risk probability 中文意思是什麼

risk probability 解釋
風險概率
  • risk : n 1 風險,危險;冒險。2 【保險】(損失的)風險(率);保險金額;被保險人,被保險物。vt 冒…的危險...
  • probability : n 1 或有;或然性。2 【哲學】蓋然性〈在 certainly 和 doubt 或 posibility 之間〉。3 【數學】幾率,...
  1. Risk means the probability of the disadvantageous things happened

    風險就是不利的事情發生的可能性。
  2. Ruin probability of the double negative binomial risk model

    雙負二項風險模型的破產概率
  3. The third chapter focuses on how to measure and to evaluate the risks. it elaborates how to guesstimate the probability that the risk will occur and how to - evaluate the risks. the method how to unify different kinds of expense of risk into i economic expense and how to evaluate the risks by the method of direct economic evaluate is brought forward, and it is used in the identifying and evaluating the risks of the spanning girders project

    在第三章中,項目風險的度量與評價是論述的重點,該部分詳細論述了如何進行項目風險發生概率及其後果的估計及如何進行項目風險評價,提出了如何將不同性質的風險損失統一為經濟損失的方法和用直接經濟評價法進行項目風險評價與決策,並在中鐵五局架梁項目的風險度量和評價中進行了運用,這也是本文理論上有所創新的地方。
  4. Stressed are the elements of this insurance, the insurability, the common contents and the insurance coverage, and the kind of benefits. probability is used to give the greatness of risk, and mathematical statistics is utilized to calculate the insurance charge. a new method is proposed to settle the insurance charge rate by the claim frequency and claim quota

    著重對建築工程保險的基本要素、可保性、一般性內容和保險項目、承保方式的選擇進行了研究,運用概率論來確定建築工程風險程度,運用數理統計理論給出了建築工程保險費的計算方法,並提出以索賠次度等級釐定保險費率的一種新方法。
  5. The third part mainly analyzes four risks of house tenancy center and the corresponding managing measures. the part analyzes profit and free - rent period through discussing probability of house in - and - out quantity in profit risk, proposes the risk management measures of cash supervisory mechanism and selectivity financing in capital gap risk, putts forward the measures of liquidity gap forecast, improving credit and adopting different free - rent period in house liquidity risk, and introduces the credit swap to transfer leaseholder default risk

    本部分主要分析了房屋置業中心的四個風險,分別是收益風險,通過引入給定時間段內的房屋存貸量的概率分佈分析了房屋置業中心的收益風險和空租期的確定;資金缺口風險,並提出現金監理機制和選擇性融資的風險預防措施;房屋流動風險,提出流動缺口預測、提升自身形象、採用不同空租期的風險管理措施;承租人的支付風險,主要引入了信用掉期合同來轉移這種風險。
  6. Following the research route of mend with study and development with creation, give the definition of risk and the methods of risk identifying, divide the risk attitude into risk loving, risk neutralism and risk avoiding, point out the importance of enhancing the risk consciousness for lightning hazard, and summarize the mechanisms of lightning hazard the theories and methods of risk assessment for lightning hazard. provide a set of risk assessment parameters for lightning hazard, which includes lightning times n, hazard probability p, hazard loss d, hazard risk r and protection efficiency e, and give the definition, decisive factor, value method and value scope of each parameter. establish a risk assessment model for lightning hazard which includes lightning hazard base module, lightning hazard probability module, lightning hazard loss module, lightning hazard accepted risk module, lightning protection cost module, correcting coefficient module, lightning hazard risk module, and lightning protection class and efficiency module

    遵循借鑒改造和發展創新的研究思路,給出了風險的定義和風險識別的方法,將風險態度分為風險喜好型、風險中庸型和風險逃避型,指出了提高雷電災害風險意識的重要性,總結了雷電災害的作用機制和雷電災害風險評估的理論與方法;提供了包括雷擊次數n 、雷災概率p 、雷災損失d 、雷災風險r和雷電防護級別與防護效率e等5類基本參數的雷電災害風險評估參數體系,並給出了各個參數的定義、參數的決定因素和取值方法以及取值范圍;設計了包括雷電災害基礎模塊、雷電災害概率評估模塊、雷電災害損失評估模塊、雷電災害允許風險評估模塊、雷電防護成本評估模塊、校正系數模塊、雷電災害風險評估模塊、雷電防護級別與效率分析模塊等8個模塊的雷電災害風險評估模型,評估模型以iec61662的評估模型為基本參考,以雷災損失d為中心,把雷災風險劃分為經濟雷災風險r _ e和人身雷災風險r _ l ,並對r _ e和r _ l分開單獨處理。
  7. The main process of regional ecological risk assessment includes 5 stages : regional analysis, risk receptor selection, risk sources analysis, exposure and hazard analysis, and integrated risk assessment. arming at flood, drought, storm tide, petroleum pollution accident and flow breaking in the lower huanghe river, the probability and distribution of each kind of risk sources are evaluated. the authors bring forward indexes and formulas to measure hazarded degree and risk value of ecosystem. by using remote sensing data, historic record, survey data and by means of geographical information system, regional ecological risk assessment is finished. on the basis of assessment result, the environmental risk management countermeasure of the huanghe river delta is advanced

    以黃河三角洲為例進行了區域生態風險評價理論和方法的探討。針對黃河三角洲主要生態風險源洪澇乾旱風暴潮災害油田污染事故以及黃河斷流的概率進行了分級評價並提出度量生態損失與生態風險的指標和公式,分析了風險源的危害作用運用遙感資料歷史記錄調查數據和地理信息系統gis技術,完成了區域生態風險綜合評價在此基礎上提出黃河三角洲的區域生態風險管理對策。
  8. The appraisal takes the ecology material, the environment material, chemistry material, the toxicology material as the foundation, through the project analysis, the source strong analysis sets a target the pollutant, distinguishes its hazardous nature, the probability, the degree, the scope which the computation risk occurs and so on, the choice appraisal end point, the use appraisal model forecast goal pollutant exposed density, the analysis risk source to the acceptor the harm degree, carries on the risk attribute

    評價以生態資料、環境資料、化學資料、毒理學資料為基礎,通過工程分析、源強分析,確定目標污染物,鑒別其危害性,計算風險發生的概率、程度、范圍等,選擇評價終點,利用評價模型預測目標污染物的暴露濃度,分析風險源對受體的危害程度,進行風險表徵。
  9. The new ways that solve multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability permanent type : decision making diagram method, matrix analysis method, multiple objectives markov method, the shortest distance method, successive type variation multiple objectives decision making under risk method and fuzzy analysis decision making method. 3. the new modes that solve multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability interval type and uncharted type : weighted method and sorting method 4 the new repent average value criterion that handle multiple objectives decision making under risk into probability uncharted type and generalizing the criterions that have been used into one objective decision making under probability into uncharted type to multiple objectives decision making under probability into uncharted type. 5. giving the error analyses method and decision result regulating method that been used into multiple objectives decision making under risk

    2 、探討了『決策圖法』 、 『矩陣法』 、 『多目標馬爾科夫法』 、 『最小距離法』 、 『連續型變量的多目標風險型決策法』和『模糊分析決策法』等解決概率固定型的多目標風險型決策的新方法。 3 、探討了『加權法』 、 『排序法』兩種解決概率區間型和未知型的多目標風險型決策的方法; 4 、在概率未知型的多目標風險型決策中改進了『後悔值準則』 ,提出了『後悔均值準則』 ;並將單目標概率未知型風險型決策的準則推廣運用到多目標概率未知型的風險型決策中去; 5 、探討了多目標風險型決策方法誤差分析及決策結果值調整的方法。
  10. In the study on the method of risk decision in project bidding based on considering emulant, according to the contents and the characteristics of risk decision in the stage of bidding, based on considering the pure risks and the speculative risks, and setting out from monomial risk, internal number and internal probability were used in describing each risk element. then, the optimization of strategies for monomial risks was done. and the computation was used to sew up the scheme, the progress, the cost and the overall risk compensation

    在工程項目投標階段的風險決策方法研究中,根據投標階段風險決策的內容和特點,在考慮純風險和投機風險的基礎上,從單項風險入手,運用區間數和區間概率的性質,先描述各個風險要素,然後進行單項風險對策間的對比擇優,並將其結果對應于方案、進度、成本費用及投標報價總風險補償費的確定,最終實現承包商的風險成本最小化。
  11. We attempted to advance the certainty method based on the background value of earthquake ground motion ' s parameters, combined the probability seismic risk analysis and certainty seismic risk analysis to study the characteristics of earthquake ground motion ' s parameters in jianghuai region which is medium - strong earthquakes ' transition region, and protracted the calculating background values of earthquake ground motion ' s parameters to plane equivalence value maps and solid equivalence value maps

    摘要嘗試性地提出了基於地震動參數背景值的確定性方法,將概率性地震危險性分析和確定性地震危險性分析相結合,對江淮地區這一中強震過渡區的地震動參數特徵進行了研究,並把地震動參數背景值的計算結果繪製成平面等值線圖和立體等高線圖。
  12. After analyzing the character of risk, i introduce data mining method into risk management, to solve the contradiction between great capacity of data and lack of information, the methods include mathematics statistics and artificial neural network ( ann ). then, i study on the methods of risk management in risk identification, risk evaluation and risk disposal, what is advanced, fault tree analysis method based on fuzzy probability, stochastic simulation method and the topsis method based on interval number all consider the characteristic of risk. finally, i discussed the application of information system ( mis ) in project risk management, and developed a risk management information system

    論文在深入分析了風險特徵之後,將數據挖掘技術引入風險管理,用以解決海量數據與貧乏信息之間的矛盾,所採用的技術有數理統計和人工神經網路( ann )兩種方法;接著,論文對風險識別、風險評價、風險處理中的風險管理方法進行了研究,所提出的基於模糊概率的故障樹技術、隨機模擬技術和基於區間數的topsis方法都體現了風險管理的特點;最後,論文對信息系統( mis )在工程項目風險管理中的應用進行了探討,開發出一個風險管理信息系統。
  13. In this paper, we study two correlated riskmodel. we give the relation between these models through made comparisons. we generalize common poisson process in correlated aggregate claims model ofwang and yuen ( 2005 ) and consider compound poisson - geometric process. weexamine basic properties and upper bounds for the ruin probability of compoundpoisson - geometric risk model with thinning - dependence structure. we also inves - tigate the impact of the thing - dependence structure on the ruin probability

    在王過京和kamc . yuen ( 2005 )等研究的基礎上,本文將其相關模型中的普通poisson分佈推廣為具有許多優良性質的復合poisson - geometric分佈,考察稀疏相依結構下的復合poisson - geometric風險模型的基本性質及破產概率的上界,並對此類相依結構對破產概率的影響進行分析。
  14. In order to meet the needs of recent research in applied probability, such as finance and insurance, risk theory, random walk theory, queueing theory and branching processes and so on, the concepts of heavy - tailed random variables ( or heavy - tailed distributions ) are introduced. they are one of the important objects many scholars are concerned on. on the other hand, in a risk process, the number of these heavy - tailed variables " occurrence until the time t, i. e. all kinds of counting process, is one of the important objects, which many scholars are studying

    在應用概率的許多領域,如金融保險、風險理論、隨機游動理論、排隊論、分支過程等,重尾隨機變量或重尾分佈都是重要的對象之一,另一方面,在一個風險過程中,到t時刻時,這些重尾變量出現的個數,即各種記數過程,也是人們研究的主要對象之一,本文主要對重尾分佈的控制關系與極值過程的跳時點過程的精緻漸近性進行深入的討論。
  15. In addition, for general erlang ( n ) risk model, an integro - diifcrontial equation for the probability of ultimate ruin are presented : dickson arid hipp ( 2001 ) consider the erlang ( 2 ) risk model, and introduce the expectation of the discounted penalty h ' ( u ) which determines the joint and the marginal distribution of the time to ruin ( t ), the surplus prior to ruin ( u ( t - ) } and the deficit at ruin ( | u ( t ) | )

    Dicksonandhipp ( 2001 )同樣考慮了erlang ( 2 )這種風險模型,並介紹了破產時的罰金折現期望w ( u )這一概念。由罰金折現期望可得到破產時刻( t ) ,破產前的瞬間盈餘( u ( t ? ) )和破產時的赤字( u ( t ) )的分佈和它們的聯合分佈,並給出了罰金折現期望滿足的一積分-微分方程,由此方程得到了罰金折現期望的拉普拉斯變換。
  16. An analysis of maximun probability and minimun risk about portfolio investment

    證券組合投資的最大概率與最小風險分析
  17. Thirdly, comprehensive attribute method and risk coefficient are used to comprehensively evaluate the risk of the three sites so as to identify key risk factors and evluate the whole risk probability. fourthly, optimal scheme is selected via comparing schemes of the three plant sites through using investment model based on maximum shannon rule. lastly, measures to monitor and control risk consisting in this project are analyzed

    在對該項目三個備選廠址的風險識別的基礎上,利用極大熵準則對各廠址存在的風險進行估計,得出各風險發生的概率,然後利用綜合屬性度法和風險系數對各廠址存在的風險進行綜合評價,找出了關鍵風險,並得到了該項目的整體風險水平,進而通過基於極大熵準則的大型工程投資決策模型對該項目的廠址選擇方案進行決策,選出了最優方案,最後,分析了該項目中存在的風險的應對監控措施。
  18. Scheduling for construction under fixed risk probability

    基於一定風險水平的施工進度計劃研究
  19. For risk cost, we begin with assessment of services ", and then estimate pages " in a service according to service ". for risk probability, we begin with assessment of pages ", then estimate services " according to pages "

    對于風險損失估計,首先估計服務的風險損失,然後根據服務的風險損失估計服務中頁面的風險損失;對于風險發生可能性估計,首先估計頁面的風險發生可能性,然後根據頁面的風險發生可能性來估計服務的風險發生可能性。
  20. Firstly, theory of shannon is introduced and then is discussed how to be used in risk estimating, risk evaluating and risk decision - making. secondly, individual risk probability of three selectable plant sites is estimated by means of maximum shannon rule

    首先,文章通過對大型工程投資決策中風險管理的分析,把熵的概念引入到風險管理中,利用基於熵的理論進行風險估計、評價和決策。
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