預期貨幣值 的英文怎麼說
中文拼音 [yùqīhuòbìzhí]
預期貨幣值
英文
expected monetary value-
The first approximation would make everything depend on the capitalized money value of the individual's prospective receipts.
第一種近似意義是以個人預期進款的資本化的貨幣價值為其中心。The anticipation that a devaluation might occur may lead financial markets to require higher interest rates, compounding the effects of an overvaluation with high interest rates and possibly forcing a devaluation, even if the government initially had no intention of devaluating
對貶值可能發生的預期會導致金融市場需要更高的利率，再混合過高估價和高利率的影響，很有可能引發貨幣貶值，即使政府最初並沒有貶值的意思。Because along with the liberalization of china ’ s capital account, once the economic developing speed slows down, capital account and current account ’ s surpluses reverse to deficits, the appreciation expect of renminbi will be changed. at the same time, the high quota savings in china ’ s banks will also bring us inflation pressure, inapparent currency substitution may be turn into visible currency substitution. also, the great deal of currency substitution inclining may convert into real currency substitution because of the vulnerable financial system
但另一方面，它又離我們那麼近，因為隨著中國資本賬戶開放的逐漸深入，一旦我國經濟不能保持高速發展，資本賬戶和經常賬戶雙順差現象出現逆轉，人民幣升值的預期將被改變，而我國高額的人民幣儲蓄也將給我國帶來通脹壓力，隱性的貨幣替代將有轉為顯性貨幣替代的可能，由於金融體系脆弱性所造成的大量貨幣替代傾向也很可能轉化為真實的貨幣替代。The recent divergence in the spot exchange rates of the hong kong dollar and the renminbi and the calm reaction in the hong kong dollar exchange rate when the renminbi had breached psychological levels, suggested that the efforts to manage market expectation and decouple the psychological relationship between the exchange rates of the two currencies had been quite successful
近期港元與人民幣的現貨匯率走勢各異，以及港元匯率在人民幣升穿心理關口時反應平靜，顯示金管局在管理市場預期及消除人民幣升值對港元造成的心理影響方面所作的努力頗為成功。The reduction in risk associated with an easing of monetary policy and the resulting reduction in precautionary saving may amplify the short - run impact of policy operating through the traditional channel based on increased asset values
擬譯：因此，降低與貨幣政策擴張及由此產生的預防性儲蓄的減少相關的風險，會擴大通過傳統的、基於增加資產價值的渠道實施的政策的短期影響。In theory, carry trades should not yield a predictable profit because the difference in interest rates between two countries should equal the rate at which investors expect the low - interest - rate currency, here the yen, to rise against the high - interest - rate one
兩國之間的利率之差應該等於低利率貨幣（這里即日元）相對于高利率貨幣的預期升值率，因此在理論上，套息交易的預期收益為零。This paper analyzes on the impact of interest marketing on the banks, and probes into the currency risk faced by the banks because of the rmb appreciation and the increasing of fluctuation
分析了利率市場化對銀行的沖擊，探討了人民幣升值預期和波動性增加使銀行面臨的貨幣風險。Financing policies like repeatedly reducing interest rate play an active role in investment, production and employment, let alone their extended functions, including increase of industrial profit, decrease of the cost of state debts, change of the anticipation of the economic subject, reduction of the pressure upon interest rate multiplication and increase of importation
利率連續下調等貨幣政策操作對投資、產出、就業具有不可替代的積極效果，其傳導機制包括增加企業利潤、降低國債成本、改變經濟主體預期、降低匯率升值壓力並增加進口等。They are agricultural productive materials price growth rate, sown area of grain crops growth rate, grain yield per area growth rate -, natural disaster covered grain areas growth rate, net grain import change rate, grain reserve change rate, population growth rate, per income growth rate, city and town population growth rate, food industry production value growth rate, year - end pig number growth rate, medical & pharmaceutical and textile industry production value growth rate, grain marketization degree, inflation rate using the previous year as base year ( preceding year = 100 ), public grain purchases price growth rate, investment in agricultural science and technology growth rate, investment in agricultural infrastructure growth rate, growth rate of graduates number from agriculture, forestry, science & technology universities and colleges and specialized secondary schools, government expenditure for agriculture and agricultural credit growth rate, international grain price growth rate, rmb exchange rate growth rate, last grain price growth rate, economic crop price growth rate, meanwhile, a new method is attempted to be used in this paper and the grain price early - warning problem is transformed into machine learning problem by introducing statistic learning theory and svm method which are gaining popularity in machine learning field at present in the world
在此基礎上，篩選出23個警兆指標：農用生產資料價格增長率、糧食播種面積增長率、糧食單產增長率、糧食受災面積增長率、糧食凈進口量變化率、糧食儲備變動率、人口增長率、人均收入增長率、城鎮人口增長率、食品工業產值增長率、豬年末頭數增長率、醫藥紡織工業產值增長率、糧食市場化程度、以上年為基年的通貨膨脹率、國家糧食定購價格增長率、農業科技投入增長率、農業基礎設施投入增長率、農、林、科技高校大、中專畢業生人數增長率、財政支農資金比重及農業信貸增長率、國際糧食市場價格增長率、人民幣匯率增長率、上期糧食價格增長率、經濟作物價格增長率。同時論文在預警方法上作了新的嘗試，把糧食價格預警問題轉換成一個機器學習問題，引進當前國際上機器學習領域中比較熱門的統計學習理論和支持向量機方法，用順序回歸演算法對歷史數據進行學習建立了糧食價格預警模型。At first, this paper reviews the traditional currency crisis theories and the research on the early warning system ; thereby try to search for the crisis root and some important early warning indicator, and then basing on those and the kaminsky ' s early warning system of the currency crisis, i analyze statistically the thailand monthly data from 1992 to 2000, seek the threshold of every early warning indicator, the adjusted noise - signal ratio and the early warning synthesis indicator, forecast the possibility of thailand happening the crisis in the coming 12 month with the month data in 2001, and finally conclude that thailand would not happen the crisis in the coming 12 month
首先本文對傳統貨幣危機理論和近期對貨幣危機預警的研究進行了回顧，從而試圖尋找危機的根源和一些重要的預警指標，在此基礎上，運用kaminsky的貨幣危機早期預警方法? ?信號分析法，對泰國1992 - 2000年年間的月度數據進行了統計分析，求出每個預警指標的閾值、調整后的噪音信號比以及危機預警的綜合指標，進而採用泰國2001年的月度數據對泰國未來12個月進行危機預測，最後得出泰國在未來12個月內不會發生危機。After using three methods of estimating equilibrium of money supply, we can draw these conclusions : ( 1 ) the money gap presented business cycle character from 1978 to 2004. ( 2 ) from 1994, the fluctuated extent of money gap decreased, which means the efficiency of monetary policy raised steadily. ( 3 ) the money gap has the forecast function of extreme in business cycle
本文採用均衡產出決定法、周期趨勢消除法和貨幣供給增長率推演算法分別測算1978 - 2004年我國的貨幣缺口，結果表明： （ 1 ）在過去的27年中，貨幣缺口變化呈現出周期性特徵； （ 2 ） 1994年以後貨幣缺口的波動幅度變窄，表明貨幣政策調控的效果逐步提高； （ 3 ）貨幣缺口對經濟周期的峰值具有預警功能。分享友人