plan evaluation and review technique 中文意思是什麼
plan evaluation and review technique
解釋
計劃協調技術- plan : n 1 計劃，設計，方案，規劃；方法；進程表；時間表。2 圖，圖面；平面圖，設計圖；示意圖；圖表；（街...
- evaluation : n. 1. 估價，評價。2. 【數學】賦值，值的計算。
- and : n. 1. 附加條件。2. 〈常 pl. 〉附加細節。
- review : vt 1 再看，再閱，復閱；重行檢查，再驗查；檢查；審查，觀察。2 檢閱（軍隊）。3 評論（新書等）。4 溫...
- technique : n. 1. （專門）技術；（藝術上的）技巧，技能。2. 手法〈如畫法，演奏法等〉。3. 方法。
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Chapter 3 of this thesis discusses schedule management in detail, analyses some methods to make schedule plan, for example, gantt, cmp, and pert, points out their advantages and disadvantages. then the thesis puts forward a fuzzy program evaluation and review technique
在第三章中，就項目管理中的進度管理進行了詳細的討論，分析了進度計劃的幾種主要方法（甘特圖法、關鍵路徑法、計劃評審技術等） ，並指出了這幾種方法的優缺點。 -
Firstly, the degree of the development of project management and risk management, the explanation of the importance of project risk management, and the expatiation of the theory and method of project schedule plan, the status of project schedule risk evaluation and the development and application of simulation technique are introduced in this paper. then the advantages and disadvantages of simulation technique and program evaluation and review technique for evaluating the schedule risk of project are apart listed in the paper, and that the theory and method of monte carlo method is discussed emphatically in the paper. finally the method for evaluating the schedule risk of project by creating monte carlo simulation model with the software excel is presented in the paper, which includes modeling, simulating, counting, testing and evaluating, and makes the complex and hard quantitative analysis work - risk evaluation easy and convenient, the result of evaluation more precise and credible
本文首先介紹項目管理和風險管理的發展狀況，說明項目風險管理的重要性，闡述項目進度計劃的理論和方法、項目進度風險評價的現狀以及模擬技術的發展和應用，然後對比分析模擬法和計劃評審技術在評價項目進度風險時的優劣，並著重探討用蒙特卡羅法進行風險評價的理論和方法，最後提出在計算機軟體excel上建立蒙特卡羅模擬模型對項目的進度風險進行評價的思路和模型，並在excel上建立一套完整的進行項目進度風險評價的實現步驟和方法，包括建模、模擬、統計、檢驗和評價，使風險評價這一復雜困難的定量分析工作變得簡單方便，而且使其結果更加準確可靠。
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