granger 中文意思是什麼

The nobel prize in economics : clive w. j. granger

諾貝爾經濟學獎-克里夫格蘭傑

Hermione granger : it ' s filch ' s cat

赫敏?格蘭傑：是費爾奇的貓！

The name granger movement came from the member clubs of the organization, which were called granges.

格蘭其運動的名稱來源於這一組織下屬的俱樂部，這種俱樂部叫做格蘭其。

. . you ' ve spoken out of turn, miss granger

這是你第二次自行發言了格蘭傑小姐

" miss granger, a plain but ambitious girl

格蘭傑小姐一位平凡卻又野心勃勃的女孩

You ' ve spoken out of turn, miss granger

這是你第二次自行發言了格蘭傑小姐

Amongst them is granger, the leader of the group

在他們之中的格蘭傑，是集團的首領。

- please believe us. - i do, miss granger

-請相信我們-我相信，格蘭傑小姐

Hermione granger : are you sure that ' s a real spell

赫敏?格蘭傑：你確定這是真的咒語嗎？

Hermione granger : we ' re in this together

赫敏?格蘭傑：我們要待在一起。

Please believe us. - i do, miss granger

請相信我們-我相信，格蘭傑小姐

Hermione granger : “ nearly ” handless ? how can you be nearly handless

赫敏?格蘭傑：差點沒頭？你是怎麼個差點沒頭法？

3. vecm of result indicate shanghai a index, shenzhen b, hengsheng index, and jiaqua - an index can recur equilibrium when they deparure equilibrium by coefficient of vecm moreover hengsheng index is very quike. by granger test indicate between a and b inde - x have cause and effect contemporary between hengsheng index and jiaquan index hav - e cause and effect, this result is same to vecm

3 、誤差修正模型結果指出上海a股，深圳b股、恆生指數和加權指數在短期偏離均衡時，仍可經由誤差修正項的調整而回到長期均衡關系，並且恆生指數的調整速度是最快的正向調整。

In this article, firstly the background of the textile trade conflicts within sino - us or sino - euro are introduced, thus learn that how to discern and dodge the foreign trade risks, how to choose the appropriate investment projects have already become one of the most important questions for exporting companies on foreign trade affairs well - known as high investment and high risk. so the main text makes a risk analysis qualitatively and quantitatively on a textile - exporting trading company from three angles of statistic 、 game theory and portfolio theory, which is the main content that we studied. firstly, the statistic article adopts data of the transaction closing price of the textile clothing index in shenzhen stock exchange at the end of each quarter as well as several other kinds of data reflecting the macro - economic changes, performs an empirical analysis of these data according to the theory of co - integration test 、 granger cause test and impulse response function of time series in economitric, and learn that the impact to ti is more obvious by the economic index reflecting local commodity price level and economic prosperity degree home and abroad, as well as the impact degree and the time lag degree, and knows the macro - economic risks faced by textile business enterprises ; after that by the game theory angle we analyze exactly the managing risks faced by one textile export corporation named beauty. from the game expansion chart the system arrangement between censor ways by exportation goal countries and exporting strategies by the exporting enterprises has been analyzed. involving the benefit assignment between them both the limited rounds and infinite rounds negotiations of cooperation games have been studied, and then country responsibility and the enterprise managing risks on foreign trade affairs and so on have been analyzed exactly ; in order to realize the investment multiplication in the certain degree to disperse the risk, the

本文首先介紹了中美、中歐紡織品貿易爭端的來龍去脈，由此可知在涉外貿易這種以高投入、高風險著稱的行業里，如何甄別和規避外貿風險、如何選擇合適的投資項目已經成為外貿企業的首要問題。因此，正文分別從統計學、博弈論和投資組合三種角度對涉外紡織品貿易公司風險進行了定性和定量的分析，這也是本文的主要研究內容。首先，統計學篇選取了深圳證券交易所行業分類指數?紡織服裝指數（ ti ）每一季度末的交易收盤價和若干種反映宏觀經濟變化的指標，利用計量經濟學中時間序列的協整檢驗、 granger因果檢驗和脈沖反應函數等理論做實證分析，從而得知反映國內物價水平和國內外經濟景氣程度的經濟指標對紡織板塊上市值的沖擊比較明顯，且可知沖擊程度和時滯度，進而分析出涉外紡織企業所面臨的宏觀經濟風險;接著，從博弈論的角度具體分析一家紡織品出口公司（ beauty ）的外貿活動所面臨的各種經營風險，該篇從博弈擴展圖入手，分析了出口目的國審查方式與本企業出口策略之間的制度安排;並圍繞雙方的利益分配，研究了有限回合和無限回合合作談判博弈，然後具體論述了國家責任和企業涉外經營風險等問題;在一定程度上為了實現投資多元化來分散風險的目的，投資組合篇從經典的markowitz模型著手，在一些特定條件的限制下，給出了一個相應的投資組合模型。

Meanwhile, adjusting and optimizing the structure of investment distribution on education should be given attention. the innovation of this article are rest with : 1 ) applying granger causal relations methods to test causal relationships between education investment and economy growth ; 2 ) using time series data to built econometrical model, emphasizing education investment ' s long term feature ; 3 ) projecting future developments by arima model

本文主要創新點在於: （ 1 ）利用格蘭傑因果關系檢驗確定教育投資與經濟增長之間的因果關系; （ 2 ）利用時間序列數據進行建模時，著重體現了教育投資的長效性這一重要的特殊性質; （ 3 ）利用齊次非平穩過程的arima模型對我國未來教育投資進行了預測。

2. the second part makes the granger causality test on economy increase and nominal employment and reckons the nominal employment elasticity. then it also analyzes the reason of the nominal employment elasticity trend

第二部分對我國經濟增長和名義就業作了格蘭傑因果檢驗，並作了名義就業彈性的測算，對我國名義就業彈性的變動趨勢作了原因解析。

It also studies the causes of the checkout and the flexibility of employment result. it concludes that the increase of the economy is not the granger cause of nominal employment growth, that is to say, the increase of economy in china doesn ’ t promote of the nominal employment. the decline of the nominal employment elasticity from 1999 is not only because of the improvement of technology, the imbalance of the industry structure, transformation of system and the policy of interest rate, but also because of the inexact statistic data which makes the real employment underestimated

本文首先利用1978年至2003年的有關數據對我國經濟增長與名義就業的關系作了分析:根據有關計量經濟學理論，對數據作了平穩性檢驗、協整檢驗和格蘭傑因果檢驗，用建立回歸模型的方法測算出名義就業彈性，並對檢驗結果和就業彈性測算結果作了原因解析，認為我國的經濟增長不是名義就業增長的格蘭傑原因，即我國的經濟增長沒有促進名義就業的增長，我國的名義就業彈性自1990年以來呈下降趨勢，其原因除了技術進步、產業結構失衡、體制轉軌和利率政策外，還有由於統計的原因使得真實的就業增長被低估。

A comment on granger causality test

格蘭傑因果性檢驗評述

This paper uses granger causality tests verify above conclusions

利用格蘭傑因果關系檢驗證實了以上結論。

Quantitative methods include adf, granger causality test and ordinary least squares. this paper draws conclusion as followers

定量分析方法採取現代計量經濟學方法? ? adf單位根檢驗、 granger因果關系檢驗法和最小二乘法。