last-period forecast 中文意思是什麼
last-period forecast
解釋
近期預測-
This paper ’ s constructive land forecast is based on land planning and stat forecast. on the basic of analyse of constructive land actuality and the change mechanism in toksun county, apply four kind of forecast models to analyse the result. choose gm ( 1, 1 ) model and regression model according with the constructive land actuality and the change mechanism in toksun county. and combine the “ 十一 五 ” planning of government and the arrangement of emphases industry item to forecast the demand of constructive land and change current of land use structure in planning period ( 2010 and 2020 ). it adopt reasoning means of acceptability, according to constructive land scale, considering economy rationality 、 advancement and applicability of technic feasibility of constructive condition and sustainability of zoology environment, to analyse the feasibility of constructive land scale. at the last, put forward advice of the constructive land supply
在托克遜縣建設用地現狀和變化機制分析的基礎上，採用4種預測模型進行對比分析，選取符合托克遜縣建設用地變化機理的模型: gm （ 1 ， 1 ）模型和回歸預測，綜合這兩種預測方法，並結合政府「十一五」規劃以及「十一五」期間重點工業項目安排情況，對規劃期（ 2010年、 2020年）各類建設用地需求數量和土地利用結構的變化趨勢進行預測。採用合意度論證方法，綜合考慮建設用地預測規模的經濟合理性、技術的先進性、適用性、建設條件的可能性以及生態環境的可持續性，對建設用地規模進行可行性論證，最後提出建設用地合理供給對策。
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