probability and management statistics 中文意思是什麼
probability and management statistics
解釋
概率與管理統計- probability : n 1 或有；或然性。2 【哲學】蓋然性〈在 certainly 和 doubt 或 posibility 之間〉。3 【數學】幾率，...
- and : n. 1. 附加條件。2. 〈常 pl. 〉附加細節。
- management : n. 1. 辦理，處理；管理，經營；經營力，經營手腕。2. 安排；妥善對待。3. 〈the management〉〈集合詞〉（工商企業）管理部門；董事會；廠方，資方。
- statistics : n. 1. 統計學，統計法〈用作單數〉。2. 統計數字[資料]，統計表〈用作復數〉。
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After analyzing the character of risk, i introduce data mining method into risk management, to solve the contradiction between great capacity of data and lack of information, the methods include mathematics statistics and artificial neural network ( ann ). then, i study on the methods of risk management in risk identification, risk evaluation and risk disposal, what is advanced, fault tree analysis method based on fuzzy probability, stochastic simulation method and the topsis method based on interval number all consider the characteristic of risk. finally, i discussed the application of information system ( mis ) in project risk management, and developed a risk management information system
論文在深入分析了風險特徵之後，將數據挖掘技術引入風險管理，用以解決海量數據與貧乏信息之間的矛盾，所採用的技術有數理統計和人工神經網路（ ann ）兩種方法；接著，論文對風險識別、風險評價、風險處理中的風險管理方法進行了研究，所提出的基於模糊概率的故障樹技術、隨機模擬技術和基於區間數的topsis方法都體現了風險管理的特點；最後，論文對信息系統（ mis ）在工程項目風險管理中的應用進行了探討，開發出一個風險管理信息系統。 -
Keywords : industrial engineering, industrial management, operations research, management sciences, production systems, operations management, supply chain management, management of technology, quality engineering and management, reliability engineering, six - sigma, lean manufacturing and lean enterprise, information systems engineering and management, enterprise management systems engineering, semiconductor manufacturing, health care systems, data mining, financial engineering, simulation, optimization, decision sciences, stochastic systems ， probability and statistics
關鍵詞：工業工程，工業管理，運籌學，管理科學，生產系統，運作管理，供應鏈管理，技術管理，質量工程和管理，可靠性工程，六西格馬，精益製造與精益企業，信息系統工程與管理，企業管理系統工程，半導體製造，醫療系統，數據挖掘，金融工程，系統模擬，優化，決策科學，隨機系統，概率和統計。 -
In thes paper, we set up a risk quantiative appraisal system for the scientific risk management of the real estate invesbent whih is based on the probability theory, mathematial statistics and fmancial anaiysis theorythis system developes the application of the probability theory and mathematical statishcs to the risk appraisal on the base of current risk appraisal methods. what ' s more, in orde to filfulthe need of prachcal application, we create a set of risk - fmance index models in whih we analyze five kinds of twortant risk in the real estate investinen from their orighs, such as the general price fluctuation risk, the markt risk, the interest rate risk, the operation risk and the decision risk. ih the system, standard deviation of the npv ( net present value ) is uesed as the quantitative index of the singe risks and the whole risk. in addition, we connect the system with risk avoiding tactics in the risk managemen of a proect. all these provide a decision basis for risk management
本文應用概率論、數理統計、財務分析等理論為房地產投資風險的科學管理建立了一套風險定量評價系統。該系統是在現有的風險評價方法的基礎上，將概率論和數理統計的理論在風險評價中的應用進一步深化。並結合房地產投資的實際，從風險形成的原因出發，針對其中影響較大的幾類風險像利率風險、物價風險、行業風險、經營風險、決策風險，建立了一套風險- - -財務指標評價模型，運用凈現值的標準差這一指標將房地產投資所面臨的個體風險和整體風險定量化，同時與項目風險管理中的風險規避策略有機地結合在一起，為房地產投資的風險管理提供了決策的依據。
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