理性預期假說 的英文怎麼說
中文拼音 [lǐxìngyùqījiǎshuō]
理性預期假說
英文
rationalexpectations hypothgsiss- 理 : Ⅰ名詞1 (物質組織的條紋) texture; grain (in wood skin etc ) 2 (道理;事理) reason; logic; tru...
- 性 : Ⅰ名詞1 (性格) nature; character; disposition 2 (性能; 性質) property; quality 3 (性別) sex ...
- 預 : Ⅰ副詞(預先; 事先) in advance; beforehand Ⅱ動詞(參與) take part in
- 期 : 期名詞[書面語]1. (一周年) a full year; anniversary 2. (一整月) a full month
- 假 : 假名詞1. (按照規定不工作或不學習的時間; 假期) holiday; vacation 2. (經過批準暫時不工作或不學習的時間; 休假) leave of absence; furlough
- 說 : 說動詞(說服別人聽從自己的意見) try to persuade
- 理性 : reason
- 預期 : expect; anticipate
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But the paper prove that adaptive expectations could not leads to the natural rate hypothesis by a simple model, in contradiction, these two hypothesis are conflict. if incompletely expectations is the unique cause of prices rigid, that only the rational expectations hypothesis comes to the natural rate theory. ultimately, gave the lucas supply curve include the rational expectations
但本文通過一個簡單的模型分析表明,適應性預期不可能導出自然率假說,相反,這兩個假設是矛盾的。如果不完全預期是價格剛性的唯一原因,那麼只有理性預期假設導致自然率理論。最後,給出了合理性預期的盧卡斯供給山線。“ for real progress we need a methodical approach and a better strategy for testing hypotheses. we have good reason to expect wonderful discoveries, but not deterministic prediction
「對于真正的進展來講,我們需要對假說進行試驗的一種系統的途經和更好的戰略。我們有很好的理由來期望令人驚訝的發現,但不能期望『確定性預測』 。 」Rational expectations hypothgsis
理性預期假說In order to explore the reason of bubbles, we need to analyse the behavior of investors, on the basis of bounded rationality, behavioral finance theories carry out a great deal of psychological experiments and psychological analysis. when the capital includes not only the physical but also the human capital, there are chances for labor productivity changes the trend of decreasing
由於p _ t是對p _ t的理性預期,希勒檢驗的零假設是p _ t的方差小於p _ t ,多數實證檢驗結果拒絕了該零假設,說明理性泡沫存在或者是有效市場假說不成立,但是也有許多學者對可靠性提出質疑。Solutions to problems are offered after an analysis of the factors which affect the balance of pension funds, a prediction on the trend of future pension models is provided after illustrating the evolution and operation of the old models and flnally there is a discussion on the applicability of life 3 cycle theory and the closing generation theory of pension funds
通過對影響基金平衡的因素的推導,提出了相應的基金平衡的管理辦法。根據供給模式的歷史演變、運行機制,對供給模式的發展趨勢進行了分析預測。最後對生命周期假說和世代交疊模型對研究養老金問題的適用性進行了分析。The chapter 2, introduce the concept of rational expectations, at first give the rational expectations definition, the rational expectations hypothesis asserts to the special economic variable, people ' s subjective distribution are equate to substantial distribution, in fact, the hypothesis assume people know real models ( the system of data production ), so it shortened the learn process
第二章是理性預期概念的引入。首先給出了理性預期的定義,即理性預期該假說認為對經濟變量而言,人們的主觀概率分佈和真實的概率分佈相等,因此可以以真實條件期望代替主觀期望。實際上,它假定人們知道真實的模型(數據生成的機制) 。Although the efficient market hypothesis ( emh ) is the core theory of the pricing efficiency of capital market, emh is " the revolution of rational expectation " in some meaning according to author ' s view
因此,在某種意義上,有效市場假說是金融領域的「理性預期革命」 ,而預期又是建立在信息基礎上的。第三章較為系統地論述了資本市場效率的核心理論? ?有效市場假說的理論內核。In this case, the artificial stock market methods are introduced in this thesis to study the microstructure of stock market in order to find some interesting results. firstly, the artificial stock market methods make the study about stock market no more dependent on the rational expectation
首先,利用人工市場對股票市場的微觀結構的研究,拓寬了研究的內容,使得研究工作的進行不再依賴于理性預期的假說,也可以研究市場的非理性表現。分享友人