forecasting method 中文意思是什麼

Based on consider hereinbefore, this dissertation discusses several aspects on the problem of the sustainable and optimum exploitation of groundwater resources as follows : ( 1 ) reviewed entirely the origin and evolvement of the concept " sustainable development ", stated and commented the study status in queue on " sustainable development " around national and international range, thorough discussed the science connotation about the concept " sustainable development " ; ( 2 ) looked back and commented across - the aboard some furthest basic concept and proposition related to groundwater resources, put forward self opinions on a few existent mistake points of view and chaos understandings ; ( 3 ) expatiated entirely on the content and meaning of the theory of changeable groundwater resources system, contrast with the traditional methods of groundwater resources calculation and evaluation, combined example to show the application of this theory ; ( 4 ) thorough analyzed the difficult and complexity to forecast the groundwater resources, fully stated the traditional methods of groundwater resources forecasting, pointed out the characteristic and applying condition of these forecasting method, introduced the main ideas and methods of wavelet analysis developed recently, and the matlab software be known as the fifths era computer language, and its accessory wavelet analysis toolbox, applied these methods and tools to analyze the groundwater dynamic curve, adopted the b - j method and morte - carlo method, combined with the theory of changeable groundwater resources system, discussed the new view on the forecast of groundwater resources ; ( 5 ) synthetically analyzed the characteristics and limitations of the present all kind of groundwater manage model, combined mathematical programming mathematical statistics random process and the theory of variation system of groundwater resources on the unite optimum attempter of surface water and groundwater, emphasized how to make the model more nicety, more simple, more practicality ; ( 6 ) analyzed the inside condition and outside condition to assure the sustainable and optimum exploi tation of groundwater resources, the inside conditions are the follows : correct resources idea, scientific methods of resources calculation and evaluation, credible forecast methods of resources, exercisable measures of resources management, the outside conditions are the follows : the development idea of high layer, the transform of manage system, the matched policy and rule of law, the adjusted of economy lever, the improve of cultural diathesis, the boosting up of water - saving consciousness and detail measures, the control of population rising, the prevention and cure of water pollute, the renew and rebuild of ecology ; ( 7 ) scan the sustainable and optimum exploitation of groundwater resources from the high level of metagalaxy, earth system science, and philosophy ; lint out the more directions on groundwater resources

基於以上考慮，論文主要從以下幾方面對地下水資源可持續開發問題進行了比較深入的探討：全面回顧了「可持續發展」概念的由來與演變，對國內外「可持續發展」的研究現狀進行了述評，並對「可持續發展」概念的科學內涵進行了深入探討；對涉及地下水資源的一些最基本的概念和命題進行了全面的回顧和評述，對目前仍然存在的一些錯誤觀點和混亂認識提出了自己的見解；全面闡述了地下水資源變值系統理論的內容和意義，並與傳統的地下水資源計算評價方法進行了對比分析，結合實例具體說明了方法的應用；深入分析了地下水資源預測預報工作的極端重要性和復雜性，對傳統的地下水資源動態預測方法進行了全面的評述，指出了各類預測預報方法的特點及適用條件，對最近二十多年剛發展起來的小波分析技術的主要思想和方法及其應用范圍，以及號稱第五代計算機語言的matlab軟體和附帶的小波分析工具箱進行了介紹，並應用於地下水動態過程線的分析，採用時間序列中的b ? j法，蒙特卡羅方法，與地下水資源變值系統理論相結合，探討了地下水動態資料分析和地下水資源預測預報的新思路；綜合分析了現今各類地下水管理模型的特點及缺陷，將數學規劃、數理統計、隨機過程等與地下水變值系統理論相結合進行地表水地下水或多水源的聯合優化調度，使模型更準確、更實用；對保證地下水資源可持續開發的內部條件和外部條件進行了分析，內部河海人學博卜學位論文前言、摘要、目錄條件主要是正確的資源觀，科學的資源計算與評價方法，可靠的資源預測預報技術，可操作的資源管理措施，外部條件主要是高層發展思路、管理體制的變革、配套的政策法規、經濟杠桿的調節、人文素質的提高、節水意識的增強及具體節水措施、人口增長的控制、水體污染的防治、生態的恢復和重建等;從宇宙科學、地球系統科學及哲學的高度審視地下水資源的可持續開發;指出了地下水資源可持續開發的進一步研究方向。

Nerval network forecasting method and application of mine water - discharge amount based on matlab

的礦井涌水量神經網路預測方法及應用

The bridge has builded by balanced cantilever construction technique. the beam camber of construction is a controlling index of construction quality control. it is nonlinear, and now is not mature forecasting method

該橋採用節段式懸拼施工法，其施工預拱度的控制是關鍵指標，目前沒有一個成熟預測方法。

A forecasting method of aero - engine wear faults based on gray time sequence model

基於灰色時序的航空發動機磨損故障預測模型

Forecasting method of chaotic time series based on rbf

基於徑向基函數的海雜波時間序列預測方法

Because of serious sedimentation for the downstream section of the wei river, the conventional forecasting method cannot get satisfactory results

在探討了gis與圖形交互技術的應用方面，有所前進。渭河下遊河道淤積嚴重，一般洪水預報方法效果不佳。

The application of time - series modeling and forecasting method to the spectral analysis for lubricating oil of mechanical equipment is discussed

討論了時序建模與預測方法在機械設備滑油光譜分析中的應用。

Forecasting method of sliding distance on typical loess landslides

一種典型黃土滑坡的滑距預測方法

The problem and solution of estimate at completion forecasting method in earned value analysis

掙值分析中項目完工成本預測方法的問題與出路

By analyzing the reason of producing scratches, the fault model of the canopy glass is set up, and the fault - forecasting method for the scratch on the surface of

從劃傷的產生原因著手進行分析，建立了座艙玻璃劃傷故障模型，提出了座艙玻璃表面劃傷故障預制方法。

The forecasting method research of aviation service cost applying with support vector machine

航空服務成本預測的支持向量機方法研究

Study on civil aviation safety forecasting method based on bp neural network

神經網路的民航安全預測方法研究

This paper presents the following innovation : 1. this paper proposes the gray - index moving combined forecast model, which combines the single - index moving method with gray disaster prediction theory. the joint model solves the problem of deviation and lag in single - index moving forecasting method in some degree, and prediction accuracy and reliability is improved

將灰色災變預測與一次指數平滑法相互結合、相互補充，在一定程度上控制了一次指數平滑法預測時的誤差積累，從而修正了用一次指數平滑法預測所帶來的偏差和滯后，提高了預測結果的可靠性和精度。

This paper studied a forecasting method of geological disaster in coal mine starting from the applied point of view, presented the principle diagram and relative software flowchart of data collection equipment

摘要從實用角度出發，研究了煤礦地質災害的預測方法，給出了數據採集裝置的原理框圖和相應的軟體流程圖。

After a short - term load forecasting method based analogous and linear extrapolation is proposed, the load forecast and the priority of equipment action are led into static reactive power optimization. the aim function is constructed for the practical situation of power system. on the basis of traditional genetic algorithm the fitness function and the holding of population diversity are improved

在提出基於相似日和線性外推的短期負荷預測新方法的基礎上，將負荷預測和設備動作優先級引入靜態無功優化中，並結合電網實際情況，構造了實用的目標函數，對遺傳演算法的適應度函數和群體多樣性的保持進行了改進，採用鄰域搜索運算元增加遺傳演算法的局部尋優能力。

Chapter two discourses the basic theory, calculation model and main advantages and disadvantages of regression analysis and time series analysis. chapter three discusses grey system theory in detail, including the basic theory, grey incidence analysis, model in common use and forecasting method. chapter four analyzes the results of flexibility deformation of 270 meters span continuous rigid frame bridge of humen bridge, calculated with regression, time series and grey system model

第1章介紹了變形監測的目的、意義、分類以及變形分析與預測研究的現狀和進展；第2章論述了回歸分析和時間序列分析的基本理論、計算模型和主要優缺點：第3章詳細討論了灰色系統理論，包括建模的理論基礎、灰色關聯分析、常用模型和預測方法；第4章為採用回歸模型、時間序列模型、灰色系統理論模型，對虎門大橋270米混凝土連續剛構橋施工中的撓度變形進行的計算分析。

At present we have made great efforts on radiation statistics of proton - flare " s x - ray, especially hard x - ray, and character of hard x - ray in the process of proton accelerating, and we have gotten solar x - ray " s character before proton event and bring forward forecasting method which is actualized and proved in fy - 2 satellite " s alarming system of proton event

目前我們已經在質子加速過程中的硬x射線特徵、質子耀斑x射線輻射統計（特別是硬x射線特徵）等方面作了系統的工作，已獲得質子事件前兆的太陽x射線特徵，並提出了預報方法，已在fy - 2衛星質子報警系統中加以了實施和驗證。

The main research contents of the paper involve : establishment of real time forecasting system of taihu lake basin ; forecasting method for the tidal levels along yangtze river and hongzhou bay ; model mechanics of flow generation and confluence forecasting ; forecasting model mechanics of flow dynamics in plain river networks of taihu lake basin ; case study of real time flood forecasting and control in taihu lake basin

本文所研究的內容主要概括如下： 1 ）太湖流域實時預報調度系統的建立與開發機制； 2 ）沿長江及杭州灣潮位預報方法； 3 ）太湖流域產匯流預報模型機理； 4 ）太湖流域平原河網水動力學預報模型機理； 5 ）太湖流域實時洪水預報與調度實例研究。

Application of intelligence forecasting method in traffic analysis of egcs

一種智能預測方法在電梯群控系統交通分析中的應用

Compared with the cases of application between the dynamic model and static model, it is indicated that the method of time series analysis is an important and advanced forecasting method in statistical forecasting

用時間序列動態模型與靜態多項式模型分別對縱向地表的沉降值進行預報和外推，跟實測值進行了對比，取得了良好的效果。