預報變量 的英文怎麼說
中文拼音 [yùbàobiànliáng]
預報變量
英文
predication variable-
Also a refined - pulp quality predictive model, with specific energy, specific load as the model inputs, and beating degree, wet weight as the model outputs, is presented. simulation results show that the models can be acted as theoretical bases for the automatic control of high - consistence pulp refining process
即，建立了以原漿流量、白水流量、盤磨機功率為輸入變量，比能量、比負荷、濃縮機漿位為輸出變量的動態模型，以及基於比能量、比負荷的成漿質量預報模型。At first, this paper analyzes the factors of water - sand influencing water level of yellow river and the feasibility just using the factors of water - sand to study water level, and collects the corresponding data ; secondly, because there are strong nonlinear relation in the corresponding data, by meticulous theory analysis, this paper integrates basic nonlinear analysis method, theory of random analysis, method of least squares and so on. it puts forward a method which can get the high accuracy simulation of the data, perfects the multi - factor analysis of variable ( over three factors ) of the statistic ; thirdly, it applies the method to the approximation of corresponding water level process which belong to the capacity of sand of middle - high and middle - low, and get the high - accuracy simulation about the typical nonlinear relation ; at last, this paper definitudes the main influence mode that the capacity of sand. it mainly unite with other factors to work on the water level in the yellow river lower reaches ; mor eover, this paper analyzes the difficult point and the direction of improvement to realize the accuracy forecasting of the flood level of erodible - bed channel
首先，系統分析了影響黃河水位的水沙因素，及僅用水沙因素有效研究水位的可行性，並按變量對應思想採集它們的相應數據；其次，由於相應水位過程數據中含極強的非線性關系，本論文經細致的理論分析，將基本的非線性分析方法、統計建模方法、隨機分析理論、最小均方誤差原則等等數學理論及方法有機揉合，提出了能有效實現這類數據高精度擬合的分層篩選法，並改進了統計學中多因子（三個以上）方差分析法；再次，將這一方法用於黃河中高及中低含沙類洪水相應水位過程的擬合，實現了這一典型非線性關系的高精度擬合，各年汛期上下游相應洪水位過程的擬合誤差都較小；最後，明確黃河下游含沙量對水位的主要影響方式，即含沙量主要是與其它因素聯合對水位作用；另外分析了要實現變動河床洪水位過程準確預報的困難所在及改進方向。Based on the dynamic frame of mm5 and reisner 2 explicit cloud scheme, a new double - moment microphysical scheme was developed, in which both the mixing ratios and number concentrations of cloud water, rain water, cloud ice, snow and graupel were predicted
從本質上說，該方案預報的僅僅是粒子的比含水量。在mm5動力框架內，在其中的reisner2方案基礎上採用雙變參數方案，增加了雲水、雨水、雪和霰的數濃度預報方程。The result indicates that, in the course of the rainstorm in huoshan, there are obvious low - level jet of great intensity, infection of mesoscale shear line, enhancement of plus vorticity which increases intensity of convergence, improves ascending velocity and brings on precipitation, and quick enhancement of helicity which provides the basis to forecast, in addition, convergence of moisture flux and analyzed potential vorticity which reflects baroclinic convective instability sufficiently indicate the characteristics of the rainstorm
結果表明：此次霍山暴雨發生前後，存在明顯的大強度低空急流，並受到中尺度切變線的影響，而且正渦度的加強引起了輻合加劇，提高了上升速度從而引起降水，同時暴雨發生前螺旋度的迅速增強，也為預報提供了根據，另外水汽通量的輻合以及分析位渦反映出的斜壓對流不穩定都充分體現了這次降水的特點。According to the least twin multiplication to calculating the sensitivity index in several water production functions. thus, the writer obtains the fitted the value of the sensitivity index and the varied rule. at the same time, the writer puts forward a new method named rag a ( real coding based accelerating genetic algorithm ) and combines raga with dpsa to calculating the best irrigation system under the non - sufficient irrigation of well irrigation rice in sanjiang plain
根據《隨機水文學》理論中的時間序列分析法，建立了適合三江平原井灌水稻需水量預報的非平穩時序隨機模型；通過分析降雨隨機特性，選定季節性時序隨機模型，建立了適合三江平原井灌水稻降雨預報的月平均降雨模型；根據最小二乘法，計算出幾種常用水分生產函數中的敏感指數及敏感系數，進而得到三江平原適宜採用的水分生產函數漠型及模型中敏感指數的變化規律；本文提出遺傳動態規劃法（ raga ? dp ） ，即採用改進的基於實數編碼的加速遺傳演算法（ realcodingbasedacceleratinggeneticalgorithm ，簡稱raga ）與動態規劃法（ dpsa ）相結合，推求非充分灌溉條件下三江平原井灌水稻的最優灌溉制度。( 2 ) taking the geology analysis as main way and combining the pre - test, predicating the tunnel ' s main geology condition ( rock quality, surrounding rock classification, long - wide joint, fault, ground water, crustal stress ), and predicating the main potential disaster ( collapse, breaking water, rockburst, large deformation ) ( 3 ) employing the stress test result and inverse analysis of the stress field, finding out the crustal stress " s distributing rule along the tunnel axes section : the highest crustal stress is 24mpa near the deepest spot, and predicting that the k2 + 260 ~ k3 + 000 likely to be the high crustal stress segment for this tunnel
通過地質分析、類比分析、監控量測、數值模擬、神經網路等方法，對鷓鴣山隧道潛在的主要地質災害（塌方、涌水、巖爆和大變形）進行了預測預報（ 3 ）在現場地應力測試成果的基礎上，運用數值計算進行應力場反演，基本查明了沿隧道軸線剖面的地應力分佈規律：地應力量級在最大埋深附近達到最大值24mpa ，並預測k2 + 260 k3 + 000段將很可能成為鷓鴣山隧道的高地應力段。 （ 4 ）塌方往往與斷層破碎帶及千枚巖相聯系。Especially, global transformation, the water balance, carbon balance and drought forecast in district, etc, which all require quantitative surface flux. by all appearances, these fluxes all do n ' t need to be distributed in spots, but in area
尤其全球變化、區域水分平衡、碳平衡和區域旱災預報等等都需要定量的地表通量信息（輻射通量、顯熱通量、潛熱通量、土壤熱通量） 。顯然，這些通量均要求區域分佈的而不是單點數據。The analysis of the large - scale synoptic situation shows that strong precipitation is closely related to the explosion of monsoon and the intensification of cross - equatorial flow which bring a lot of vapor and meet with cold masses at the eastern of northwest district on 8th, june causing extremely heavy rainfall ; that subtropical high - level jet at 200hpa, subtropical high at 500hpa and low - level jet at 850hpa are the weather backgrounds favorable to strong precipitation ; that the pattern of eastern highs and western lows and the establishment of a low - level jet and the coupling between upper - and low - level patterns that determine that the rain occurred in the east of the northwest china ( on average, this is the rainy season for the south of china, but not for the northwest china ) ; that water vapor comes from southerly and easterly flow which converge at the eastern of northwest district with convergence mainly in lower levels and pbl ; that the high value of the whole - level apparent heat source < q1 > is near the area of large rainfall in the direction of northeasterly - southwesterly agreeable to shear line very well and the condensation latent heat releasing is main heat source with vertical advection item playing key role in q1 and q2 ; that there is a vertical secondary circulation crossing low - lever jet whose ascending branch is at the area of large rainfall ; that the construction of convection instability and conditional symmetry instability results that there is not only deep thermal instability, but also moisture influx and triggering mechanism of thermal instability causing strong torrential rain
作為對比，本文還對2002年6月24 - 25日發生在北京地區的強地形雨進行了分析，並討論陜南、北京地區兩地暴雨的異同點以及地形作用的共性和個性，為兩地暴雨預報提供有益的參考，得出了一些很有意義的結果： 1大尺度環流背景分析表明： （ 1 ） 「 02 . 6 」強降水與6月上旬越赤道氣流和季風爆發密切相關，攜帶大量水汽的偏南氣流與冷空氣於6月8日交匯在西北地區東部，導致了這次強降水的發生； （ 2 ） 200hpa的副熱帶西風急流、 500hpa副高以及850hpa的低空急流的配置非常有利於本文分析之陜西強降水的發展與維持。大尺度形勢分析表明，東高西低形勢場、低空急流的建立和高低空形勢的配置決定了這場降雨出現在西北地區東部。與暴雨區相聯系，存在一支橫越低空急流的經向垂直環流，暴雨區處于該垂直環流的上升支； （ 3 ）偏南和偏東氣流水汽通道在西北地區東部交匯，水汽的輻合積聚主要在對流層低層和行星邊界層內完成； （ 4 ）整層的視熱源< q _ 1 >高值區在暴雨區附近呈東北-西南向分佈，與切變線走向非常一致，降水產生的凝結潛熱釋放是強降水區大氣的主要熱源。When the paper uses the optimization regulation, it divides the management time into " t " stages according to ten days to make up the decision having many stages of the reservoir ' s optimization regulation, and it takes the reservoir ' s retain quantity of water or retain status of water and confiscated quantity of water a s condition variable, takes the water quantity of drawing off or quantity of electricity as decision variable. when the confiscated quantity of water can be known or be forecasted in every stage during the period of management, that is to say the confiscated water process can adopt the determined process, we can make up determine dynamic plan model with many stages and take the minimal lacking water as objective function
在動態規劃方法中把水庫的整個調度期，按句劃分為t個時段，以水庫的蓄水量s或蓄水位z和入庫水量q作為狀態變量，以水庫放水量q或電站出力n或發電量e作為決策變量，構成一個多階段決策過程，當計劃調度期內各時段的入庫徑流量已知或可以預報，即入庫徑流過程可以採用確定性徑流過程時，分別按缺水量d最小作為目標函數建立多階段確定性動態規劃數學模型。With the increasing amount of data of time series in hydrological databases, it is very important in f100d forecasting and f100d dispatching to study the methods of retrieving similarity and then find the rules and tendencies contained in the hydrological time series
水文數據庫中存在大量時間序列數據，發現水文時間序列中蘊藏的規律，有利於掌握水文數據變化規律和趨勢，在洪水預報、防洪調度方面有重要的現實意義。Taking ningxia - inner mongolia reach of yellow river as a study case, a ice regime forecast data warehouse is established for the datamining concerned on the basis of the analysis on the ice regime changing law and its influencing factor of the reach, and then the conceptual mathematic model and artificial neural network model for the parameter calibration of ice regime forecast are built up with gis in combination of the relevant empirical forecast models based on the principles of the hydrological flow muting, thermodynamics and ice hydraulics etc., with which the design and development of the decision support system for the ice regime forecast with the integrated functions of information inquiry, model parameter calibration, temperature forecast and ice regime forecast are preliminarily discussed
摘要以黃河寧蒙河段為例，在對河段歷史冰情變化規律及其影響因素分析的基礎上，建立冰情預報數據庫，進行數據挖掘，並以地理信息系統（ gis ）為平臺，以水文學流量演算、熱力學、冰水力學等原理為基礎，結合相關經驗預報模型，建立用實測資料進行參數率定的冰情預報概念性數學模型和人工神經網路模型，初步探討了集信息查詢、模型參數率定、氣溫預報、冰情預報等功能為一體的冰情預報決策支持系統的設計與開發。It is desirable for all related insiders and outsiders to discern all potential risk in advance. this paper, with the adoption of special treatment resulted from abnormal financial position as the indicator of financial distress, the univariate variable analysis and multiple variable analysis as the research approach and some financial ratios as variable, tries to find an optimal financial distress prediction model of chinese manufacturing listed companies based on public accounting data. our finding demonstrate that five general financial ratios and three ratios concerning the cash flow have better predicting ability, the erroneous classification ratio are low. these five general financial ratios are earning per share, return on net assets, return on gross assets, growth rate of net profits, growth rate of net assets ; the three ratios concerning the cash flow are net cash flows from operating activities per share, net re - earnable cash flows / current liability, net cash flows from operating activities / net profit
研究結果表明，在單變量分析中，每股收益、凈資產收益率、總資產報酬率、凈利潤增長率、凈資產增長率這5個財務比率的錯分率較低、預測能力較強；經營活動凈現金流量與凈利潤之比、每股經營現金流量、可重復賺取的現金凈流量與流動負債之比這三個現金流量財務比率對于預測上市公司財務困境具有有效性；多變量分析中，應用費雪判別分析和典則判別分析得到兩個判別模型，在典則判別分析中，應用兩種方法確定所建模型的最佳分界點，檢測證明應用所得兩個判別模型進行財務困境預測的準確率很高。Diagnosising energy and angular momentum chang of subtropical high when it actually bounce northwards, we get three ways of chang of angular momentum and provide basis of forcasting of subtropical high
結合實際診斷了解副高北跳的能量和角動量等變化情況，得到北跳時角動量補償三種方式等，為短期預報副高北跳提供依據。The approaches establish a relationship between monthly precipitation abnormality and monthly circulation, soil moisture and temperature on the shallow and deep layers. the relationship is the precipitation diagnostic equation and its coefficients and dimensions are determined by using the observed data of huai river basin. then we select the main soil moisture and temperature attributing factors by the dimensional analysis to establish a forecasting equation of summer precipitation over huai river basin with the statistic approach
通過將大氣中的熱量、水汽收支方程與一個簡化的兩層土壤溫度、濕度方程相結合，並依據月尺度大氣環流的演變特徵，推導出月降水距平與500hp月平均高度距平場、土壤深淺兩層溫、濕度的關系；利用臺站觀測資料，使用統計反演方法確定方程中各項的系數和量級，從而找出影響降水的主要土壤溫、濕因子；利用統計方法建立這些因子與淮河流域夏季降水異常之間的簡單線性預報方程，並對1992 - 2000年淮河流域夏季降水趨勢進行回報。But now it has little contribution to economy growth, reasons are : china stock exchange ' s development rule is disturbed by administration badly ; owner right structure and owner right base have problems ; investor is n ' t perfect ; media company has problems ; etc. the third part : advice for exerting stock exchange ' s promotion effect to economy growth fully
但是它對我國目前的經濟增長的貢獻是微弱的，原因有：中國股市的回報率缺乏穩定性，影響人們對持久性收入的預期；股票市場變量對總需求和總產出影響較小；中國股票市場的發展機制被行政力量嚴重扭曲；股權結構和股權基礎存在問題；投資主體不完善；中介機構存在問題，等等。Hourly rainfall information derived from weather radars and raingauges is routinely ingested into the model for more effective simulation of rain systems fig. 4, allowing forecasters to make useful reference of the quantitative precipitation forecasts and precipitation trends provided by objective model guidance
運作后，天氣雷達及雨量計的每小時雨量分析數據定規地被放到模式內圖表4 ，讓模式更有效地模擬降雨系統的演變，為預報員提供極具參考價值的定量降雨預報和降雨趨勢的客觀指引。The results of numerical experiments, using the four - dimensional variational data assimilation system of the nonhydrostatic mesoscale model mm5, show that : the tangent linear model and adjoint model conducted by keeping the " on - off " switches the same as the basic state, can provide a good approximation of the first - order information to the nlm perturbation and a good descent direction for the minimization procedure ; switching on and off at every other time step in the kuo cumulus parameterization scheme do n ' t impact the convergence rate of cost function ; the existence of the switches do n ' t impact improvement to the mm5 model rainfall prediction because that not only specific humidity, but also wind, temperature and pressure are assimilated into the model
非靜力中尺度數值模式mm5的四維變分資料同化系統進行的數值試驗結果表明： 「開關」變量保持與基態一致，所構造的切向線性模式能夠提供關于非線性模式擾動的一階近似，伴隨模式所計算的梯度值能夠為最小化過程提供較好的下降方向；郭氏降水參數化方案中對流每隔一個積分步的交替發生並不影響目標函數最小化的收斂速度； 「開關」變量的存在也不影響將風、溫度、氣壓和比濕結合起來同化對mm5降水預報準確性的提高。Based on the fractal character of the small watershed topographic feature, the spatial and temporal variation character of sediment yield of the watershed model, the dynamic developing process and fractal character of the topog raphic feature of the watershed model, and the coupling relationship between the sediment yield and the topographic feature of the watershed model are " studied by simulate experiment, fractal theory, high precise photogrammetry and gis technology. the validation research is conducted in chabagou watershed where the observation data of rainfall, sediment and runoff for 11 years is collected. the study provides new theory and method for the topographic feature quantitative research in the prediction model of small watershed sediment yield
本文依據流域地貌形態所具有的顯著分形特徵，從模擬實驗出發，利用分形理論和方法，結合高精度攝影測量和gis技術，對流域模型侵蝕產沙時空變異特徵、地貌形態發育過程及其相應的分形特徵、流域模型侵蝕產沙與地貌形態耦合關系進行了深入研究，並以具有11年降雨泥沙徑流觀測資料的岔巴溝流域為例進行了驗證研究，為實現從單坡面侵蝕產沙模擬、預報向流域侵蝕產沙模擬、預報轉化過程中地貌形態參數的提取提供了理論和方法，為黃土高原小流域水土流失綜合治理提供了科學實踐依據。Detailed predictions on the fluid flow in mold and in cavity of nozzle working end were obtained at different side - hole angle and submerged depth of nozzles, and then the flux variation of liquid steel passing through central hole of the three - hole nozzle and the fluctuation of liquid steel in mold were inspected based on above predictions
針對3孔浸入式水口不同側孔傾角和浸入深度，數值模擬對結晶器內鋼水流動做出了較為詳細的預報，研究工作就此分別考察了水口中心孔流量變化和鋼水液面波動幅度。Approach to forecast of micro - water in transformer oil based on fnn
基於模糊神經網路預報變壓器油中微水含量的探討分享友人