率p ( e )和p ( r ) 。In the paper, the daily return rate of composite index of a specific time is tested by w test method. the result shows the distribution of daily return rate of composite index is accordance with normal distribution. according to the nature of normal distribution, under 95 % confidence interval, the value of var could be calculated, and then we can predict the next day ' s index
在本文中,筆者通過對某一具體時間段的上證綜指的日收益率分佈進行正態檢驗仰檢驗) ,在得出的結論是日收益率基本上服從n ( 0 , 6 )的正態分佈的前提條件下,根據正態分佈的性質,在95的置信度下,利用var模型計算出當日的var值,從而預測出下一交易日的收盤指數。Bring upped the calculation method to estimate the model parameter ( coefficient b and the expect rate of return )
並對模型參數(系數和預期收益率)的估計提出了計算方法。This approach is not in need of determining the expected rate of return of investors or estimating future cash dividend, but the corporate historic and present assets value, thus overcoming the shortcomings of the traditional methods
該方法不需確定投資者的預期收益率,也不需估計未來的現金股利,只需要知道公司歷史的和現在的資產評估價值就可以對股票進行估值,從而克服了傳統股票定價方法的缺陷。Secondly, we establish an easy arbitrage portfolio, not taking the portfolio ' s expected return into account. and conventional computation of expected return is short of accuracy, so we introduce index smoothness model to estimate single stock ' s expected return to remedy the limitation
其次,在不考慮組合預期收益率的前提下,建立一個簡單的套利組合,並引入指數平滑模型來估計單個證券的預期收益率,以克服傳統估計方法中的不精確性。This paper studies the random transferring of the yield of chinese treasury security by markov model, firstly concluding that the dynamics of the yield of the treasury security obeys the markov model, secondly estimating the matrix of probability of transferring by historical data, lastly making an predicting of the future trend of the yield
本文採用馬爾可夫鏈對中國國債收益率的隨機轉移性質進行了研究,首先用x ~ 2統計量驗證了國債收益率的運動過程符合馬爾可夫鏈,然後運用歷史數據估計出轉移概率矩陣,最後對國債收益率的未來走勢進行了預測。分享友人