economic time series 中文意思是什麼

economic time series 解釋
經濟時間數列
  • economic : adj. 1. 經濟學的；經濟（上）的；實用的。2. 〈罕用語〉經濟的，節儉的。3. 〈委婉語〉故意隱瞞的。
  • time : n 1 時，時間，時日，歲月。2 時候，時刻；期間；時節，季節；〈常pl 〉時期，年代，時代； 〈the time ...
  • series : n 〈sing pl 〉1 連續；系列。2 套；輯；叢刊；叢書。3 【生物學】區；族。4 【植物；植物學】輪；列；...
  1. In this article, firstly the background of the textile trade conflicts within sino - us or sino - euro are introduced, thus learn that how to discern and dodge the foreign trade risks, how to choose the appropriate investment projects have already become one of the most important questions for exporting companies on foreign trade affairs well - known as high investment and high risk. so the main text makes a risk analysis qualitatively and quantitatively on a textile - exporting trading company from three angles of statistic 、 game theory and portfolio theory, which is the main content that we studied. firstly, the statistic article adopts data of the transaction closing price of the textile clothing index in shenzhen stock exchange at the end of each quarter as well as several other kinds of data reflecting the macro - economic changes, performs an empirical analysis of these data according to the theory of co - integration test 、 granger cause test and impulse response function of time series in economitric, and learn that the impact to ti is more obvious by the economic index reflecting local commodity price level and economic prosperity degree home and abroad, as well as the impact degree and the time lag degree, and knows the macro - economic risks faced by textile business enterprises ; after that by the game theory angle we analyze exactly the managing risks faced by one textile export corporation named beauty. from the game expansion chart the system arrangement between censor ways by exportation goal countries and exporting strategies by the exporting enterprises has been analyzed. involving the benefit assignment between them both the limited rounds and infinite rounds negotiations of cooperation games have been studied, and then country responsibility and the enterprise managing risks on foreign trade affairs and so on have been analyzed exactly ; in order to realize the investment multiplication in the certain degree to disperse the risk, the

    本文首先介紹了中美、中歐紡織品貿易爭端的來龍去脈，由此可知在涉外貿易這種以高投入、高風險著稱的行業里，如何甄別和規避外貿風險、如何選擇合適的投資項目已經成為外貿企業的首要問題。因此，正文分別從統計學、博弈論和投資組合三種角度對涉外紡織品貿易公司風險進行了定性和定量的分析，這也是本文的主要研究內容。首先，統計學篇選取了深圳證券交易所行業分類指數?紡織服裝指數（ ti ）每一季度末的交易收盤價和若干種反映宏觀經濟變化的指標，利用計量經濟學中時間序列的協整檢驗、 granger因果檢驗和脈沖反應函數等理論做實證分析，從而得知反映國內物價水平和國內外經濟景氣程度的經濟指標對紡織板塊上市值的沖擊比較明顯，且可知沖擊程度和時滯度，進而分析出涉外紡織企業所面臨的宏觀經濟風險;接著，從博弈論的角度具體分析一家紡織品出口公司（ beauty ）的外貿活動所面臨的各種經營風險，該篇從博弈擴展圖入手，分析了出口目的國審查方式與本企業出口策略之間的制度安排;並圍繞雙方的利益分配，研究了有限回合和無限回合合作談判博弈，然後具體論述了國家責任和企業涉外經營風險等問題;在一定程度上為了實現投資多元化來分散風險的目的，投資組合篇從經典的markowitz模型著手，在一些特定條件的限制下，給出了一個相應的投資組合模型。
  2. In order to grasp the urban system processes and evolution pattern of hunan province comprehensively, this article has made further discussion on its structure characteristic : through regression analysis, graph analysis and statistics analysis of the time series data and cross sections data, by combining with the fractal theory, we induce the following conclusion : the hierarchical size structure presents the law of the primate city, the rank - size rule and pyramid structure characteristic, but it also has the insufficient development problem of the high hierarchical size city. by using the gravitation model, we found out that the economy relation intensity among those main cities is weak while the structure is loose. based on the urban layer system of economic development level and industrial structure evolution of the cities in hunan province, this article then induces the function combination among the five urban agglomerations in hunan province

    為全面把握湖南城市體系的運演規律，本文對其結構特徵作了進一步的探討:通過時序數據和截面數據的回歸分析、圖表分析和統計分析，結合分形理論，得出了其等級規模結構分佈呈現出首位分佈、位序?規模分佈和金字塔結構特徵，以及存在著高層次城市發展不足的問題;運用場引力模型發現該省主要城市間的經濟聯系強度較弱、結構鬆散，在歸納出該省城市經濟發展水平的層次體系、產業結構演變的基礎上，導出了該省城市體系的五大城市群職能組合;結合空間結構體系、路網交通條件和經濟發展狀況，對該省城市空間分佈狀態進行了定性分析，研究表明該省總體上處于極化階段，各個具體區域，分佈階段不一，差異較大。
  3. Rubber tree ( hevea brasiliensis ) is an important economic woody - crop in tropical areas. its latex is the unique source of crude rubber used in current industry. because of its special and important use, the rubber tree has been extensively planted in tropical areas. increase production is always the main target in rubber tree cultivation. since the ethrel was applied in increasing latex production in 1968 for the first time as a chemical stimulant, not only the latex production had been increased largely, but also a new set of rubber tapping system had been established, leading to a series of economic benefit. owing to ethrel " s extensive application, its side effects had been found more and more obviously, such as tapping dry, speeding up senescence, shortening the life span of rubber tree etc. in order to overcome the side effects and increase production more availably, for a long time, people had carried out lots of research work on cell level, membrane level, physiology and biochemistry of laticifer contents. but the mech anism why ethrel increased latex production was not yet understood completely. this study had cloned the ethylene receptor gene ( efrl ) from rubber tree, and researched the relationship between etrl expression in laticifers and ethrel stimulation on transcription level and protein translation level. the results were as follows : 1

    但是，由於乙烯利應用的普及，乙烯利刺激割膠引起橡膠樹發生死皮病及加速膠樹衰老，縮短膠樹壽命等副作用也越來越明顯。為了克服這些副作用，使乙烯利能更有效地刺激增產，長期以來，人們在細胞水平、膜水平和乳管細胞內含物的生理生化層面上進行了大量的研究，但仍未完全了解乙烯對膠樹的作用機制。本研究從分子水平入手，克隆橡膠樹的乙烯受體基因（ etr1 ） ，並在轉錄水平和蛋白質翻譯水平上研究etr1基因在乳管細胞中的表達及與乙烯刺激的關系，取得了以下結果： 1
  4. In chapter 2, an economic concept - location quotients ( lq ) is introduced into the mathematical part of this article, in order to isolate what a city does well, and to find which of its industries export to the rest of the nation. author manipulates last five years " lq from data on farming, forestry, animal husbandry, coal, rude oil, tourism, export and import, population and etc, argues that we could know weather there is a larger than normal concentration of activity in the region, and weather there is a trend of regular develop trace of this activity by running a time series simple autoregression, which provides a feasible analysis tool for people to judge and choose an advantageous industry within this region

    第二章，採用區位商的方式和賦予的經濟意義，通過計算，比較了過去5年中甘肅、寧夏兩省區在農業、林業、畜牧業、漁業、煤炭、原油、旅遊、進出口、人口等與資源產業密切相關的行業的區位商，並提出通過對所獲得的區位商數據建立有序的單變量時間序列回歸模型，可以獲知某項資源產業是否在該省具有明顯的優勢的計量方法，為判斷並選擇區域性的優勢產業提供了一種可行的分析工具。
  5. The autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic ( arch ) class of models for conditional variances was put forward by engle ( 1982 ) proved to be extremely useful for analyzing economic time series. garch models have been developed to account for empirical regularities in financial data

    Engle （ 1982 ）提出的arch模型，對經濟時間序列中的條件方差分析十分有用， arch模型可以很好地刻劃金融數據。
  6. " for methods of analyzing economic time series with common trends cointegration

    .以表彰他們在「分析經濟時間數列」研究領域所作出的突出貢獻
  7. Professor sir clive granger is a pioneer in the field of time series analysis and econometrics. he received the 2003 nobel prize in economics for his contributions to methods of analyzing long run relationships in economic time series, a discovery which was a major breakthrough. his models have become indispensable tools for macro - economic forecasts, evaluation of risks and analysis of the financial markets

    格蘭傑教授是計量經濟學及時間序列分析的大師，他以研究經濟數據之間的長遠關系即:協整cointegration模型獲2003年諾貝爾經濟獎，為經濟學上一重大突破，他發明的分析模型被廣泛應用於宏觀經濟預測分析風險評估及金融市場的分析。
  8. Wavelet network - based non - linear economic time series prediction model

    基於小波網路的非線性經濟時序預測模型
  9. " for methods of analyzing economic time series with time - varying volatility arch

    所發明的「自動遞減條件下的異方差性」
  10. From the view of time series and space feature, the dissertation make a statistical description of the differences of economic development and higher educational development in each regions since reforms and opendoor policy. the dissertation finds the reason of the differences of higher educational development among regions through the empirical analysis on the industrial structure, and provides some suggestion to effectively solve the unresonable differences

    從時間序列及空間特徵兩個角度對改革開放以來中國各地域經濟及高等教育的發展差異進行統計描述。通過對各地域產業結構的實證分析，發現地域間高等教育發展差異產生的原因，並探尋解決高等教育發展地域性差異的有效途徑。
  11. Application of wavelet neural network in prediction of multivariate chaotic economic growth time series

    多變量經濟混沌時序的小波神經網路預測
  12. In this dissertation, it has mainly studied the fractural dimension measure to petroleum economics system, the phase space reconstruction modeling and prediction techniques to economic chaotic time series. it puts forward chaos dynamitic models, which are forecasting model for oil consumption. corresponding countermeasures of the oil supply - security of china are suggested by analyzing the forecasting results and the problems existing in petroleum economic system of china, especially aiming at the balance between oil production and consumption quantity

    本論文主要研究了石油經濟系統復雜性的分數維度量、經濟混沌時間序列的相空間重構技術、建模和預測技術；建立了石油經濟系統的混沌動力學模型：石油消費的預測模型；並將此模型應用於全國的石油經濟系統研究之中，對全國石油消費量做出預測，根據預測結果分析我國石油經濟系統（尤其是石油供需平衡）中存在的問題，並提出對策。
  13. It is after the guide for the corporate criminal trial imposing severe punishment for harmful conduct by corporations was enacted by us government in early 1990s, that the corporate crime and the criminal liability emerged as an economic issue for the first time. inevitably, it stirred up discussion among jurisprudents and economists. topics concerned mainly focus on : 1 ) given that the immediate offender is not the full beneficiary of the crime, why would the criminal choose to commit that crime in the content of corporate contract series, what factors induce this corporation, but not others, to commit that crime

    公司犯罪和刑事責任被作為一個經濟學問題提出來，是1990s年代初期美國頒布《公司刑事審判指引》以後的事情，這個指引為公司實施的加害行為規定了極其嚴厲的刑罰，從而引起了美國法學界和經濟學界的熱烈討論，討論的問題集中在： 1 ）給定實施犯罪的直接行為人不能全部享受犯罪收益，行為人為什麼要選擇在公司契約連接中實施犯罪
  14. One is the qualitative analysis from the micro stratification ; another is quantitative analysis by using financial time series methods. thus this paper expected to offer decision - making reference and theoretical support for the government ’ s intervention on the foreign exchange market under different economic environment. with respect to methodology, this paper takes a microeconomic approach

    本文的研究思路是，首先確立從微觀層面進行分析;其次從理論上的邏輯推理到實證檢驗的支持，二者有機結合來說明匯率波動的微觀原因以及匯率波動的特點;最後在此基礎，針對匯率波動的不同情形，提出政府干預匯率波動的政策建議。
  15. At the same time, a series of development trend in organization structure innovation under the information environment has been put forward : flat model is the basis of organization structure optimization ; flexibility not only is beneficial to organization creation, innovation and accelerating reaction speed, but also strengthens organization ' s control centripetal force during the process of being operated continuously. it has rapid adjusting ability in time according to unexpected results of predictable change ; networking can not only decrease internal management cost and realize integration between supply chain and sale chain in worldwide, but also realize enterprise " s completely authorized managemen in order to promote substantial leap in enterprise economic benefit ; virtual model is centralizing limited resources on high additional value function and making low additional value virtual in order that the largest resource support can be obtained in the lowest cost and the whole organization is operated in the most effective way for adapting to market " s rapid change with high elasticity ; creating learning pattern in organization makes enterprise expand the width and depth of information being exchanged with the outer so as to keep enterprise in an unassailable position

    提出信息化環境下組織結構創新的一系列發展趨勢：扁平化是組織結構優化的基礎；柔性化既有利於組織的創造、革新、加快反應速度，又能使組織在不斷磨合中加強控制的向心力，具有適時根據可預期的變化的意外結果迅速調整的能力；網路化不僅減少了內部管理成本、實現了企業全世界范圍內供應鏈與銷售環節的整合，而且實現了企業充分授權式的管理，極大地促進了企業經濟效益，實現質的飛躍；虛擬化是將有限的資源集中在附加值高的功能上，而將附加值低的功能虛擬化，以最小的代價獲得最大的資源支持，從而使整個組織以最有效的方式運轉，以高彈性化來適應市場的快速變化；創建學習型組織，使企業拓展了與外界進行信息交流的廣度和深度，使企業立於不敗之地。
  16. We composed the coincident index of macroscopic economic prosperity of jinan city using the gray principal component analysis and made the analysis on the circulation of prosperity, and then we got the time series of gray principal component of economic prosperity index as figure 1 shows

    80的最小廠作為所取主成分的個數。我們對濟南市宏觀經濟一致指標組的作了灰色主成分分析併合成了灰色主成分景氣指數。得到的一致指標組景氣指數時間序列如圖1所示。
  17. Under the condition of subdivision of industry and area, the degree of structural homogeneity of manufacturing in delta area of yangtze were measured. the trends and status of the degree of structural homogeneity of manufacturing in delta area of yangtze were made clear. based on time series analytic technology, regression analysis and correlative analysis, the influence of internationalization on the manufacturing structure homogeneity was measured, the correlations between the manufacturing structure upgrading, factor mobility, merchandise mobility and the manufacturing structure homogeneity in delta area of yangtze were analyzed. the relation between the structural convergence of manufacturing and the convergence of economic growth in delta area of yangtze was analyzed

    本文首先通過比較分析對製造業同構測度方法、指標與數據類型進行了選擇，這是全文的基礎;然後在產業細分與區域條件下對長三角製造業的同構問題進行了考查，明確了長三角製造業同構的變動趨勢與現實狀況;最後研究了相關因素對製造業同構的影響:基於時間序列分析、回歸分析以及相關性分析等方法，考查了經濟國際化對長三角製造業同構的影響，探討了長三角製造業結構高級化與結構趨同的關系，分析了長三角省際要素流動、商品流動與該區域內製造業同構的關系，討論了長三角製造業結構趨同與經濟增長趨同以及工業增長趨同的關系。
  18. With making a co - integration analysis on the data of time series, we can find that there are a long - term dynamic equilibrium relation and short - term error correction mechanism among economic development, system transforming and transaction cost in 1978 - 2003 in china

    摘要使用協整分析方法對轉型時期中國經驗數據進行定量分析，可以發現， 1978 - 2003年我國的經濟發展、體制轉型與交易費用之間存在長期動態均衡關系和短期誤差修正機制。
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