probabilistic decision analysis 中文意思是什麼
probabilistic decision analysis
解釋
概率決策分析- probabilistic : adj. 1. （天主教教義）蓋然論的，或然說的。2. 概率的，幾率的。
- decision : n. 1. 決定。2. 判決。3. 決議。4. 決心；決斷。5. 【美拳】（根據分數而不是根據擊倒對方做出的）裁判。
- analysis : n. （pl. -ses ）1. 分解，分析；【數學】解析。2. 梗概，要略。3. 〈美國〉用精神分析法治療（＝ psychoanalysis）。
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In the deregulated power market ， the power grid operator is facing many uncertainty and risks risk concept ， risk analysis approach and risk management are introduced in chapter ii ， the maj or risks of grid operators is analyzed and evaluated in details based on the real situation and data of yueyang city, hunan province ， the economic risk resulting from the uncertainty of load prediction of whole system ， generation capacity and parallel quantity of the large enterprises self - owned power plant are analyzed meanwhile ， the increase of large enterprises self - owned power plant may cause economic and security risks considering different risk ， the qualitmive and quantitative approaches are respectively adopted the direct and indirect congestion risks are evaluated based on probabilistic theory and decision theory the retail pricing and trade modes are major areas embracing risks as well chapter iii divides the risks in internal and external ones based on the characteristics of risk and put forward the layered risk management approach
詳細分析和論述了電網經營企業面臨的各種風險。基於湖南省岳陽地區電力市場的實際情況和多年歷史數據，採用定性分析和定量計算的手段具體分析了負荷、自備電廠發電量和上網電量預測不確定性以及自備電廠的大量增加給電網企業帶來的經濟性風險和安全性風險。無論是長期還是短期，阻塞不僅會對電網造成直接風險，還可能造成間接風險。
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