概率法預測 的英文怎麼說

中文拼音 [gàilǜfǎyùcè]
概率法預測 英文
probabilistic forecasting
  • 概 : Ⅰ名詞1 （大略） general outline 2 （神氣） manner of carrying and conducting oneself; deportment ...
  • 率 : 率名詞（比值） rate; ratio; proportion
  • 法 : Ⅰ名詞1 （由國家制定或認可的行為規則的總稱） law 2 （方法; 方式） way; method; mode; means 3 （標...
  • 預 : Ⅰ副詞（預先; 事先） in advance; beforehand Ⅱ動詞（參與） take part in
  • 測 : 動詞1. （測量） survey; fathom; measure 2. （測度; 推測） conjecture; infer
  • 概率 : [數學] probability; chance概率論 probability theory; theory of chances; 概率曲線 probability curv...
  • 預測 : calculate; forecast; prognosis; divine; forecasting; foreshadowing; predetermination
  1. This thesis analyzes the mutual, complemental and fit relationship between technology 、 the corporate supply chain and organizational structure of a corporation in a comparably systematic and complete way based on the mode of integrated management by reviewing, analyzing and summarizing relative references. based on practical definitions of the concepts and variables appearing in the analysis of the relationship, investigative papers have been designed and possible development situations of technology 、 the corporate supply chain and organizational structure of different enterprises have been described in the way of determining the nature. by the statistics and analyses of the investigative papers, relativity, with the method of multi - linearity - regress analysis, and by investigating enterprises " performance in different dimensions and establishing a math mode of the relationship between

    本文在企業一體化管理模式的基礎上，通過文獻資料法對相關文獻進行回顧和總結分析，較系統和全面地論述了企業技術與組織結構、組織結構和供應鏈之間存在的互動、互補和匹配關系，對這一關系中的概念和變量進行操作化定義，設計出三者對應的指標體系的調查問卷，定性描述在不同企業的技術、組織結構和供應鏈的發展狀況，通過對調查所得問卷進行統計分析，運用相關性分析和多元線性回歸分析等方法，實證調查企業在不同維度狀態下的績效，建立企業技術、組織結構、供應鏈與企業的績效之間關系的數學模型，證明企業技術、組織結構、供應鏈和企業績效存在一定的相關性，企業技術、組織結構和供應鏈三者之間的匹配關系可以影響和預測企業的績效，只有當企業的各影響因素之間相互匹配的時候，企業整體運做的效率和效果將最好。
  2. The basic principle and method of 3d stochastic modeling of sedimentary microfacies are discussed according to geological and acoustic impedance data of well - logging constrained seismic inversion, and a case study according to stochastic modeling of fluvial facies reservoir of the minghuazhen formation of neocene in a certain block of bohai bay basin is used to show the general process of this research

    摘要探討了綜合應用地質及測井約束地震反演信息進行三維沈積微相隨機建模的基本原理、思路與方法， ?以渤海灣盆地某區塊新近系明化鎮組河流相儲層?例，說明這一研究過程的基本步驟，包括井眼沉積微相解釋、測井約束地震反演、波阻抗與地質相的概率關系分析、隨機模擬方法選擇、地質統計特徵分析、三維隨機建模、隨機模擬預測的多解性評價。
  3. While many theories concerning damage forecasting were put foreword, a different model of damage forecasting based on fuzzy probability will be presented in this paper. and it is reasonable to describe a variable like weight coefficient with fuzzy theory. in the end, the validity of the model is demonstrated well in the applications of one - storied brick bent frame column factories, one - storied reinforced concrete column factories, multistory masonry buildings

    國內外不少專家學者或研究單位先後提出了各種震害預測方法，本文在此基礎上，利用模糊理論，提出了模糊概率的震害預測模型，其模型能夠把兩類不確定性（一類是隨機上的，另一類是模糊上的）有機結合起來，而且對于權重這樣一個充滿著模糊性的變量，用模糊語言來處理是非常合理的；並應用於對單層磚排架柱廠房、單層鋼筋混凝土柱廠房以及多層磚房的震害預測，實踐證明此方法是比較精確的。
  4. A systematic summary of previous work has been given first. then this paper presents a novel multi - stage face detection algorithm, which makes a good use of human face pattern ' s valuable information in colour image sequences. the difficult detection task has been divided into four steps : the preprocessing, which is to gain skin colored regions with human skin color model ; the roughly detection and face region refining by elliptic curve fitting ; the fine detection with facial features " detection and location ; the face / non - face classification step based on pca and gaussian density estimation technique

    本文對彩色序列圖像中的人臉檢測和跟蹤技術進行了深入的研究，其具體內容為：對近年來的研究工作進行了系統的介紹；提出了一個由粗到細的多階段的人臉檢測演算法，該演算法充分利用了序列圖像中人臉模式的各種有用信息，將復雜的檢測工作分為了四個部分：膚色區域分割預處理，人臉粗檢及利用橢圓擬和的人臉區域提煉，應用人臉基本特徵檢測和定位的人臉細檢， pca結合高斯概率密度估計的人臉驗證。
  5. Considered the present condition of liaoning province, the evaluation and prediction method of liaoning province bridge technique condition is analyzed, then bridge condition changed - contingency evaluated method is introduced, negative index curve is chosen as the regression analysis model of the bridge condition prediction, and based on the information of bridge management system in the liaoning highway, the parameters of model are calibrated, the average repaired life of bridge is also calculated, the definite method of the bridge ' s repaired year is given, at the same time the markov chain model of bridge condition prediction is presented

    結合遼寧省的橋梁工程及管理具體情況，研究了遼寧省橋梁技術狀況評價與預測方法，引入橋梁缺損狀況變權評定方法，選擇負指數曲線作為橋梁缺損狀況預測的回歸分析模型，並依據遼寧省干線公路橋梁管理系統中的橋梁狀況信息，標定了模型的參數，計算橋梁中修及大修（或改建）的平均年限，給出橋梁大中修年份的確定方法，同時也建立了橋梁缺損狀況預測的馬爾可夫鏈概率模型。
  6. The mid - term price forecasting model in electricity market using mpmr

    基於最小最大概率回歸方法的中長期電價預測模型
  7. This thesis presents a probability method to forecast annual peak load based on the research of the divided load model, and a practical system has been successfully formed according to the actual circumstance of henan province

    本文在分解模型的基礎上，提出年最大負荷概率分析與預測方法，並根據河南省的地區特點，成功地研製出一套適合河南省的年最大負荷概率分析與預測系統。
  8. An application of probability method to the short - term earthquake prediction

    概率方法應用於地震短期預測的探索
  9. Present methods generally based on the statistics of earthquake damage, expert experiences, theory analysis and experimental researches have obvious advantages, disadvantages and certain scopes of application ; ( 2 ) different prediction methods should be adopted against different building conditions, sites, intensity and experiences etc to predict earthquake damage of buildings for prospective accuracy, dependability and availability ; ( 3 ) earthquake damage matrix, which is the foundation of earthquake damage prediction, of 7 kinds of building in the urban areas of zhangzhou city under intensity 6 to 9 has been set up. the damage conditions of different buildings under different intensity are as followings : all kinds of structures are basically intact under intensity 6 ; the reinforced concrete structures are basically intact under intensity 7, but other kinds of structures are destroyed slightly ; the reinforced concrete structures are still basically intact while other kinds of structures are destroyed intermediately under intensity 8 ; the reinforced concrete structures are destroyed slightly, single - story factories and open houses are destroyed intermediately and other kinds of structures are destroyed seriously under intensity 9 ; ( 4 ) the results of earthquake damage predicting of buildings embody the damage when earthquake happens in the future. thus, further identifications and reinforcements should be considered to buildings that will be destroyed intermediately or more under the earthquake with 10 % exceeding probability in future 50 years ; ( 5 ) the direct economic losses caused by damage of buildings resting with the area, structural type, intensity and damage of all kinds of buildings are the main part of the losses of the city in an earthquake ; ( 6 ) the direct economic losses increased progressively toward high intensity by 2 or 3 times

    基於上述研究，得出的主要結論有：建築物震害預測是一個模糊的、系統的、復雜的問題，現有的方法很多一般都是以震害統計規律、專家經驗、理論分析和試驗研究為依據，有其自身的優缺點和一定的適用范圍；應針對不同的建築物條件、場地條件、地震強度和已有經驗等，採用不同的預測方法進行建築物震害預測，以使預測結果達到預期的精確性、可靠性和可操作性；建立了漳州市區7類建築物在6度9度地震作用下的震害矩陣，成為指導抗震防災的重要依據，各類結構的震害情況表現為： 6度地震作用下各類建築物基本完好； 7度地震作用下除鋼筋混凝土結構基本完好外其餘以建築輕微破壞為主； 8度地震作用下鋼筋混凝土結構仍以基本完好為主而其餘建築以中等破壞為主； 9度地震作用下鋼筋混凝土結構以輕微破壞為主，單層工業廠房和空曠房屋以中等破壞為主，其餘建築以嚴重破壞為主；建築物的震害預測結果體現了未來地震來臨時的震害程度，在編制漳州市區抗震防災規劃時，對于遭遇50年超越概率10的地震影響發生中等以上破壞的建築物應考慮進行抗震鑒定和加固；由建築物的破壞所造成的直接經濟損失是城市地震經濟損失的主要部分，重慶大學碩士學位論文中文摘要其主要與建築物總面積、結構類型、地震烈度和各類建築物的震害程度有關;不同烈度造成的直接經濟損失按2一3倍向高烈度方向遞增，漳州市區直接經濟損失由6度至9度的比例關系為1 : 2 . 8 : 8 . 6 : 22 . 8 ;遭遇基本地震設防烈度（ 7度）時，漳州市區直接經濟損失約4 . 5億元，無家可歸人員約40000人，且以磚木結構和多層磚混結構的震害損失最大;地震造成的人員傷亡主要與建築物倒塌及嚴重破壞的程度和總面積以及震時的建築物室內人數密切相關，地震時無家可歸人員主要與住宅倒塌、嚴重破壞及中等破壞的程度和總面積以及城市人均居住面積密切相關。
  10. Then, probability prediction model of durable life is founded. through discussing the probability characteristics of influencing factors, the law of durable reliability is analyzed, and the prediction method is validated by the experimental data

    建立了基於規定可靠指標的混凝土耐久壽命的隨機預測模型，通過探討影響因素的概率分佈，分析了耐久可靠性的發展規律，運用工程實際檢測數據對本文提出的耐久壽命方法進行了驗證。
  11. Based on the current research achievements on durability under chloride environment, probability theory, structural reliability theory, concrete structures theory, neural network theory and structure dynamic theory are employed comprehensively in this dissertation. some problems of durability of reinforced concrete structures under chloride environment were studied through the exploitation of experimental data, the rule of chloride ingress and steel bar corrosion, the performance of corroded member, and residual life prediction. the main issues and results in this dissertation are as follows : 1 、 the probability method for the prediction of durable life based on the stipulated reliability index for concrete structures under chloride environment is presented in this dissertation

    本論文在國內外對氯離子侵蝕環境下混凝土結構耐久性研究成果的基礎上，綜合運用概率理論、結構可靠性理論、混凝土結構理論、神經網路理論、結構動力學理論等基本理論和方法，結合實際檢測數據，按照氯離子侵蝕、鋼筋銹蝕、銹蝕構件性能、銹蝕構件壽命預測的思路對氯離子侵蝕環境下鋼筋混凝土結構耐久壽命預測的有關問題進行了深入系統地研究，完成以下主要研究工作並取得相應成果: 1 、提出了氯離子侵蝕下基於規定可靠指標的混凝土結構耐久壽命的概率計算方法。
  12. The main body can be summarized as the following five sections : this paper firstly creatively builds the yield curve of our treasury securities by the method of regressive interpolation and spline. by the empirical study we can see that the method not only can build a smooth yield curve but also can predict the yield to maturity of any given term on the basis of the practical dealing data on the markets

    主體內容可概述為以下五部分：論文首先創造性地把回歸插補法和三次樣條插值法結合起來構造了中國的國債收益率曲線，經過實證分析表明，該方法可以以中國國債市場上的實際交易數據為樣本，既能構造平滑的國債收益率曲線，又能預測任意到期期限的國債收益率。
  13. The artificial neural net ( ann ) way is universal regard as one of the most effective ways of stlf. in this paper, some research is developed for stlf using ann ways in several parts : the first part is about the arithmetic of ann based on bp model, namely the advanced of traditional bp arithmetic, one alterable step and scale bp arithmetic based on comparability of model and probability of accepting bp arithmetic is used to enhances a lot the convergence rate of learning process of bp network, but also avoid the stagnation problem to some extent. it indicates that the ann ' s efficiency and precision by the way can be ameliorated by the simulation of real data

    神經網路方法在短期預測中已經被公認為較有效的方法，本文針對神經網路用於電力系統短期負荷預測的幾個方面展開研究工作：第一部分研究一般用於負荷預測的神經網路bp模型的演算法，即對傳統的bp演算法的改進，將一種基於模式逼近度和接受概率的變步長快速bp演算法應用到短期負荷預測，模擬結果表明該方法有效的改善了bp演算法收斂速度慢以及容易陷入局部最小點的缺點，從而提高了神經網路用於負荷預測的效率和精度。
  14. The adaptation processing includes linear prediction coefficient adaptation and adaptation of quantization step size for residual signals. based on g. 726, we adopt a huffman coder to make use of probability statistic of bit cascade covering n ( n 1 ) samples generated from adpcm, in order to further reduce the bit rate. ng is lossless entropy coding, the speech quality of our improved algorithm should be same as that of g. 726 standard

    我們的研究和改進工作包括:研究最優非均勻自適應量化器，及其自適應演算法;研究波形預測函數，以及函數零點、極點的自適應演算法;基於每n （ n 1 ）個樣本所對應符號的概率統計，對預測殘差量化值再進行huffman編碼，進一步降低比特率。
  15. Abstract : by using probability statistical method, the probabilities of earthquakes occurrence for various magnitudes in east china from 1999 to 2005 are given. the results indicate that this region is still in seismologically active period. the probability of occurrence of m 5. 0 is increasing, its average value will be 0. 50 by 2000, but probability of m 6. 0 in recent 1 2 years is small, be only 0. 15

    文摘:利用概率統計方法，對華東地區1999 2005年發生不同震級的地震概率進行預測，結果表明，該地區仍處于地震活躍時段，發生5級地震的概率不斷增加，到2000年發生5級以上地震的平均概率為0 . 5左右，但近1 2年內發生6級以上地震的可能性不大，發震概率僅為0 . 15 。
  16. With the answer of one step prediction, a creative interval prediction is got by the applied of non - parameter statistics method. point prediction pay attention to prediction precision while interval prediction to reliability

    運用非參數統計的方法，作出混沌時間序列在特定概率限的區間預測，彌補了傳統點預測的不足，使預測的適用性得以提高。
  17. The paper is divided into three sector : in the first sector, base on cohort - component method and via quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis to matter of fact, the paper imports several variable : accelerating function of survival rate, correct children women ratio, proportion of infants, and establish correct cohort - component method. in the second sector, base on several hypothesis, zhejiang province population forecasts are made by correct cohort - component method, and population composing are presented in the future. in the third sector, base on results of zhejiang province population forecasts, the paper discusses change trend of mainly population index in the 21 century, and analyzes how population trend effects development of society and economy

    本文分三部分進行：第一部分，在隊列要素法的基礎上，通過對實際情況的定量分析與定性分析，在模型中引入了以下變量：生存概率加速函數、修正兒童婦女比、幼兒性別比，建立了修正隊列要素法模型；第二部分，在幾個重要假設的基礎上，根據修正隊列要素法進行浙江省未來五十年人口預測，給出了各預測年份分性別年齡的人口構成情況；第三部分，是在上述預測結果的基礎上，對21世紀前半葉浙江省的主要人口指標的變化趨勢進行討論，並對浙江省的總的人口變動趨勢及其對社會經濟發展影響進行分析。
  18. The sequence and activity characteristics of shuikou reservoir induced earthquake are analyzed with several methods, such as probabilistic evaluation, comprehensive effect parameter e evaluation, two - step comprehensive fuzzy evaluation, the maximum magnitude of historical earthquakes evaluation, etc. the results show that the shuikou m ( subscript l ) 4. 1 earthquake on april 21, 1996 is a main - earthquake, and from now on, the possibility occuring m ( subscript l ) > 3 induced earthquake in shuikou reservoir area is low

    摘要應用概率法、綜合影響參數預測法、兩級模糊評判法、古登堡里克特公式外推預測法等對水口水庫誘發地震序列以及活動特徵進行了研究，認為： 1996年4月21日發生的m （下標l ） 4 . 1地震為水口水庫誘發地震主震，今後庫區發生大於3級以上誘發地震的可能性較小。
  19. The paper attempt to applied sequential cluster method to set up the classification standard, then it regards the correlation coefficients of record values as weights and predicts the future loads by using markov chain model with weights. this method make the best of the information comprised in load series and solved the problem of obtaining weather information. not only the concrete value of the monthly sales electric energy but its range in the future is gained

    實際上，各月份的氣象、經濟因素之間具有一定的相關性，這些相關信息已經包含在負荷序列中，本文嘗試將馬爾可夫鏈理論應用於負荷預測之中，應用聚類分析的方法確定分級標準，將負荷分為不同的狀態，根據狀態之間的轉移概率來推測未來負荷的發展變化，並將觀測值之間的相關系數作為權值進行綜合預測，更加合理地利用了負荷序列中包含的信息，不僅可以預測出未來負荷的具體值，而且得到了其所屬的區間，具有一定的實用價值。
  20. Applications of multiple - model smoothing algorithms for maneuvering target tracking are studied via simulation, some important conclusions are obtained. based on model - set sequential likelihood ratio, an enhanced agimm, in which model - set adaptation is implemented by jointly utilizing model posterior probability and predication probability, is proposed, simulation results indicate that improvements of both dynamic and steady state tracking performance are achieved with the enhanced algorithm

    模擬研究了多模型平滑演算法在機動目標跟蹤中的應用；利用模型集合序貫似然比檢驗，提出了一種綜合利用模型后驗概率和預測概率實現模型集合自適應的綜合格自適應多模型演算法，模擬實驗表明演算法有效改善了動態跟蹤精度和穩態跟蹤性能。
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