forecasting risk 中文意思是什麼

forecasting risk 解釋
預測風險
  • forecasting : （勞動力供求）預測
  • risk : n 1 風險，危險；冒險。2 【保險】（損失的）風險（率）；保險金額；被保險人，被保險物。vt 冒…的危險...
  1. So whether have we tools to avoid risk on the basis of market forecasting ? yes, the finance engineering tools just perform. it was the emphases to dissertate why and how the tools can do it

    而金融工程所提供的避險工具正好為租船人或船東們解決了有效規避運價波動風險的問題，根據對市場的定性與定量分析做出正確的經營決策。
  2. Finally, taking the panjiakou reservoir in the haihe river basin in china as an example, the paper analysis the reasonable adjustment scheme of the limited level of the reservoir during the flood season according to the design flood, the flood forecasting, the flood control operation under forecasting, the flood control standard of upstream and downstream of the reservoir, the immigrants range, and the benefits and the risk of the reservoir in a long period of the operation simulation

    最後以海河流域潘家口水庫為分析實例，從設計洪水、預報預泄、洪水預報調度方式、上下游防洪設計標準、上游移民淹沒及土地退賠線、水庫長期運行的風險和效益等多個方面分析論證了水庫汛限水位的合理調整方案。
  3. International workshop on forecasting and risk management will be held at siyuan building on december 20 - 21, 2006

    中澳雙邊學術交流會將於12月11日下午在思源樓712報告廳舉行。
  4. Based on the definition of the space forecasting uncertainty, value at risk ( abbreviated as var ) model was developed to identify the risk caused by the uncertainty of space forecasting

    基於生產面積預測不確定性的定義，本文應用風險價值（ valueatrisk ，簡稱var ）方法對這一不確定性帶來的風險進行識別並決策。
  5. ( 4 ) some nonlinear variables are good index for analyzing and forecasting stock market. examples involved are following : hurst index ( h ) substitutes for variance to evaluate risk in securities investment ; dynamic fractal dimension is a prior indicator of price movement

    （ 4 ）某些非線性變量可作為分析和預測股票市場的很好指標，如赫斯特指數h值可用來取代方差作為衡量證券投資風險的標準，而動態分形維則可作為市場價格變化的先行指標。
  6. The system possesses the real time correcting function, which can avoid error accumulation and highly increase the forecasting accuracy ; ( 3 ) the flood control system can be multiple - scheme designed, that is, the control schemes can be designed in terms of different control ways for hydro - projects. simulated computation can be carried out to obtain multiple schemes that can be used by the leaders for decision making after risk and consequences estimation, so as to scientifically enhance th

    系統具有實時校正功能，可以避免誤差累積，極大地提高了預報精度; （ 3 ）防洪調度系統可以進行多方案設計，即可以根據水工建築物不同的調度方式來設計調度方案，並進行模擬調度計算，最終生成多個方案，供領導決策，提高了防洪決策的科學性; （ 4 ）系統採用的數據均建立在實時雨情、水情、工情和天氣預報等數據庫基礎上，預報、調度均能做到快速及時。
  7. Firstly the author makes an inquiry into cost and profit, founding a cost forecasting model based on activity. in chapter five, it is studied the constructive price based on enterprise performance, forming the fuzzy synthetic evaluation method firstly which combine enterprise performance and the constructive price. chapter six is on project risk, which building a model on risk evaluation to constructive price

    首先探討的是成本和利潤值的合理確定，提出了基於活動的成本預測模型；其次研究的是基於企業績效的工程造價分析，首次將企業績效水平與工程價格聯系起來，提出了影響工程價格的績效因素評價方法；最後探討了項目風險影響因素，提出了工程造價風險評判的理論模型。
  8. The paper, taking propulsion plants of ship as object, inquires into the life forecasting of system reliability, analysises whether repair is difficult or easy, is economic or not, is effective or not, studies the risk assessment of fault

    本文針對船舶動力裝置，探討了系統可靠性壽命預測，對適修性難易程度及經濟性、有效性進行了分析，並進行了故障的風險評估的研究。
  9. Mine project evaluation, work out project suggestions, feasibility report, plan design and basic design of mines, cement plants, fruit processing plants, as well as consultation of overseas project overall contracts investment risk forecasting and mine water prevention and control

    礦山項目評估；編制礦山、水泥廠、果汁飲料加工廠項目建議書，可行性研究報告，方案設計，初步設計；海外工程總承包項目咨詢，投資風險預測；礦山水害預防及治理措施。
  10. Based on the recognition of financial risk formation and conduct, by studying on forecasting model of financial risk, this paper revealed the limitation of enterprise financial risk forecast model by compare analyzing. based on the actual conditions enterprise, the paper supposed the new enterprise financial risk forecast with the core of improved method of efficacy coefficient, which based on the assessment of business performance. meantime, the paper also studied positively the application of enterprise financial risk forecast model. finally, the study on the tactic of risk control is the aim of financial risk analysis

    基於企業財務風險生存與傳導的認識，通過對已有企業財務風險預警模型的比較研究，揭示了這些模型的局限性，針對企業的實際情況，論文以企業經營成果評價為方法和手段，提出了以改進的功效系數法為核心的風險預警模型，同時對該模型在企業風險預警中的應用做了實證研究，最後，論文把財務風險控制的研究作為企業財務風險預警研究的落腳點，在對企業財務風險控制目標分析的基礎上，結合風險控制的基本途徑，提出了財務風險控制分析框架。
  11. It provides guidelines for contracting strategies, work breakdown, project cost accounting and forecasting, and handling changes, risk, and the impact of delays

    它提供了縮減策略、工作故障、項目成本計算和預測、變故與風險處理以及延遲的影響等各方面的指南。
  12. As future development trend of asset - liabilities - managemen ( talm ) technology of insurance company, dfa can not only be competent for comprehensive and holistic forecasting task of insurance company ’ s operation and financial status, but also can help national insurance industry build the most preliminary, and probably the most effective financial risk forewarning system, by dynamically scrutinizing assets and liabilities conditions changes of insurance company

    而從保險公司經營管理的角度來說， 「動態財務分析」方法則絕非僅只是靜態地考察資產負債表的某項部分（如負債中的準備金） ，而是在較廣泛的區間內監控保險公司的整體財務狀況，並在不確定和變化的市場環境下考察保險企業的財富變化。
  13. Firstly, the paper analyzes the type, characteristic, manifest and reason of the commercial bank ' s risk in its running. secondly, based upon the further analysis of the traditional alertness - forecasting methods, put forward the methods used in the thesis combined by fuzzy mathematics theory and back propagation nn technique, and analyze the feasibility and advantages of the application of this method into the construction of commercial bank alertness - forecasting system. thirdly, apply the method combined quantitative with qualitative analysis, as well as theoretic analysis with positive study to establish an easily operated index system of the commercial bank ' s risk and find a perfect alertness - forecasting method, furthermore, to establish an alertness - forecasting system in order to control and manage the commercial bank ' s risk

    本文首先對我國商業銀行進行了風險識別，深入分析了商業銀行在其運行過程中存在的風險類型、特點、表現及其致因；其次，在對傳統預警方法深入分析的基礎上，提出了本文所採用的模糊數學理論和bp神經網路技術相結合的預警方法，並分析了將本文的預警方法運用於商業銀行風險預警系統構建的可行性和優越性；再次，本文運用定量分析和定性分析相結合、規范分析和實證研究相結合的方法，構造出一套比較能反映商業銀行風險的指標體系，尋求了一種比較理想的預警方法，進而設計出商業銀行風險預警系統，並進行了實證分析，以達到對商業銀行風險進行實時監控的目的；最後，筆者對本文的研究成果進行了總結。
  14. Ttis paper sms the recen research results in the topic, maks a briefly descripon of the foral risks, then researthes on the mechanism to cause them, introduces way to assess the level of anancial risk. based on it, this paper finds out the main finaniai ratios to influeoce risk through survtw, and bulld the financial riskleve forecasting model by the method of two group ofdiscdrinate analysis. ih the research, 60 listed compedes are selected as our statstical analsis samples and cataloged into two groups, which has 30 samples, one is company which is no specially wdopn st ) the othe is on the cotw ( st )

    本文對已有研究成果進行了總結回顧，接著從我國上市公司財務風險的現狀分析入手，揭示了上市公司總體財務風險的水平，並從多方面具體分析了上市公司財務風險的成因，然後介紹了財務風險評估的幾種常用方法；在此基礎上，採用問卷調查法確定了財務風險預警指標體系后，選擇滬深兩市60家上市公司作為估計樣本（其中30家為st公司， 30家為非st公司） ，運用兩組判別分析法建立了上市公司財務風險預警模型，再選擇了20家上市公司作為測試樣本，來測試已建立模型的效果；對ykf公司的財務風險進行綜合分析，其結論與運用建立的預警模型的測試結果相吻合，故對其發出了財務風險預警；最後，針對我國上市公司的實際情況，從完善公司治理機制、重塑社會信用體系等方面提出防範公司財務風險的對策和建議。
  15. The application of dm technique to banking consists of four components : customer relationship management, risk management, credit grade evaluation, and service analysis and forecasting

    數據挖掘技術在銀行領域的應用有四個方面:銀行客戶關系管理、銀行風險管理、銀行信用等級評估、銀行服務分析和預測。
  16. So it can avoid risk of model and computer rightly the var of extreme event. this article presents the theory of extreme value and character of tail of distribution and gives the example of var with index of shanghai stock market by evt, then compares the var result of different computation methods and concludes that traditional var method is static state model and var with evt is dynamic conservative model and has the ability of forecasting risk out of sample comparing to historical simulation method

    本文系統地闡述了極值理論和極值分佈特徵，以上證指數為例，將極值理論應用於風險價值的計算，並將應用結果與傳統var方法計算的結果進行了比較分析，最後得出結論：傳統的var計算模型是靜態的模型，應用極值理論計算var的模型是動態的、相對保守的模型；與歷史模擬法相比較，極值理論具有超越樣本的預測能力。
  17. The high incidence of financial instability and crisis, from the late 1990s to the present time, has spurred the development of analytical methods for the assessment of the robustness of the financial sector, its exposure to risk and its vulnerability to shocks. quantitative tools include indicators of financial sector soundness, early warning systems, sensitivity analysis and extreme scenarios ( “ stress tests ” ), and financial forecasting

    20世紀80 、 90年代以來，由於金融危機在各國的頻繁發生，特別是亞洲金融危機的爆發，金融危機更易傳染，也更具有危害性，這些都使得國際上對于各類金融部門的穩定性的數量評估方法研究迅速增加，這些數量的方法包括:金融穩健指標，早期預警系統，敏感性分析和壓力測試。
  18. In fact, no matter to the means or the subject of investment, invest analysis always follow the same model - first, forecast the profit of invest programs ; secondly, emend it according to different period and risk rate ; then, arrange the invest programs according to forecasting risk and repay, select a suitable one

    從本質上看，無論投資工具或投資主體，投資分析總是遵從同樣的模式，即預測各投資方案的收益額，根據不同的時間和風險度加以校正，然後根據預期風險和預期回報等，對各投資方案進行排列，選擇適宜的方案。
  19. Objective to discuss the application of microsimulation model in forecasting the change of medical insurance risk - pooling fund in kunming city

    摘要目的：探討微觀分析模擬模型在昆明市醫療保險基金趨勢預測中的應用。
  20. Forecasting prepayment risk in america, for example, is complicated and requires lots of information about demographics and credit factors, along with plenty of market data

    例如，在美國預測提前還款的風險相當復雜，要求大量的人口和資信信息，同時還要有充足的市場數據。
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