economic forecasting method 中文意思是什麼

economic forecasting method 解釋
經濟計量預測法
  • economic : adj. 1. 經濟學的；經濟（上）的；實用的。2. 〈罕用語〉經濟的，節儉的。3. 〈委婉語〉故意隱瞞的。
  • forecasting : （勞動力供求）預測
  • method : n 1 方法，方式；順序。2 （思想、言談上的）條理，規律，秩序。3 【生物學】分類法。4 〈M 〉【戲劇】...
  1. Therefore, a model of three sectors, respectively referring to domestic sector, manufacturing export sector and primary product export sector, has been established here to measure the technology spillover effects of export on domestic sector. finally, based on a broader framework, this dissertation went on to investigate the relationship between openness and china ' s economic growth, while the result shows that though there exists a notable dispute about how to measure the degree of china ' s openness, the index of trade dependence still maintains the better one to reflect china ' s economic openness. in the meanwhile, impulse response function ( irf ) method and forecasting errors variance decomposition ( fevd ) method, both of which are based on the vector auto - regression ( var ) system, are used here to investigate the dynamic relationship between openness and china ' s economic growth

    與傳統理論不同，新增長理論和新貿易理論都強調技術進步的作用，因此本文構建了一個三部門的技術外溢效應模型（國內部門、工業製成品出口部門以及初級產品出口部門） ，考察了工業製成品出口和初級產品出口對國內非出口部門不同的技術外溢效應；第四，從更加廣闊的視野就貿易開放度與中國經濟增長問題進行研究，有關貿易開放度如何度量一直是存在較大爭議的問題，本文首先對該類研究文獻進行了較為詳盡的述評，然後運用生產函數方法對所選取的5個貿易開放度度量指標進行了檢驗，結果發現盡管一些已有研究認為外貿依存度無法真實度量一國經濟開放水平，但是本文研究結果表明外貿依存度仍是度量我國貿易開放度的較好指標，進一步採用基於var系統的脈沖響應函數法以及預測誤差方法分解法對貿易開放促進經濟增長的作用進行了動態刻畫。
  2. It is proposed that the fixed capacity investment and cargo discharge regression forecasting model and the optimal average information customer distribution model can be used to predict the cargo o - d distribution. the capacity limitation dynamic increment comprehensive network model can be applied to the prediction of the channel cargo transportation discharge and the turnover discharge in the main courses. the main courses network plan grade can be verified by the total cost method, and according to which the economic rationality of constructing different grade channels can be evaluated

    本文開展了平原水網地區航道網規劃方法的研究，提出了採用固定資產投資完成額與貨運量回歸預測模型；平均信息量用戶最優分佈模型預測貨物o - d的分佈；容量限制動態增量綜合網路配流模型預測干線航道貨物運輸量和周轉量；採用總費用法論證干線航道網規劃等級，據此評定建設不同等級航道的經濟合理性。
  3. The third chapter is one of the most innovative parts of this thesis. grey relational analysis of grey system theory is introduced, and the theory is applied to index time difference analysis. meanwhile, grey wave forecasting of grey system theory is explained, and the method is applied to economic cycle index forecasting

    第三章介紹了灰色系統理論中灰色關聯分析的方法，並將該方法應用到指標時差分析中；闡明了灰色系統理論中灰色波形預測的方法，並將該方法應用到經濟循環指數預測中。
  4. In this paper, the studied works and conclusions are list as follows : l ). the methods of the traffic forecasting and social economic forecasting are carried out and analyzed, and the four - step forecast method of highways section traffic is especially discussed. it indicates that the four - step forecast method is scientific and believable

    本文針對長三角地區社會經濟和交通運輸的發展特點，對以下幾個方面作了較為系統的研究並得出結論： 1 、對社會經濟發展預測和交通量預測理論和方法進行了歸納、比較，並重點對交通量預測的「四階段法」進行了詳細分析。
  5. Regard appropriate development of the coal industry as the starting point in the thesis, in analysis at the f our country coal characteristic and coal industry with the other economic foundation that technology get in touch of industry of industry in an all - round way, set up optimize models of industry of coal based on dynamic input - output analysis, and use the econometrics method to confirm the systematic parameter of this model, had asked the model of solving and analysis, applying theory and method of markov probability model modify and forecasting direct consume coefficient matrix in coal industry, and has probed into in the course of revising the parameter changes the influence caused toward other input - output index

    論文中以煤炭產業的適度發展為出發點，在全面分析了我國煤炭產業的特點以及煤炭產業與其他產業的經濟技術聯系的基礎上，建立了煤炭產業多目標動態投入產出優化模型，應用計量經濟學方法確定了該模型的系統參數，求解模型並對最優解進行了分析，應用馬爾科夫概型修訂直接消耗系數矩陣以反映煤炭消耗的變化，並探討了在修訂過程中參數變化對其他投入產出指標所造成的影響。
  6. This paper mainly deals with the multivariate bayesian inference theory used in the modern economical and management science. this includes the bayesian inference theory about three important kinds of linear models, including the single equation model, multiple equation model system and var ( p ) predictive model, and their application in economic forecasting and quality control, and also the design for the bayesian classification identification method among multiple populations

    本文主要研究現代經濟管理中的多元貝葉斯推斷理論，包括單方程模型、多方程模型系統和向量自回歸var （ p ）模型的貝葉斯推斷理論及其在經濟預測與質量控制中的應用，以及多總體的貝葉斯分類識別方法的構造。
  7. Then this method is tested by the real economic data. it is clearly that this new method is adaptable to the economy real - time forecasting and multiresolution analysis

    論文利用實際經濟數據對此方法進行檢驗，結果表明新方法在經濟實時預報和多尺度分析方面具有較強的適用性。
  8. Different economic theory produces different economic forecasting method. every method has its own features and merits as well as limits

    不同經濟理論指導下產生出的經濟預測方法，各有其特點和長處，但不可避免也有其局限性。
  9. Integrated with domestic and foreign economical theory that people have obtained common consensus, mainly based on data in yearbook of china transportation & communications, making use of exploratory data analysis method and factor analysis method etc., the dissertation aims to find out the law and tendency of communications and transportation ' s development, make economic forecasting, test reliability and feasibility of all sorts of economical theory and recommend for all or different governments and enterprises

    本論文主要從交通統計年鑒數據出發，結合國內外已取得共識的經濟理淪，運用探索性數據分析和因子分析等方法，藉以找出交通運輸業發展的規律性及其發展趨勢，用以作經濟預測，檢驗各種經濟理論的可靠性和可行性，並為各級政府和企業的經濟決策提供數量化建議。
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