empirical content analysis 中文意思是什麼
empirical content analysis
解釋
實驗式內容分析法-
In this article, firstly the background of the textile trade conflicts within sino - us or sino - euro are introduced, thus learn that how to discern and dodge the foreign trade risks, how to choose the appropriate investment projects have already become one of the most important questions for exporting companies on foreign trade affairs well - known as high investment and high risk. so the main text makes a risk analysis qualitatively and quantitatively on a textile - exporting trading company from three angles of statistic 、 game theory and portfolio theory, which is the main content that we studied. firstly, the statistic article adopts data of the transaction closing price of the textile clothing index in shenzhen stock exchange at the end of each quarter as well as several other kinds of data reflecting the macro - economic changes, performs an empirical analysis of these data according to the theory of co - integration test 、 granger cause test and impulse response function of time series in economitric, and learn that the impact to ti is more obvious by the economic index reflecting local commodity price level and economic prosperity degree home and abroad, as well as the impact degree and the time lag degree, and knows the macro - economic risks faced by textile business enterprises ; after that by the game theory angle we analyze exactly the managing risks faced by one textile export corporation named beauty. from the game expansion chart the system arrangement between censor ways by exportation goal countries and exporting strategies by the exporting enterprises has been analyzed. involving the benefit assignment between them both the limited rounds and infinite rounds negotiations of cooperation games have been studied, and then country responsibility and the enterprise managing risks on foreign trade affairs and so on have been analyzed exactly ; in order to realize the investment multiplication in the certain degree to disperse the risk, the
本文首先介紹了中美、中歐紡織品貿易爭端的來龍去脈，由此可知在涉外貿易這種以高投入、高風險著稱的行業里，如何甄別和規避外貿風險、如何選擇合適的投資項目已經成為外貿企業的首要問題。因此，正文分別從統計學、博弈論和投資組合三種角度對涉外紡織品貿易公司風險進行了定性和定量的分析，這也是本文的主要研究內容。首先，統計學篇選取了深圳證券交易所行業分類指數?紡織服裝指數（ ti ）每一季度末的交易收盤價和若干種反映宏觀經濟變化的指標，利用計量經濟學中時間序列的協整檢驗、 granger因果檢驗和脈沖反應函數等理論做實證分析，從而得知反映國內物價水平和國內外經濟景氣程度的經濟指標對紡織板塊上市值的沖擊比較明顯，且可知沖擊程度和時滯度，進而分析出涉外紡織企業所面臨的宏觀經濟風險;接著，從博弈論的角度具體分析一家紡織品出口公司（ beauty ）的外貿活動所面臨的各種經營風險，該篇從博弈擴展圖入手，分析了出口目的國審查方式與本企業出口策略之間的制度安排;並圍繞雙方的利益分配，研究了有限回合和無限回合合作談判博弈，然後具體論述了國家責任和企業涉外經營風險等問題;在一定程度上為了實現投資多元化來分散風險的目的，投資組合篇從經典的markowitz模型著手，在一些特定條件的限制下，給出了一個相應的投資組合模型。 -
The indicators system involes seven subsystems, economical level 、 population and employment 、 resources and environment 、 technology and education 、 culture and health, quality of life, social security and safeguard subsystem. then took globle principal component analysis, composite index analysis and clustering analysis as tools in empirical study. this aimed at enriching the content of the comprehensive evaluation indicators system of the social development level ; made it porttay that the social development level of sichuan
社會發展水平研究方法，本文採用描述統計法、加權指數法、全局主成分分析方法和聚類分析方法相結合的方法。本文的資料來源於四川省統計局的抽樣調查，選取了四川省1999 ? 2004年社會發展水平數據、四川省各市州2003年、 2004年兩年的社會發展水平數據。 -
Evaluating credit risk rating has been one of prime content of credit risk management of residential mortgage loans, and there is trend that evaluating credit risk rating with scientific and quantitative methods. under the background mentioned above, this thesis focuses on the empirical analysis about the major determinants of default and prepayment risk
然而，國內針對上述兩類風險的實證研究還比較缺乏。對住房抵押貸款的信用風險等級的評估已經成為住房抵押貸款信用風險管理的主要內容之一，運用科學的、定量的信用風險分析模型對借款人的信用風險進行評定已是大勢所趨。
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