比率趨勢預測 的英文怎麼說

中文拼音 [bǐlǜqūshìyùcè]
比率趨勢預測 英文
ratio-trend forecasting
  • 比 : Ⅰ動詞1 （比較; 較量高下、 長短、距離、好壞等） compare; compete; contrast; match; emulate 2 （比...
  • 率 : 率名詞（比值） rate; ratio; proportion
  • 趨 : 動詞1. （快走） hasten; hurry along 2. （向某個方向發展; 趨向） tend towards; tend to become
  • 勢 : 名詞1 （勢力） power; force; influence 2 （一切事物力量表現出來的趨向） momentum; tendency 3 （自...
  • 預 : Ⅰ副詞（預先; 事先） in advance; beforehand Ⅱ動詞（參與） take part in
  • 測 : 動詞1. （測量） survey; fathom; measure 2. （測度; 推測） conjecture; infer
  • 比率 : ratio; proportion; rate比率計 ratio meter
  • 趨勢 : trend; tendency; drift; current; tide
  • 預測 : calculate; forecast; prognosis; divine; forecasting; foreshadowing; predetermination
  1. At first, this thesis analyzed some essential elements about the system of personal houe loan and make the compare to chinese and foreign system, and established the system of personal credit evaluate ; the second, the thesis discusses the investment technique and strategy of national debt in the provident fund, and established the model about how to invest the national debt ; the third, the thesis build the forecast model about fund collecting and drawing, and make use of the combination invest theories to build model of individual loan and national debt ; at last, the thesis analyses the risk ' s inside reason of house funds with the risk type, and to give out the related suggestion to funds risk. mechanism. the thesis research show me how to make use of that some models and methods in the process of haf management and make me deeply understand the house funds

    本文首先分析了個人住房貸款制度基本要素，即貸款期限、貸款利率與抵押物價值的比例、政府在個人住房貸款市場中的作用、貸款違約情況下的處置措施、個人住房貸款的流動性問題，並對中外製度作了比較，建立了個人信用評分評級體系和信用評估模型，並以重慶市住房公積金為研究對象做出了住房資金個貸風險評估的實證研究；其次，分析了影響國債價格走勢的因素，討論了公積金國債的投資技巧和策略，並建立了基於理論的國債投資組合模型；接下來，根據資產負債管理理論中的資金總庫法和資金分配法分析了公積金總體資金項目的來源和運用，並就此作了總量平衡模型，對住房公積金季度累計歸集金額作了直線回歸和季節趨勢比率預測，運用投資組合理論建立了公積金個人貸款和國債投資組合的最優化模型；最後，探析了住房資金風險的內在原因和風險類型，從資金籌集風險、信貸回歸風險、保險機制、法律風險和政策風險五個方面為住房資金風險防範機制建設提出了相關建議。
  2. The paper is divided into three sector : in the first sector, base on cohort - component method and via quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis to matter of fact, the paper imports several variable : accelerating function of survival rate, correct children women ratio, proportion of infants, and establish correct cohort - component method. in the second sector, base on several hypothesis, zhejiang province population forecasts are made by correct cohort - component method, and population composing are presented in the future. in the third sector, base on results of zhejiang province population forecasts, the paper discusses change trend of mainly population index in the 21 century, and analyzes how population trend effects development of society and economy

    本文分三部分進行：第一部分，在隊列要素法的基礎上，通過對實際情況的定量分析與定性分析，在模型中引入了以下變量：生存概率加速函數、修正兒童婦女比、幼兒性別比，建立了修正隊列要素法模型；第二部分，在幾個重要假設的基礎上，根據修正隊列要素法進行浙江省未來五十年人口預測，給出了各預測年份分性別年齡的人口構成情況；第三部分，是在上述預測結果的基礎上，對21世紀前半葉浙江省的主要人口指標的變化趨勢進行討論，並對浙江省的總的人口變動趨勢及其對社會經濟發展影響進行分析。
  3. This paper used the method of e - conometrics made a forecast of china ' s industry of pharmacy in 2050 and studied the trend and set up a lot of models. from the view of exterior we forecast the gross products of domestic of pharmacy. from the view of interior we forecast the frame of pharmacy ' s market and performance

    本文運用計量經濟學方法對未來五十年醫藥產業的發展趨勢作了研究，建立了多個時間序列模型，並預測了2050年醫藥產業狀況文章從外部與內部兩個視角對醫藥產業進行了預測分析，外部從宏觀方面通過對醫藥產業的產值，資金利稅率，企業數量以及醫藥產業在gnp中所佔的比重的預測，描述了醫藥產業的宏觀發展前景。
  4. Then, this paper empirically tested the validation and predictive accuracy of different var risk management model in the domestic financial market. finally, with the analysis of modem financial risk management development trend and the current domestic financial risk management situation, this paper made a prospect for the application of this model in the construction of domestic financial risk management system. through the analysis, the main conclusions are as follows : ( l ) the traditional mean - variance model is the special example of the portfolio selection based on the var risk management model for the case that the returns of the portfolio are assumed to be normally distributed ; compared with the mean - variance model, the var risk management model is more comprehensive and accurate in the measurement of the portfolio risk, so based on the var model, the investors can allocate the asset more effectively. ( 2 ) the var risk management model can provide the timely and comprehensive risk information for the top risk manager, so it is very helpful to the improvement of total risk management efficiency. ( 3 ) based on the var model, the raroc performance valuation approach can reflect the real performance of the portfolio manager and provide the coherent standard for the allocation of risk limitation and the construction of the incentive compatibility constraint mechanism in the financial instiutions

    通過研究分析，本文主要得出如下結論： （ 1 ）傳統的markowitz均值? ?方差模型僅僅是在資產組合收益率正態分佈假設條件下基於var風險管理模型進行資產組合選擇的特例，與均值? ?方差模型中的方差風險度量方法相比， var風險管理模型能夠更全面、更貼切地衡量資產組合的風險，且基於此模型能夠更有效地進行資產配置決策； （ 2 ） var風險管理模型能夠滿足更高層次風險管理者對風險信息的需求，有助於整體風險管理效率的提高； （ 3 ）基於var風險管理模型的raroc績效評價能夠反映資產組合管理人的真實業績，從而為金融機構風險限額的分配和激勵約束機制的制定提供統一的標準； （ 4 ）國內證券市場資產組合收益率服從正態分佈的假設明顯不成立，實證檢驗表明基於資產組合收益率正態分佈假設條件下的方差? ?協方差模型對國內資產組合風險的預測存在較大的偏差，由於文中證明在收益率正態分佈假設條件下基於方差? ?協方差模型進行資產組合選擇的結果等價于markowitz的均值? ?方差模型，因此，均值? ?方差模型對國內資產組合風險的預測同樣會存在著較大的偏差，而半參數var風險管理模型則能夠取得較好的預測衡量效果； （ 5 ） var風險管理模型符合未來金融風險管理的發展趨勢，基於var風險管理模型建立內容提要風險限額內控體系、風險信息披露體系和業績評價體系，並進行金融監管，將有助於國內金融機構內部風險管理方法和外部監管技術跟上國際金融風險管理的發展潮流。
  5. Contrasting the changes in the total sales volume, the annual growth, the chain rate of increase, and forecasting the sales volume in 2006 and the uptrend, it ' s obvious that there was prominent improvement in 2003 - 2005 after adjusting and would have a confident prospect, though bad in 2002

    文章通過對岳陽正泰2002 - 2005年營銷業績變化分析，比較年增長率、環比增長率等一系列指標並預測岳陽正泰2006年的銷售量及以後趨勢后發現重組后的營銷業績雖在2002年不理想，但經過調整后2003 - 2005年有了顯著的提高，並且前景較好。
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