predicted to observed 中文意思是什麼
predicted to observed
解釋
預計值與測量值之比-
From the viewpoint of the interactive relationship between modern pension scheme and productivity, this paper observed the function and prospect of occupational pensions in china within a background consisting of population structure, labor productivity, and finance environment, utilized simulation and scenario analysis in actuarial models to estimate and analyze the effect of occupational pensions in the replacement rate of urban retired employees, then pointed out the magnification effect of occupational pensions in increasing the replacement rate and the higher efficiency in improving retirement income of urban retired employees. it also predicted the size expectation of occupational pensions during 2002 - 2010 in china, described the function of occupational pensions in developing the capital market and improving the labor productivity, especially emphasized the higher probability of occupational pensions to play the role of institutional investors compared with basic pension. in short, this paper proved the positive meaning of developing occupational pensions from micro - level and macro - level respectively, and brought forward corresponding policy suggestions
本文立足於現代社會養老保險制度與生產力之間的互動關系這一視角，把對我國企業年金作用與發展空間的考察置於包括人口結構、勞動生產率、金融環境等諸多因素的經濟大背景下，在精算模型中運用模擬（ simulation ）和情景分析方法，對企業年金對我國退休職工養老保險收入替代率的影響進行了定量分析和預測，指出了企業年金在提高退休職工收入替代率方面的放大作用，以及比基本養老保險在提高退休職工收入方面的更高效率；並對我國企業年金2002年- 2010年的預計發展規模做了預測，闡述了企業年金對我國發展資本市場和提高勞動生產率的意義，著重指出了企業年金較之基本養老保險基金充當資本市場機構投資者的更大可能性。 -
Consequencely, the analysis and assessment system of the operating state of the concrete dam was developed under the ansys development environment, and the back - analysis and the prediction of the parameters of the dam system have been done according to the operating observed data. the research work involves several aspects as follows : 1 ) a back - analysis model including the prior information and a predictive model of nonlinear time series were established ; 2 ) the analysis and assessment system of the operating state of the concrete dam was developed under the ansys development environment, in which the analysis module of the loading effects, the back - analysis module, the forecasting module of the physical parameters and the assessment module of the operating state were contained ; 3 ) according to the operating observed data, the operating state of the dam was assessed and predicted with the analysis system of the operating state, the results suggested that the dam is in basically normal operation at present
具體工作有以下幾方面： 1 ）收集整理漫灣水電站大壩運行監測資料，並對其進行了系統分析，從觀測資料本身直觀的分析了大壩的運行狀況； 2 ）總結位移反分析的理論及方法，建立了考慮先驗信息多介質位移反分析模型，基於神經網路非線性映射功能，建立了神經網路時間序列預測模型； 3 ）以ansys軟體為平臺，開發了漫灣水電站砼重力壩運行狀態評價模塊，結合荷載效應分析、參數反演分析、參數預測分析三個模塊組成漫灣水電站砼重力壩運行狀態分析系統；實現了對漫灣水電站運行狀態的動態「反演-預測」分析； 4 ）利用漫灣水電站砼重力壩運行狀態分析系統，在漫灣大壩實測資料分析、大壩砼特性參數反分析、大壩砼彈性模量衰變規律及預測分析的基礎上，系統的分析並預測了大壩運行狀態。
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