decision-making under uncertainty 中文意思是什麼

decision-making under uncertainty 解釋
易變情況下的決策
  • decision : n. 1. 決定。2. 判決。3. 決議。4. 決心；決斷。5. 【美拳】（根據分數而不是根據擊倒對方做出的）裁判。
  • making : n 1 製作（物），製造（物），生產；一次製造量；發展[發達]過程；成功的原因[手段]；組織；〈常 pl 〉...
  • under : adv 1 在下，從屬著，服從著。 bring under get under keep under 等〈參看各該動詞條〉。 The ship wen...
  • uncertainty : n. 1. 不確定，不確實，易變；不可靠；含糊。2. 不確實知道，半信半疑。3. 【物理學】測不準性。
  1. But my focus was specially laid on the decision - making of investment under uncertainty and with competition, i first. extend the basic model of dixit & pindyck ' s by allowing the relevant parameter to be a random variable, then proposed an numerical example to show how to solve this model, i gave the algorithm and did the comparative static analysis, finally i developed a model of duopoly under uncertainty, considering the competition between the firms explicitly, using roa, i calculated the two firm ' s values respectively when they take different roles - to be leader or follower, and then checked the possible equilibriums

    本文的重點是考察在同時存在不確定性和競爭的情況下，如何用實物期權的理論估算投資項目的價值，為此，文中發展了兩個模型，第一個模型是對dixit & pindyck的模型的擴展，它通過一個相關的隨機變量來考察競爭對項目價值的影響，但沒有考慮企業間的相互博弈，文中給出了一個例子詳細地說明了該模型的求解並做了敏感性分析；第二個模型是一個不確定情況下的雙寡頭模型，文中給出了用實物期權方法計算的兩企業在處于領導者和跟隨者兩種不同境況時的價值，並將企業間的相互博弈考慮在內，考察了可能的均衡狀態。
  2. The conclusions are : under the case of monopoly, the enterprise has the ability to delay the investment, thus it can take the advantages of option value brought by uncertainty to select the optimal timing of investment in each phrase flexibly ; under the case of competition, enterprise will select the optimal investment timing by comparing the tradeoff between the benefits of option value and the strategic lost of competitor ' s preemption, because preemption of competitor will reduce the ability of enterprise to delay investment comparing with the case of monopoly, the enterprise usually invests early, hi the meantime, by comparing the outcomes of investment cooperation in the r & d phrase with that of competition, we can conclude that r & d investment cooperation is pareto dominant strategy, since enterprise can fully take advantage of the option value brought by uncertainty, and thus enhance the flexibility of decision - making

    得到的結論是：在壟斷情形下，企業具有延遲投資的能力，因而企業可以充分利用不確定性帶來的期權價值，在創新投資的各階段根據不確定性信息的獲得靈活地選擇最優的投資時機；在競爭情形下，企業延遲投資的能力受到局限，由於害怕競爭對手的佔先，企業為了獲得佔先效應，會考慮競爭對手的行為對自己的影響，通過在不確定性所帶來的期權價值與競爭對手的行為所帶來的戰略價值之間進行權衡，來選武漢理工大學博士學位論文擇最優的投資時機。與壟斷情形相比，一般企業會提早投資。同時通過分析說明，競爭企業間通過在創新投資的研究與開發階段進行合作，可以使兩家企業充分利用不確定性帶來的期權價值，增強決策的柔性，結論說明，合作創新投資是兩家企業的帕累托占優策略。
  3. In the paper, it is convinced that the share price of a share - listed company has been closely linked to the company ' s capacity of making profit in the future. furthermore, as the most important view of capital operation, operation under uncertainty has become the linking point of making management strategy and increasing share price decision

    研究的結果認為企業的未來盈利能力是決定公司股價的最主要因素，而現階段資本經營的重要內容? ?不確定性經營是實現企業的經營戰略和公司股價表現相一致的聯結點。
  4. This thesis mainly investigates the incentive and restrictive mechanism of supply and sales agency under the uncertain demands of product. when retailer adopts the strategy of flexible order, manufacturer must decide his optimal decision - making of production based on the uncertainty of future demands

    當分銷商採取「靈活訂購」的策略時，鑒于未來需求的不確定性，製造商也必須做出自己的最優生產決策，並且應當在訂購合同中引進違約金以約束分銷商的行為。
  5. The purpose is to give an introduction to some of the main subjects in this field : risk sharing, moral hazard, adverse selection ( signaling, screening ), mechanism design, decision making under uncertainty

    目的是要為這個領域的一些主題作一個介紹：風險分攤、道德危機、逆選擇（導因、審查） 、機構設計、在不確定性下的決策。
  6. To properly make projects appraisal, staged investments analysis & intangible assets pricing involved in investments under uncertainty, this thesis, based on the real options thinking, sets up the notion models employing the decision - making tree analysis and the mathematical models by relative comparison and cash - flow analysis. cases are also included in the analyzing process. the main results are as the following

    本論文以實物期權思想為基礎，針對不確定性投資決策過程中的項目評價、階段性預算分析和無形資產定價三類問題，運用決策樹分析方法構造概念模型，綜合相對比較法和現金流分析構造數學模型，並結合算例進行評價分析，主要取得如下研究結果： 1
  7. In this paper, i introduced a new method, namely the contingent claims analysis or real options analysis ( roa ) for the decision - making of investment under uncertainty. beginning with financial options, i introduced the relationship between financial options and real options, and then made a comparison between roa and the npv method which is popular now in decision - making of investment, and through two examples, illustrated how to solve for the values of real options by various methods, such as binomial trees and definite difference methods

    論文以金融期權的相關理論為起點，引入了實物期權的相關概念，分析了金融期權和實物期權的關系，並對實物期權與傳統的投資決策方法? npv法進行了比較，指出npv法由於無法適當的估計蘊含于投資項目中的管理靈活性的價值而往往容易造成對投資項目的低估；在兩個實例中通過使用不同的方法介紹了如何求解實物期權的價值。
  8. This course covers the basic models and solution techniques for problems of sequential decision making under uncertainty ( stochastic control )

    這門課程涵蓋了不確定情況下（隨機控制）連續決策組合問題的基本模型與解題技巧。
  9. This paper considers decision - making process of rural - urban land conversion under irreversibility and uncertainty, then use the contingent valuation method ( cvm ) to estimate the non - market value of fannland at the urban fringe of hongshan district of wuhan. benefit - costs analysis technique has been adopted to evaluate the net profit of land conversion, based upon arrow and fisher ' s models on decision - making of resource develop / preservation, we build the model of decision - making on land conversions at the urban fringe. at last, we extend our concern and make exploration on the practical use of this theoretical model

    本文考慮了農地流轉過程中的不確定性和不可逆性，運用意願調查法估計農戶和市民對農地非市場價值的支付意願，通過嚴格的成本效益分析方法，借鑒arrow和fisher對資源開發轉用決策的開創性研究方法，建立了武漢市洪山區城市邊緣區農地城市流轉決策模型，並對模型在實踐中的應用進行了討論。
  10. A study of the expert - novice difference in the cognitive process of decision - making under uncertainty

    專家和新手不確定決策認知過程的比較研究
  11. " for having integrated insights from psychological research into economic science, especially concerning human judgment and decision - making under uncertainty " external links

    是因為把心理學研究和經濟學研究結合在一起，特別是其在不確定狀況下的決策制定有關的研究而得獎
  12. Decision - making executive probabilities are used to simulate the effectiveness from the two decisions of " instant commercial investments " and " deferring the investments to the best time ". then the parallel and exclusive managerial flexibilities are valued to reflect the price of the seeds technology. in this way a clear and complete solution is put forward to the pricing of multi - phase evolving intangible assets under uncertainty

    （ 1 ）分別從價格接受者和價格制定者角度分析種子技術蘊涵的或有損益，利用決策執行概率模擬「立即進行商業化投資」和「等待有利時機再投資」這兩種決策的權衡作用，把相互排斥的并行的管理柔性價值量化地反映到種子技術的價值中，從而為不確定且多階段成長的無形資產的定價問題提供一條清晰而完整的解決思路。
  13. Player - spectator difference in decision making under uncertainty

    局中人和局外人的決策差異研究
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