navigating model 中文意思是什麼
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To determine the bank - head ' s ice force of the lead - navigating bank at key position that faces the ice directly of certain water conservancy, ice model test in reduced scale is designed and carried out based on the local situation on the spot and data observed
摘要以現場實際工況及觀測數據為依據，以確定某水利樞紐關鍵迎冰部位引航導堤堤頭冰荷載問題為目的，設計並進行了縮尺的冰模擬試驗。 -
First of all, i summarize the forecast model category and estimate each model in detail, then, i adopt different model to forecast demand, supply, bdi of bulk shipping market. as to demand forecast, i mainly focus on the imitating precision of primitive data, adopt grey forecast model, self - suited filter model separately, and then compose these models as a better one. as to supply forecast, i use econometrics model to describe the complicated relationship of demand, supply, bdi, gnp etc. as to bdi, i try to draw into market integrated factor, describe the relationship of bdi, supply, capacity, speed, rate of oil, navigating capital etc. then finally, i make afterwards evaluation of these models and then analyze future bulk shipping market in detail
對于需求預測，著重考慮對原始數據的擬合精度，經過模型比較優選論證，分別採用了灰色一階模型，改進的灰色二階、自適應過濾預測的加權組合模型，得到了相當高的擬合精度；對于供給預測，運用計量經濟模型對供給、需求、運價、 gnp 、進出口貿易額等多變量之間復雜的相互關系進行動態模擬，定量的反映出各變量之間的因果關系；對于運價預測，嘗試引入市場綜合因數概念，化繁為簡，通過描述運價與運力供給、載重噸、油耗、航速、燃油價格、航行成本等等諸多因素的關系來進行預測。 -
When ships are at their actual voyages the working conditions ( such as loading, depth of drafu ship speed ) and the navigating environments ( such as the sea route, depth of water, wind, wave, current ) are variable to a large extent. the whole during is a procedure of model varying with time nonlinear and large disturbance. the introduction of the intelligent controlling method can contribute to the improvement of automation degree for ship avoiding collision and maneuvering systems
由於船舶的運動在實際的航行過程中隨船舶的工作狀態（如載荷、吃水深度、航速等）及航行環境（如航線、水深、風、浪、流等）的不同而有很大的變化，是一個模型時變、非線性、大幹擾的過程，將智能化控制技術用於其中將會有助於船舶避碰與操縱系統的自動化程度的提高。
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