univariate model 中文意思是什麼

univariate model 解釋
單變量模型
  • univariate : 單變量的
  • model : n 1 模型，雛型；原型；設計圖；模範；（畫家、雕刻家的）模特兒；樣板。2 典型，模範。3 （女服裝店僱...
  1. It is desirable for all related insiders and outsiders to discern all potential risk in advance. this paper, with the adoption of special treatment resulted from abnormal financial position as the indicator of financial distress, the univariate variable analysis and multiple variable analysis as the research approach and some financial ratios as variable, tries to find an optimal financial distress prediction model of chinese manufacturing listed companies based on public accounting data. our finding demonstrate that five general financial ratios and three ratios concerning the cash flow have better predicting ability, the erroneous classification ratio are low. these five general financial ratios are earning per share, return on net assets, return on gross assets, growth rate of net profits, growth rate of net assets ; the three ratios concerning the cash flow are net cash flows from operating activities per share, net re - earnable cash flows / current liability, net cash flows from operating activities / net profit

    研究結果表明，在單變量分析中，每股收益、凈資產收益率、總資產報酬率、凈利潤增長率、凈資產增長率這5個財務比率的錯分率較低、預測能力較強；經營活動凈現金流量與凈利潤之比、每股經營現金流量、可重復賺取的現金凈流量與流動負債之比這三個現金流量財務比率對于預測上市公司財務困境具有有效性；多變量分析中，應用費雪判別分析和典則判別分析得到兩個判別模型，在典則判別分析中，應用兩種方法確定所建模型的最佳分界點，檢測證明應用所得兩個判別模型進行財務困境預測的準確率很高。
  2. Hereafter being the forecasting to the old age population coefficient, this text has been applied two kinds of regression model, namely univariate linear model and logarithmic model, and thought over three kinds of economic speed of development ( high, middle, low ) in the logarithmic model to forecast the old age population coefficient respectively. finally, by analyzing the forecasted value and the inertia law of population development, the paper points out the lengthening of the population equally expected life span will push forward the aging of population step by step to the advanced age development ; the development trend of the population aging continues to be clear, and just appears a stage characteristic ; furthermore, the population aging speed in rural area will be faster than in the city

    此後是對老年人口系數的預測，本文應用了兩種回歸模型，即一元線性回歸模型和對數擬合模型，並在對數擬合模型中考慮了經濟發展速度的高、中、低三種方案，對老年人口系數分別進行預測；最後在分析預測值和人口發展慣性規律基礎上對山東省未來人口老齡化發展趨勢作了較深入分析，指出人口平均預期壽命的不斷延長，將逐步推動人口老齡化向高齡化發展；人口老齡化繼續發展趨勢明顯，且呈現出階段性特徵；農村人口老齡化速度將快于城市。
  3. This paper analyzed the noniinear, non - - equilibrium, fractai and chaos characteristics of chinese stock market, identified, estimated and tested three fractionaliy integrated time series models the first chapter " introduction to the evoiution of stock market investment theory " summarized the nine important representative theories of different stage, summed up the trend of the development that the stock market investment theory is evotving from static portfplio theory to dynamic time series modei, from univariate modei to muitivariate modei, from linear modei to nonlinear complicated model and from traditional modei to fractai modei, paved the way for following discussion

    實際情況卻是股票市場影響因素以及各因素之間相互作用關系復雜，受投資者個人及群體心理因素影響明顯，股票的波動以及收益與風險的關系常常是非線性的，非均衡的，收益的方差和均值是自相關的、不穩定的，收益的波動符合分形布朗運動，表現出分形和混沌的特徵。本文分析了股票市場的波動的非線性、非均衡、分形和混沌特徵，建立並檢驗了幾種股票的分形差分異方差時間序列模型。
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