economic causality 中文意思是什麼
economic causality
解釋
經濟因果律-
Cointegration and causality analysis between structural change in exports and economic growth of china
中國出口結構變革和經濟增長的協整分析 -
Causality in economic models
經濟模型中的因果關系 -
For example, w. rostow considered that the growth of economy was aroused by leading industry, and industrial structure took a very important role in the economy growth ; h. chenery considered that industrial structure and economy growth had a bidirectional causal relation ; however, the most influencing theory was brought forward by s ? kuznets, who considered that it was economic growth which caused the variance of industrial structure advancement, etc. according to cointegration theory and granger causality theory, this paper, based on the summary of multitudinous scholars ’ research literature, carries a positive analysis to the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth, using the time serial data from 1978 to 2003 by
分析結果驗證了配第?克拉克定律的正確性即經濟的增長是就業人口向第三產業轉移的原因，但卻否認了庫茲涅茨的收入決定論，即至少在我國，產業結構的演進是經濟增長的原因而不是相反。同時，本文還原創性地論證了，我國的經濟增長與產業結構之間存在惟一的動態均衡關系即協整關系，產業結構與經濟增長之間短期波動與長期均衡關系存在於根據協整方程建立的向量誤差修正模型之中。 -
On the basis of research on correlative relation between the system of financial revenue and the variables of macroeconomy, combining qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis, systematically analyzing financial revenue structure and running feature of fujian province during " the ninth five - years plan of the national economic and society development ", using research achievement of the formers for reference, synthetically using financial and economic theory 、 econometric way and means and computer statistical software, the text set up the financial revenue metric model in fujian province. moreover, exercising our established model, the text forecast and analyzed the circulating track 、 the changing rule and the causality of the primary variable of financial revenue in fujian province, and prospected for their development
本文是在研究財政收入體系與宏觀經濟變量間相互依存關系的基礎上，採用定性定量相結合的方法，對「九五」期間福建省財政收入結構及其運行特點系統分析，借鑒前人研究成果，綜合運用相關的財政學經濟學理論、計量經濟學方法以及計算機統計軟體，建立了福建省財政收入計量模型；用所建立的模型預測分析「十五」期間福建省財政收入主要指標的運行軌跡、變化規律及其它們之間的因果關系，展望它們發展趨勢。 -
I find that the chinese stock market size was significantly and positively correlated with economic growth and saving deposits rate, even after controlling for other growth inducing variables. on the basis of this, the dynamic interaction relationship between stock market development and economic growth of china is examined in a bivariate vector autoregression ( var ) framework. i find there is one positive cointegration between stock market capitalization and economic growth, uni - directional causality from gdp to the stock market capitalization, but the stock market shock can influence the output positively
我們在兩變量向量自回歸模型框架下考察了中國經濟增長與股票市場發展之間的動態互動關系：股市規模與總產出之間存在著正向的協整關系，表明兩者在長期上是均衡發展的；格蘭傑因果檢驗顯示兩者間存在著經濟增長股票市場規模發展的單向因果關系，沖擊響應分析結論指出股票市場和經濟增長之間有著一種互動關系，股票市場和經濟增長的正向變動均會給對方帶來永久的正向影響，但目前股票市場沖擊對產出的這種影響還很微弱。 -
The third part is the positive analysis. the following aspects are included : the test of causality between fdi and economic growth, the establishment of vector error correction model, and the analysis of the degree to which the indexes of investment, consume, export effect the gdp
第三部分是實證分析部分。對外商直接投資與國內生產總值進行因果關系檢驗，建立了向量誤差修正模型，並分析了投資、消費、出口等指標對國內生產總值的影響程度。 -
It shows that there is cointegration relationship between the economic growth rate and the m1 increase rate. then by using the cointegration, granger causality method, impulse - response analysis, vector error correction model with markov regime switching to test the equilibrium relationship in long run and the short fluctuation pattern in short run between the real output and m1 increase rate, it shows that monetary supply can affect the macroeconomic effectively, and the interest rate and stock market value can not affect the macroeconomic effectively
本文研究了經濟增長與貨幣供給量、利率、股票市場等貨幣中介指標的關系，得出經濟增長率與m1增長率具有協整關系的結論，在此基礎上使用協整分析、 granger因果關系檢驗、脈沖響應分析、具有markov區制轉移的向量誤差修正模型等最新的經濟計量方法，描述和檢驗了中國經濟周期波動過程中實際產出與貨幣供應量變動的長期均衡關系和短期波動模式。 -
To investigate the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth, this essay begins with an examination of the correlation & integration properties of the statistical data of gdp, foreign trade, consumption, investment, labor and industrial structure before and after reformation - opening of china, undertakes a system cointegrating analysis and exams granger causality tests based on vector error - correction model, then carries some regressive analyses according to the causal direction of these variables
為了發現對外貿易和經濟增長的關系，本文首先檢驗了我國改革開放前後gdp 、對外貿易、消費、投資、勞動和產業結構統計數據的相關性和單整性，之後對它們進行系統的協整分析並在此基礎上用誤差修正模型進行granger因果關系檢驗，然後根據因果關系的方向進行回歸分析。 -
For tianjin, economic growth promotes its financial development scale, and there is no causality between economic growth and other aspects of financial development
天津市的經濟增長促進了其金融規模的擴大，而經濟增長與金融發展的其他方面並無因果關系。
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